🏗️ New Construction
29843 Beth Terrace Ln · Fulshear, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this stunning Perry Homes model home featuring custom blinds, a GE washer and dryer, and a home office with French doors. The grand entry boasts a 20-foot ceiling and a formal dining room that leads to a beautiful rotunda with a curved staircase. The spacious two-story family room opens to the kitchen and morning area. The kitchen is a chef's dream with a generous island, built-in seating, and a 5-burner gas cooktop. The primary suite offers a wall of windows, dual vanity, garden tub, glass-enclosed shower, and a large walk-in closet with access to the utility room. With a first-floor guest suite, game room, media room, extended covered patio, and a 6-zone sprinkler system, this
Key facts
- Curved staircase
- Formal dining room
- Generous island
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: CCRCA association; Annual association fee of $1,500; Association maintains clubhouse, common areas, and recreation facilities; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2022; Slab foundation
- Construction: Stucco construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas range; Microwave; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (14 x 19); First-floor bedroom (10 x 15); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 13); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 11); Second-floor bedroom (12 x 13)
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Breakfast nook; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $6k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $6k).
- Cap rate 549.6% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1213 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $38 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $165 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 61.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 549.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1940.39%
- DSCR
- 87.34
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 97.10×
- Total profit
- $147,994
- Equity at exit
- $820
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 192.93×
- Total profit
- $295,575
- Equity at exit
- $476
Cash invested: $1,540 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77441
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1213
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,358 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$29
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$7 /mo · $82/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$705
- Net cashflow
- $2,490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,375
- Closing costs
- $165
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8114 Royal Palm Ct Fulshear, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2960 | $3,295 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 8106 Royal Palm Ct Fulshear, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2946 | $2,950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$5,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$308
- − Property taxes
- −$82
- − Insurance
- −$28
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,224
- − Management
- −$3,224
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$160
- Taxable income
- $31,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,626
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fulshear
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #430
- US rank
- #8901
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulshear, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 41,324
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,324
- Household income
- $184,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 301.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 4% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.74%
- Current HPI
- 275.8798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $5,500 HARMLS
Property tax history
+143.6%/yrLatest (2025): $20,086 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…