194 N Green St · Hawkins, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedrooms | 1.5 Bathrooms | Great Investment Opportunity Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath plus bonus room home in the heart of Hawkins! Full of potential, this property is ready for someone to restore it to its full charm. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity, an investor searching for your next project, or someone who enjoys remodeling, this home offers a fantastic opportunity. Features include a welcoming covered front porch, a functional floor plan, and a detached storage shed that provides additional space for tools, lawn equipment, or hobbies. The spacious yard offers room for gardening, pets, or outdoor entertaining.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1986
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.1% in Hawkins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#196 in TX, #4,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Hawkins ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #339 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hawkins El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 383 students, 64% FRL); Hawkins H S / Middle (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #798 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 386 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 352 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.14%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,338
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -46.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 W Blackbourn St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,105 (-15%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $77 | 48 |
| 225 Blackbourn St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-18%) | 23mo | $169,000 | $159 | 41 |
| 299 Francis St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $98 | 39 |
| 290 Dickard St | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,387 (+7%) | 12mo | $171,000 | $123 | 38 |
| 1240 N Beaulah St | 1.01mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,272 (-2%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $67 | 38 |
| 675 N Beaulah St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,499 (+16%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $113 | 29 |
| 172 Gaskins St | 1.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $122 | 26 |
| 199 Holmes St | 1.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $107 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $42,454
- Equity at exit
- $38,637
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $106,267
- Equity at exit
- $59,905
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 7 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 42.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $124,900 ($114/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75765
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $498
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $546 | -5% $522 | +0% $498 | +5% $474 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $381 | -5% $439 | +0% $498 | +5% $557 | +10% $615 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $541 | -0.5pp $520 | base $498 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Francis St Hawkins, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 35d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 410 W Front St Unit 426 Hawkins, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 410 W Front St Hawkins, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 410 W Front St Hawkins, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.37mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities
- Standard water and sewer (details not provided)Natural gas available
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne story
- Construction
- Stone and shingle siding exteriorPillar/post/pier foundationComposition roofBuilt as residential single-family
- Exterior features
- Covered porchChain link fencingOn-site storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeDisposalMicrowave
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (natural gas)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Primary bedroom located on the lower levelFireplace
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $84,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $84,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $84,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $84,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $84,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $84,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $84,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $84,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $84,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $84,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $84,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $84,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $84,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $84,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $84,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $84,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $84,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $84,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $84,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $84,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $84,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $84,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $84,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $84,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $84,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $84,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $84,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $84,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $84,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $84,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $84,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $84,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $84,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $84,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $84,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $84,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $84,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $84,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $84,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $84,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $84,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $84,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $84,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $84,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $84,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $84,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $84,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $84,900 Active 84 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,334 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,334 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,819
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$2,334
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,426
- − Management
- −$1,426
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $4,984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home presents a moderate renovation opportunity with average condition. It needs some interior updates and landscaping to improve its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $3,000–$12,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the exterior.
- Minor Other — No visible signs of damage or wear on other components.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Some wear and tear on the interior walls.
- Minor Landscaping — The yard could benefit from some landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting and updating the interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appeal. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawkins ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822770
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,119
- Composite
- 35.91/100
- National rank
- #4809
- State rank
- #339 of 826 in TX
Livability — Hawkins
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hawkins, TX
- County
- Wood · 46,480 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,195
- Household income
- $58,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,480 people
- By 2030
- 47,796 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 50,142 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 52,122 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 57,033 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 56,418 · +21.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Current HPI
- 236.7688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-06-26 Listed $89,900 GTAR
- 2024-12-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,334 · +17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…