11795 Promenade St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 247 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,359/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.60%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,811
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- 22.36%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11824 Wilshire Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-5%) | 9mo | $77,400 | $55 | 77 |
| 12304 Rosemary St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (+0%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $15 | 76 |
| 12328 Longview St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-5%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $61 | 65 |
| 12027 Kilbourne Ave | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,561 (+6%) | 10mo | $137,000 | $88 | 64 |
| 12572 Rosemary St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-4%) | 10mo | $84,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 12091 Kilbourne St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,650 (+12%) | 13mo | $126,000 | $76 | 57 |
| 11833 Wilfred St | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,340 (-9%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 12737 Promenade St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-2%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $35 | 54 |
| 12223 Corbett St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,658 (+13%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $48 | 48 |
| 12590 Rosemary St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+11%) | 12mo | $41,501 | $25 | 46 |
| 13004 Rosemary St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,503 (+2%) | 15mo | $62,000 | $41 | 42 |
| 12816 Rosemary St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+13%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $79 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $7,321
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $37,710
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $442 | -5% $412 | +0% $382 | +5% $352 | +10% $323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $328 | +0% $382 | +5% $436 | +10% $489 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $409 | base $382 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1874 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1598 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9142 Isham Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,344 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,294 | $1.15 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 681-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-02-20price $105,000 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!
-
2026-02-19price $105,000 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!
-
2025-10-16$110,000 Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!
-
2025-10-16$110,000 Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!
-
2022-01-13soldstatus $89,900
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2015-01-02historical
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2014-12-31historical
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2014-08-14$2,000 Active
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2014-08-14$2,000
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2008-04-18soldstatus $2,500
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2008-03-26$2,800
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2008-03-24historical
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2008-03-10$2,800
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2008-03-06historical
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2007-12-06$7,760
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2007-11-29historical
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2007-08-29$7,760
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2006-03-06soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,391 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$226/yr (+$19/mo · 19.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,072
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$737
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+31.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-16 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-16 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2015-01-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-14 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-14 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-18 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-26 Listed $2,800 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-03-10 Listed $2,800 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-12-06 Listed $7,760 REALCOMP
- 2007-11-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-08-29 Listed $7,760 REALCOMP
- 2006-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,164 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…