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20560 Dresden St
C+ Composite 64.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

20560 Dresden St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 683 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 272 Days on market
Built 1949 4,792 sqft lot $146/sqft · 52% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1949

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 8991% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $100k implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.99%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,946
List price
$100,000
Delta
51.64%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20520 Dresden St 0.04mi 2/1.5 680 (-0%) 0mo $33,000 $49 95
20083 Bradford St 0.25mi 2/1.0 648 (-5%) 0mo $24,000 $37 80
12832 Sherman Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 696 (+2%) 2mo $100,000 $144 73
20091 Annott St 0.27mi 2/1.0 747 (+9%) 1mo $12,800 $17 71
13075 Sherman Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 700 (+2%) 6mo $83,000 $119 63
13119 Sherman Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 696 (+2%) 7mo $80,000 $115 62
13475 Coleen Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 672 (-2%) 6mo $65,000 $97 60
12426 Sidonie Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 750 (+10%) 4mo $131,000 $175 59
13415 Sherman Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 710 (+4%) 7mo $113,300 $160 53
12856 Couwlier Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 768 (+12%) 7mo $57,000 $74 45
19735 Annott St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+14%) 4mo $69,500 $89 43
20210 Hickory St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 779 (+14%) 6mo $21,500 $28 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$3,986
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$23,862
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,260 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $957/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $818
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,225 $1.76 43d 1 0.49mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 0.64mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 0.81mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 43d 1 0.82mi
11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 672 $1,175 $1.75 43d 1 0.89mi
18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 680 $1,999 $2.94 17d 1 1.26mi
7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,165 $1.94 24d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 272 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 271 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 269 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 267 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 266 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 263 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 262 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 261 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 258 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 257 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 255 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 254 DOM
  13. 2025-10-09
    historical $900
  14. 2025-09-26
    price $900
  15. 2025-09-25
    price $79,000 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.

  16. 2025-09-24
    price $79,000 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.

  17. 2025-09-23
    listed $1,100
  18. 2025-09-19
    listed $99,000 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.

  19. 2025-09-19
    listed $99,000 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Completely rehabbed by licensed contractors with all permits pulled for the performed rehabilitation. Luxury Vinyl flooring new windows paint etc. 3 car garage with electricity. The property is also offered for lease at $1,100 a month. The seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan. All measurements approximate. LC terms are negotiable but minimum 20,000 down payment. property is tenant-occupied.

  20. 2023-03-02
    historical
  21. 2023-03-02
    status Active
  22. 2023-01-01
    historical
  23. 2022-12-31
    historical
  24. 2022-03-07
    listed $100,000 Active
  25. 2022-03-07
    listed $100,000 Active
  26. 2021-12-10
    historical
  27. 2021-12-09
    status Pending
  28. 2021-12-09
    status Pending
  29. 2021-12-09
    historical
  30. 2021-12-07
    price $88,000
  31. 2021-12-06
    price $88,000
  32. 2021-11-14
    listed $100,000 Active
  33. 2021-11-14
    listed $100,000 Active
  34. 2021-06-07
    soldstatus $14,500 Sold
  35. 2021-06-07
    soldstatus $14,500 Closed
  36. 2021-05-28
    status Pending
  37. 2021-05-28
    listed $15,000 Active
  38. 2021-05-28
    listed $15,000
  39. 2021-05-28
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$957 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,249 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$291/yr (+$24/mo · 30.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,125
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$957
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,210
− Management
−$1,210
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$657
After-tax cash flow
$3,541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+426.7% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-09 Rental Removed $900 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $900 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $1,100 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-07 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-07 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-07 Price Changed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-06 Price Changed $88,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-14 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-14 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $14,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $14,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $957 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…