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4114 Miller St
C- Composite 52.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

4114 Miller St · Meridian, PA 16001
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1950 0.53 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Detached garage
  • Concrete parking pad

Tags

DETACHED GARAGECONCRETE PARKING PADCOVERED FRONT PORCHHANDICAP ACCESSIBLE RAMP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#677 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $130k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.26%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,448
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4114 Miller St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,536 (0%) 1mo $115,000 $75 99
108 Buttercup Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-1%) 14mo $399,900 $262 67
224 Meridian Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,568 (+2%) 13mo $279,900 $179 56
115 Woodlawn Rd 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,680 (+9%) 12mo $308,000 $183 54
119 40th St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,635 (+6%) 4mo $314,900 $193 53
508 Meridian Rd 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,665 (+8%) 2mo $335,000 $201 52
119 Silver Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-6%) 20mo $290,000 $201 45
125 Silver Dr 0.54mi 3/3.0 1,456 (-5%) 20mo $372,000 $255 41
516 S Eberhart Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,670 (+9%) 16mo $339,900 $204 40
506 Meridian Rd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+9%) 12mo $186,000 $111 39
503 Kerry Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,358 (-12%) 18mo $230,000 $169 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-5,891
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$36,984
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16001

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,009/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $203 -5% $166 +0% $129 +5% $92 +10% $56
Rent -10% $26 -5% $78 +0% $129 +5% $181 +10% $232
Rate -1.0pp $195 -0.5pp $162 base $129 +0.5pp $96 +1.0pp $61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 N Ridge Dr Butler, PA 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,500 $1.34 2d 1 1.11mi
468 Whitestown Rd Unit A Meridian, PA 3.0 1.5 1210 $1,400 $1.16 44d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $129,900 Active
  3. 1997-10-16
    soldstatus $78,000 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,

  4. 1997-08-28
    listed $79,900 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    PRESENTLY SET UP FOR HANDICAP PERSON WITH LEFT. MARBLE SILLS, 1ST FL LAUNDRY, NEWER WINDOWS, FURNCE, H. W. TANK,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,009 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,031 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,676
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,009
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,254
− Management
−$1,254
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$131
After-tax cash flow
$1,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Butler Area SD
NCES district ID
4204590
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,348
Composite
42.65/100
National rank
#3180
State rank
#181 of 539 in PA

Livability — Meridian

Score
71/100
State rank
#677
US rank
#6603

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meridian, PA
County
Butler County · 73,107 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
39,234
Household income
$63,635
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
1441.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.40%
Current HPI
222.4445
Rent YoY
▲ 20.36%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1997-10-16 Sold (MLS) $78,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1997-08-28 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,009 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…