🏷️ Likely Rental
1734 W Atlantic St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $995/month. Located in the Tom Watkins neighborhood within walking distance of Tom Watkins Park.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1918
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Square footage: 983 above-grade finished area
- Financial info: Tax amount listed (not included per instructions)
- HOA & community: HOA information not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not specified
- Security: Security features not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Construction materials not specified; Year built not specified; Foundation not specified; Roof not specified
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances not specified
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
- Flooring: Flooring not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: One-level living
- Laundry & utility: Laundry facilities not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Williams Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 317 students, 85% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.34%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,669
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -36.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1516 W Lee St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $147 | 77 |
| 2119 N Marion Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+4%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $111 | 76 |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+6%) | 3mo | $124,500 | $120 | 74 |
| 1934 W Lee St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+9%) | 2mo | $140,500 | $131 | 70 |
| 2043 N Roosevelt North Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+2%) | 4mo | $109,000 | $109 | 67 |
| 2111 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 845 (-14%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $95 | 62 |
| 2234 N Fay Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (-12%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $150 | 62 |
| 1310 W Florida St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,086 (+10%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 1520 W Lynn St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,006 (+2%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 2130 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+14%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 2074 N Columbia Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-6%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 1121 W Florida St | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 844 (-14%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $68 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $7,727
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $37,082
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $566/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $865 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $695 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $895 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $595 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 603 W Division St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $995 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,095 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 740 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 741 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $795 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 317 E Chase St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $950 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 647 W Central St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 815 N Grant Ave Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $625 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $795 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $795 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14$80,000 Active 161-char remark
-
2025-03-27historical $995
-
2024-10-10$995
-
2022-06-28price $995
-
2017-06-19$229,900
-
2016-01-18$84,273
-
2010-03-02soldstatus
-
2009-02-17$64,900
-
2008-11-12$64,900
-
2007-08-02soldstatus
-
2007-03-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $566 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$210/yr (+$18/mo · 37.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$566
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$978
- − Management
- −$978
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,496
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,060/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+23.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-05-14 Listed $80,000 SOMO
- 2025-03-27 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-10 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
- 2022-06-28 Price Changed $995 RENT.
- 2017-06-19 Listed $229,900 SOMO
- 2016-01-18 Listed $84,273 SOMO
- 2010-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-02-17 Listed $64,900 SOMO
- 2008-11-12 Listed $64,900 SOMO
- 2007-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-03-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $566 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…