4114 Miller St · Meridian, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Detached garage
- Concrete parking pad
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#677 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $130k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.26%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $296,448
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4114 Miller St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $75 | 99 |
| 108 Buttercup Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-1%) | 14mo | $399,900 | $262 | 67 |
| 224 Meridian Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,568 (+2%) | 13mo | $279,900 | $179 | 56 |
| 115 Woodlawn Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,680 (+9%) | 12mo | $308,000 | $183 | 54 |
| 119 40th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (+6%) | 4mo | $314,900 | $193 | 53 |
| 508 Meridian Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,665 (+8%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $201 | 52 |
| 119 Silver Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-6%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $201 | 45 |
| 125 Silver Dr | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 | 1,456 (-5%) | 20mo | $372,000 | $255 | 41 |
| 516 S Eberhart Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+9%) | 16mo | $339,900 | $204 | 40 |
| 506 Meridian Rd | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+9%) | 12mo | $186,000 | $111 | 39 |
| 503 Kerry Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,358 (-12%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $169 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,891
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $36,984
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16001
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 20.4%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,009/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $166 | +0% $129 | +5% $92 | +10% $56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $78 | +0% $129 | +5% $181 | +10% $232 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $162 | base $129 | +0.5pp $96 | +1.0pp $61 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 N Ridge Dr Butler, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 468 Whitestown Rd Unit A Meridian, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-20$129,900 Active
-
1997-10-16soldstatus $78,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,
-
1997-08-28$79,900 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,009 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,031 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$22/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,009
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,254
- − Management
- −$1,254
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$546
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,682/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204590
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 42.65/100
- National rank
- #3180
- State rank
- #181 of 539 in PA
Livability — Meridian
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #677
- US rank
- #6603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meridian, PA
- County
- Butler County · 73,107 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,234
- Household income
- $63,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1441.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.40%
- Current HPI
- 222.4445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+62.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 1997-10-16 Sold (MLS) $78,000 West Penn MLS
- 1997-08-28 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,009 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…