824 E 8th St · Rector, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Real Estate Listing: Charming Brick and Frame Home at the Edge of Town Location: Quiet edge-of-town neighborhood, offering the perfect blend of tranquility and accessibility. Property Overview: This charming brick and frame home features a spacious layout with a screened porch and ample parking options. With two bedrooms conveniently located on the same level, this home is ideal for families or anyone seeking single-level living. Key Features: Bedrooms: 2 Bedrooms on the same level Bathrooms: 1 Full Bathroom and 1 Additional fullBathroom Living Space: Separate dining room with a breakfast bar Kitchen: Electric Range Double Oven Dishwasher Refrigerator Included Pantry for extra storage Additional Rooms: Great room perfect for entertaining Office/Study area Laundry room with washer connection Outdoor Spaces: Screened porch for enjoying warm evenings Front porch for relaxing outdoors Parking: Two-car parking pads HVAC: Central electric heating and cooling Insulation & Efficiency: Insulated windows and doors Extra insulation for energy efficiency Ridge vents for improved ventilation High-efficiency HVAC system Utilities: Public water and sewer services Natural gas available Addition
Key facts
- Office study area
- Electric range
- Laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rector School District (rural): math 35% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #149 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $99k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,799
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -46.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $28,997
- Equity at exit
- $44,515
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $79,357
- Equity at exit
- $68,602
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72461
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,198 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-01-29price $99,000
-
2026-01-29historical
-
2026-01-27$99,000 New Listing 1204-char remark
Show marketing remark (1204 chars)
Real Estate Listing: Charming Brick and Frame Home at the Edge of Town Location: Quiet edge-of-town neighborhood, offering the perfect blend of tranquility and accessibility. Property Overview: This charming brick and frame home features a spacious layout with a screened porch and ample parking options. With two bedrooms conveniently located on the same level, this home is ideal for families or anyone seeking single-level living. Key Features: Bedrooms: 2 Bedrooms on the same level Bathrooms: 1 Full Bathroom and 1 Additional fullBathroom Living Space: Separate dining room with a breakfast bar Kitchen: Electric Range Double Oven Dishwasher Refrigerator Included Pantry for extra storage Additional Rooms: Great room perfect for entertaining Office/Study area Laundry room with washer connection Outdoor Spaces: Screened porch for enjoying warm evenings Front porch for relaxing outdoors Parking: Two-car parking pads HVAC: Central electric heating and cooling Insulation & Efficiency: Insulated windows and doors Extra insulation for energy efficiency Ridge vents for improved ventilation High-efficiency HVAC system Utilities: Public water and sewer services Natural gas available Addition
-
2025-09-08price $205,000
-
2025-09-02status Back on Market
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2024-08-01$210,000 New Listing
-
2010-06-21soldstatus $28,000
-
2010-04-28soldstatus $23,921
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,415
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,150
- − Management
- −$1,150
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,737
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,797/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rector School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504370
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,504
- Composite
- 25.78/100
- National rank
- #7366
- State rank
- #149 of 238 in AR
Livability — Rector
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #11481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rector, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,684
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,564 people
- By 2030
- 12,834 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 11,498 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 10,325 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 8,228 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 6,675 · -50.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+313.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $205,000 CARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2024-08-01 Listed $210,000 CARMLS
- 2010-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $23,921 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,415 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…