CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
11795 Promenade St
C Composite 57.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

11795 Promenade St · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,473 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 248 Days on market
Built 1925 3,485 sqft lot $71/sqft · 22% above area Est $86k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 247 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,359/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.60%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,811
List price
$105,000
Delta
22.36%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11824 Wilshire Dr 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-5%) 9mo $77,400 $55 77
12304 Rosemary St 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,480 (+0%) 6mo $22,000 $15 76
12328 Longview St 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (-5%) 1mo $85,000 $61 65
12027 Kilbourne Ave 0.23mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,561 (+6%) 10mo $137,000 $88 64
12572 Rosemary St 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,419 (-4%) 10mo $84,000 $59 58
12091 Kilbourne St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,650 (+12%) 13mo $126,000 $76 57
11833 Wilfred St 0.33mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,340 (-9%) 8mo $100,000 $75 56
12737 Promenade St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-2%) 7mo $50,000 $35 54
12223 Corbett St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,658 (+13%) 12mo $80,000 $48 48
12590 Rosemary St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,632 (+11%) 12mo $41,501 $25 46
13004 Rosemary St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,503 (+2%) 15mo $62,000 $41 42
12816 Rosemary St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,659 (+13%) 4mo $131,000 $79 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$7,321
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$37,710
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,359 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $442 -5% $412 +0% $382 +5% $352 +10% $323
Rent -10% $275 -5% $328 +0% $382 +5% $436 +10% $489
Rate -1.0pp $435 -0.5pp $409 base $382 +0.5pp $355 +1.0pp $327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1874 $1,400 $0.75 18d 1 0.11mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 0.14mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 15d 1 0.31mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 44d 1 0.34mi
11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1598 $1,200 $0.75 44d 1 0.34mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 18d 1 0.66mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.67mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 19d 1 0.71mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 18d 1 0.84mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 6d 1 0.84mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 0.86mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 25d 1 0.87mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 0.91mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.98mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.15mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 18d 1 1.23mi
9142 Isham Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,344 $1.34 18d 1 1.23mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.29mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 25d 1 1.29mi
9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,294 $1.15 18d 1 1.33mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 18d 1 1.39mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 19d 1 1.41mi
5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1303 $1,200 $0.92 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 681-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 231 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-02-20
    price $105,000 53-char remark
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!

  16. 2026-02-19
    price $105,000 53-char remark
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!

  17. 2025-10-16
    listed $110,000 Active 53-char remark
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!

  18. 2025-10-16
    listed $110,000 Active 53-char remark
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. !!!

  19. 2022-01-13
    soldstatus $89,900
  20. 2015-01-02
    historical
  21. 2014-12-31
    historical
  22. 2014-08-14
    listed $2,000 Active
  23. 2014-08-14
    listed $2,000
  24. 2008-04-18
    soldstatus $2,500
  25. 2008-03-26
    listed $2,800
  26. 2008-03-24
    historical
  27. 2008-03-10
    listed $2,800
  28. 2008-03-06
    historical
  29. 2007-12-06
    listed $7,760
  30. 2007-11-29
    historical
  31. 2007-08-29
    listed $7,760
  32. 2006-03-06
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,164 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,391 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$226/yr (+$19/mo · 19.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,307
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,164
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,305
− Management
−$1,305
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,072
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$737
After-tax cash flow
$3,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2015-01-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-14 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-14 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-18 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-26 Listed $2,800 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-10 Listed $2,800 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-06 Listed $7,760 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $7,760 REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,164 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…