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C+ Composite 62.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$784,999

1343 Saint Lawrence Ave · New York, NY 10472
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,932 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1970 2,818 sqft lot Est $898k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2 FAMILY BRICK SEMI ATTACH NESTLED IN THE SOUNDVIEW AREA OF THE BRONX. 1ST FLOOR FEATURES 3 BEDROOMS, FULL BATH LIVING DINING ROOM AND KITCHEN. 2ND FLOOR 3 FEATURES 3 BEDROOMS, FULL BATH, LIVING DINING ROOM AND KITCHEN. Additional Information: ParkingFeatures:2 Car Detached,

Key facts

  • 2,818 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $785k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $371/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $729k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $729k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $220k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($773k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $260k; list at $785k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $728,600 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$898,380
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1347 Taylor Ave 0.13mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,012 (+4%) 5mo $775,000 $385 78
1513 Rosedale Ave 0.30mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,946 (+1%) 3mo $799,000 $411 74
1274 Fteley Ave 0.26mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,840 (-5%) 6mo $955,000 $519 66
1926 Mcgraw Ave 0.42mi 5/4.0 (-1) 1,935 (+0%) 2mo $900,000 $465 65
1317 Thieriot Ave 0.20mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,773 (-8%) 8mo $880,000 $496 62
1071 Stratford Ave 0.66mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,950 (+1%) 2mo $880,000 $451 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$187,542
Equity at exit
$401,824
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$547,266
Equity at exit
$660,281

Cash invested: $219,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10472

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
18.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,117
Tax from tax record
$571 /mo · $6,855/yr
Insurance
$327
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,530
Net cashflow
$741

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,348
Max offer price $784,999
Occupancy floor 85%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,286

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$196,250
Closing costs
$23,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2024-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2024-03-29
    listed $784,999 Active
  3. 2002-10-24
    soldstatus $260,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,855 · $571/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,061 · $838/mo
Expected delta
+$3,206/yr (+$267/mo · 46.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$87,432
− Mortgage interest
−$43,972
− Property taxes
−$6,855
− Insurance
−$3,925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,995
− Management
−$6,995
− Depreciation
−$22,836
Taxable loss
−$4,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$995
After-tax cash flow
$9,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
63,820

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% White 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 20%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.08%
Current HPI
236.8002
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+201.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-04-28 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $784,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,855 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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