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1734 W Atlantic St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1734 W Atlantic St · Springfield, MO 65803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 983 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1918 7,405 sqft lot $81/sqft · 36% below area Est $126k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $995/month. Located in the Tom Watkins neighborhood within walking distance of Tom Watkins Park.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1918
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Square footage: 983 above-grade finished area
  • Financial info: Tax amount listed (not included per instructions)
  • HOA & community: HOA information not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not specified
  • Security: Security features not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Construction materials not specified; Year built not specified; Foundation not specified; Roof not specified
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances not specified
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: One-level living
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry facilities not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$125,669) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Williams Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 317 students, 85% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.87%
Cash-on-cash
16.34%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,669
List price
$80,000
Delta
-36.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1516 W Lee St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+4%) 1mo $149,900 $147 77
2119 N Marion Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,018 (+4%) 3mo $112,500 $111 76
2117 N Lexington Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+6%) 3mo $124,500 $120 74
1934 W Lee St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,075 (+9%) 2mo $140,500 $131 70
2043 N Roosevelt North Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+2%) 4mo $109,000 $109 67
2111 N Elizabeth Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 845 (-14%) 4mo $80,000 $95 62
2234 N Fay Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 867 (-12%) 3mo $129,900 $150 62
1310 W Florida St 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,086 (+10%) 4mo $125,000 $115 60
1520 W Lynn St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,006 (+2%) 1mo $130,000 $129 59
2130 N Elizabeth Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,118 (+14%) 2mo $110,000 $98 58
2074 N Columbia Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-6%) 1mo $100,000 $108 57
1121 W Florida St 0.52mi 2/2.0 844 (-14%) 1mo $57,000 $68 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$7,727
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$37,082
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,019 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $566/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$305

Break-even live

Break-even rent $633
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 43d 1 0.23mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 13d 1 0.25mi
2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $925 $1.05 43d 1 0.54mi
2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 0.58mi
1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $865 $0.98 23d 1 0.80mi
2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 756 $695 $0.92 13d 1 0.80mi
1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 648 $895 $1.38 23d 1 0.83mi
916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 573 $595 $1.04 43d 1 1.02mi
603 W Division St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $995 $1.22 13d 1 1.05mi
203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 21d 1 1.21mi
2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,095 $1.01 43d 1 1.21mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 23d 1 1.28mi
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 43d 1 1.30mi
3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,295 $1.28 21d 1 1.31mi
2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 619 $795 $1.28 43d 1 1.32mi
317 E Chase St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 915 $1,100 $1.20 43d 1 1.33mi
1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,425 $1.27 43d 1 1.37mi
522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 608 $950 $1.56 43d 1 1.38mi
647 W Central St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 882 $1,050 $1.19 23d 1 1.38mi
815 N Grant Ave Unit A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 801 $625 $0.78 43d 1 1.39mi
1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.40mi
813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 560 $795 $1.42 13d 1 1.40mi
407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $795 $1.10 13d 1 1.41mi
3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,350 $1.27 43d 1 1.41mi
922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $80,000 Active 161-char remark
  2. 2025-03-27
    historical $995
  3. 2024-10-10
    listed $995
  4. 2022-06-28
    price $995
  5. 2017-06-19
    listed $229,900
  6. 2016-01-18
    listed $84,273
  7. 2010-03-02
    soldstatus
  8. 2009-02-17
    listed $64,900
  9. 2008-11-12
    listed $64,900
  10. 2007-08-02
    soldstatus
  11. 2007-03-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$566 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$776 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$210/yr (+$18/mo · 37.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,227
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$566
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$978
− Management
−$978
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$599
After-tax cash flow
$3,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $80,000 SOMO
  • 2025-03-27 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-10 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-06-28 Price Changed $995 RENT.
  • 2017-06-19 Listed $229,900 SOMO
  • 2016-01-18 Listed $84,273 SOMO
  • 2010-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-02-17 Listed $64,900 SOMO
  • 2008-11-12 Listed $64,900 SOMO
  • 2007-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-03-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $566 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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