20560 Dresden St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1949
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 8991% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $100k implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.99%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,946
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 51.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20520 Dresden St | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 | 680 (-0%) | 0mo | $33,000 | $49 | 95 |
| 20083 Bradford St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (-5%) | 0mo | $24,000 | $37 | 80 |
| 12832 Sherman Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+2%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 20091 Annott St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (+9%) | 1mo | $12,800 | $17 | 71 |
| 13075 Sherman Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+2%) | 6mo | $83,000 | $119 | 63 |
| 13119 Sherman Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+2%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 13475 Coleen Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-2%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $97 | 60 |
| 12426 Sidonie Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+10%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $175 | 59 |
| 13415 Sherman Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 710 (+4%) | 7mo | $113,300 | $160 | 53 |
| 12856 Couwlier Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+12%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $74 | 45 |
| 19735 Annott St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+14%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $89 | 43 |
| 20210 Hickory St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 779 (+14%) | 6mo | $21,500 | $28 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $3,986
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $23,862
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $957/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,999 | $2.94 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 254 DOM
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2025-10-09historical $900
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2025-09-26price $900
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2025-09-25price $79,000 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.
-
2025-09-24price $79,000 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.
-
2025-09-23$1,100
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2025-09-19$99,000 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.
-
2025-09-19$99,000 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.
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2023-03-02historical
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2023-03-02status Active
-
2023-01-01historical
-
2022-12-31historical
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2022-03-07$100,000 Active
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2022-03-07$100,000 Active
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2021-12-10historical
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2021-12-09status Pending
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2021-12-09status Pending
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2021-12-09historical
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2021-12-07price $88,000
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2021-12-06price $88,000
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2021-11-14$100,000 Active
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2021-11-14$100,000 Active
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2021-06-07soldstatus $14,500 Sold
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2021-06-07soldstatus $14,500 Closed
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2021-05-28status Pending
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2021-05-28$15,000 Active
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2021-05-28$15,000
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2021-05-28historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,249 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$291/yr (+$24/mo · 30.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$957
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,737
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+426.7% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-09 Rental Removed $900 REALSOURCE
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $900 REALSOURCE
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $1,100 REALSOURCE
- 2025-09-19 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-19 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-07 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-07 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-07 Price Changed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-06 Price Changed $88,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-14 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-14 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $14,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $14,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-28 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-28 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $957 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…