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8127 Airport Rd
C Composite 56.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

8127 Airport Rd · Berkeley, MO 63134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1950 6,599 sqft lot $115/sqft · 33% above area Est $79k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently updated and income-producing, this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 8127 Airport Rd offers a great opportunity for investors. The property features modern updates throughout, a full basement providing additional storage or potential living space, and a detached garage for added convenience. Currently tenant-occupied, this home offers immediate rental income from day one. Conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and public transportation. A solid addition to any portfolio—don’t miss out on this turnkey investment opportunity!

Key facts

  • 6,599 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#774 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $105k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.59%
Cash-on-cash
15.33%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,010
List price
$105,000
Delta
32.90%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
826 Walters Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 925 (+1%) 2mo $60,000 $65 74
6330 Washington Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 864 (-5%) 1mo $50,000 $58 70
308 Henquin Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 861 (-6%) 1mo $80,000 $93 70
6300 Evergreen Blvd 0.48mi 3/1.0 864 (-5%) 2mo $99,000 $115 67
8234 Airport Rd 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-13%) 4mo $75,000 $95 62
222 Henquin Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-10%) 1mo $115,000 $141 62
6637 Torlina Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 960 (+5%) 2mo $109,900 $114 60
6006 Cascade Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+14%) 1mo $75,000 $72 60
6625 Thurston Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 939 (+3%) 4mo $74,900 $80 60
6013 Garfield Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (+8%) 3mo $75,000 $76 50
6042 Hancock Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,041 (+14%) 3mo $104,900 $101 49
6717 Thurston Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-8%) 2mo $60,000 $71 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,086
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$27,959
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63134

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,304 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $724/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $829
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,125 $1.42 23d 1 0.10mi
6044 Cascade Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 7d 1 0.15mi
6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 0.16mi
8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 7d 1 0.19mi
6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,425 $1.48 10d 1 0.23mi
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 17d 1 0.31mi
6214 Jefferson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,195 $1.46 23d 1 0.31mi
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,285 $1.34 43d 1 0.40mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,260 $1.36 16d 1 0.41mi
6334 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 4d 1 0.43mi
6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 739 $1,175 $1.59 16d 1 0.43mi
6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,175 $1.63 43d 1 0.43mi
6234 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 2.0 1.0 846 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.52mi
6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,495 $1.44 23d 1 0.56mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,300 $1.38 43d 1 0.56mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 23d 1 0.56mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 23d 1 0.68mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 7d 1 0.88mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 7d 1 0.99mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 43d 1 1.06mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 887 $1,297 $1.46 20d 1 1.06mi
422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 1.06mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 19d 1 1.06mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 12d 1 1.08mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 43d 1 1.11mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 23d 1 1.14mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 43d 1 1.15mi
260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,623 $1.49 20d 1 1.15mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $835 $1.11 43d 1 1.17mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5530 B1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $915 $1.08 43d 1 1.17mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 43d 1 1.17mi
263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 888 $1,350 $1.52 43d 1 1.17mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 7d 1 1.20mi
1275 N Florissant Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,275 $1.26 23d 1 1.22mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 23d 1 1.24mi
7025 Richwood Ln Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,375 $1.47 17d 1 1.24mi
11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,345 $1.20 23d 1 1.33mi
241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 703 $1,075 $1.53 23d 1 1.33mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 1.33mi
401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 16d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    price $105,000 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Recently updated and income-producing, this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 8127 Airport Rd offers a great opportunity for investors. The property features modern updates throughout, a full basement providing additional storage or potential living space, and a detached garage for added convenience. Currently tenant-occupied, this home offers immediate rental income from day one. Conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and public transportation. A solid addition to any portfolio—don’t miss out on this turnkey investment opportunity!

  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $115,000 Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Recently updated and income-producing, this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 8127 Airport Rd offers a great opportunity for investors. The property features modern updates throughout, a full basement providing additional storage or potential living space, and a detached garage for added convenience. Currently tenant-occupied, this home offers immediate rental income from day one. Conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and public transportation. A solid addition to any portfolio—don’t miss out on this turnkey investment opportunity!

  3. 2026-04-07
    historical $115,000 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Recently updated and income-producing, this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 8127 Airport Rd offers a great opportunity for investors. The property features modern updates throughout, a full basement providing additional storage or potential living space, and a detached garage for added convenience. Currently tenant-occupied, this home offers immediate rental income from day one. Conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and public transportation. A solid addition to any portfolio—don’t miss out on this turnkey investment opportunity!

  4. 2025-12-23
    status Active
  5. 2025-11-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2025-11-13
    status Active
  7. 2025-11-13
    price $120,000
  8. 2025-10-22
    listed $74,900 Active
  9. 2025-10-22
    historical
  10. 2023-02-07
    soldstatus $62,000
  11. 2023-02-06
    soldstatus Closed
  12. 2000-12-27
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$724 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$294/yr (+$25/mo · 40.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,651
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$724
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$3,797/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Berkeley

Score
54/100
State rank
#774
US rank
#23800

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berkeley, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
13,059
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
13,059
Household income
$44,680
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.02%
Current HPI
226.9524
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $724 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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