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29843 Beth Terrace Ln 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,500

29843 Beth Terrace Ln · Fulshear, TX 77441
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,925 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2022 7,758 sqft lot $125/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this stunning Perry Homes model home featuring custom blinds, a GE washer and dryer, and a home office with French doors. The grand entry boasts a 20-foot ceiling and a formal dining room that leads to a beautiful rotunda with a curved staircase. The spacious two-story family room opens to the kitchen and morning area. The kitchen is a chef's dream with a generous island, built-in seating, and a 5-burner gas cooktop. The primary suite offers a wall of windows, dual vanity, garden tub, glass-enclosed shower, and a large walk-in closet with access to the utility room. With a first-floor guest suite, game room, media room, extended covered patio, and a 6-zone sprinkler system, this

Key facts

  • Curved staircase
  • Formal dining room
  • Generous island

Tags

HOME OFFICEFORMAL DINING ROOMCURVED STAIRCASETWO-STORY FAMILY ROOMCHEF'S DREAM KITCHENGENEROUS ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: CCRCA association; Annual association fee of $1,500; Association maintains clubhouse, common areas, and recreation facilities; Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2022; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas range; Microwave; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (14 x 19); First-floor bedroom (10 x 15); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 13); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 11); Second-floor bedroom (12 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Breakfast nook; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $6k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $6k).
  • Cap rate 549.6% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1213 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $38 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $165 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
61.06%
Cap rate
549.60%
Cash-on-cash
1940.39%
DSCR
87.34
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
97.10×
Total profit
$147,994
Equity at exit
$820
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
192.93×
Total profit
$295,575
Equity at exit
$476

Cash invested: $1,540 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77441

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
1213
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,358 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$29
Tax est. 1.5%
$7 /mo · $82/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$705
Net cashflow
$2,490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $206
Max offer price $5,500
Occupancy floor 21%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,375
Closing costs
$165
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8114 Royal Palm Ct Fulshear, TX 5.0 4.0 2960 $3,295 $1.11 43d 1 1.47mi
8106 Royal Palm Ct Fulshear, TX 5.0 4.0 2946 $2,950 $1.00 43d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $5,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,301
− Mortgage interest
−$308
− Property taxes
−$82
− Insurance
−$28
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,224
− Management
−$3,224
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$160
Taxable income
$31,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,626
After-tax cash flow
$22,256/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fulshear

Score
69/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#8901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulshear, TX
County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
41,324
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
41,324
Household income
$184,390
Rent vs Own
8.0% rent · 92.0% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 4% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.74%
Current HPI
275.8798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.63%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $5,500 HARMLS

Property tax history

+143.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $20,086 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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