Multi-family
211 Melrose St · Luzerne, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$12,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Need an investment or starter home, this 2 bed/1 bath half duplex would be perfect. Extras include a covered front porch, enclosed side porch, and a walk-out basement. Within close proximity to Brownsville.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Enclosed side porch
- Walk-out basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $13k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $13k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 65.3% vs local median 6.1% in Luzerne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#391 in PA, #3,538 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Brownsville Area SD (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #472 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $912 of equity ($90 loan paydown + $822 appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 65.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 210.77%
- DSCR
- 10.38
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,817
- List price
- $12,950
- Delta
- -80.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.30×
- Total profit
- $44,604
- Equity at exit
- $8,428
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.42×
- Total profit
- $99,433
- Equity at exit
- $15,539
Cash invested: $3,626 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15433
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $953 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$68
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $514/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,238
- Closing costs
- $388
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $12,950 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $12,950 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $12,950 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $12,950 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $12,950 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $12,950 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $12,950 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $12,950 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $12,950 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $14,950 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $14,950 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $14,950 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $14,950 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $14,950 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Need an investment or starter home, this 2 bed/1 bath half duplex would be perfect. Extras include a covered front porch, enclosed side porch, and a walk-out basement. Within close proximity to Brownsville.
-
2026-03-25$19,950 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Need an investment or starter home, this 2 bed/1 bath half duplex would be perfect. Extras include a covered front porch, enclosed side porch, and a walk-out basement. Within close proximity to Brownsville.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$725
- − Property taxes
- −$514
- − Insurance
- −$65
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$915
- − Management
- −$915
- − Depreciation
- −$377
- Taxable income
- $7,927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,903
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,500
- Composite
- 20.93/100
- National rank
- #8481
- State rank
- #472 of 539 in PA
Livability — Luzerne
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #3538
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,959
- Population (ZIP)
- 627
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 8% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Current HPI
- 174.338
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-25.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $14,950 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $19,950 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $514 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…