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219 White Pne
B Composite 71.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,995

219 White Pne · Florence, KY 41042
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 2026 $615/mo HOA · 29% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This Champion Crown model is a double-width, 28x56', is a 1,493 sq. ft. manufactured home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This modern, multi-section home boasts an open-concept layout, a high-end kitchen with ample storage, and a spacious master suite, designed for family living. * Image is not the actual home, but a representation White Pine Pointe is a family-friendly community. Located in a premium spot just minutes from I-75/71 in Florence Kentucky, shopping, restaurants and a Kroger store is within walking distance. Florence Kentucky offers world-class services to premium recreational opportunities for residents of all ages. Amenities - playground, pickleball court, basketball c

Key facts

  • Pickleball court
  • Walking distance
  • World-class services

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTHIGH-END KITCHENSPACIOUS MASTER SUITEWALKING DISTANCEWORLD-CLASS SERVICESPICKLEBALL COURT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 219 White Pine, Florence KY 41042
  • Financial info: List price $94,995
  • HOA & community: Association fee approximately $615

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family home, active listing
  • Construction: Built 2026 (new construction spec)
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,568

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec new construction (Crown plan - White Pine)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.4% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#82 in KY, #2,763 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+.
  • Boone County (suburban): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #12 of 165 in KY (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,430 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (928 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Recommended offer $94,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
11.16%
Cash-on-cash
17.38%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$10,447
Equity at exit
$14,164
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$46,044
Equity at exit
$8,213

Cash invested: $26,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41042

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,097 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$615
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,609
Max offer price $94,995
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,749
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH07 Florence, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 7d 1 0.26mi
71 Deer Haven Ct Unit RL10322 Florence, KY 3.0 2.5 1550 $1,999 $1.29 7d 1 0.26mi
71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH65 Florence, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 23d 1 0.26mi
71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH6 Florence, KY 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,925 $1.28 23d 1 0.26mi
996 Trellises Dr Florence, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 918 $1,891 $2.06 1d 27 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$615 · $7,380/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,995 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,995 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,995 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,995 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $94,995 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,167
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,013
− Management
−$2,013
− HOA
−$7,380
− Depreciation
−$2,763
Taxable income
$3,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$906
After-tax cash flow
$3,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boone County
NCES district ID
2100510
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$68,096
Composite
41.18/100
National rank
#3550
State rank
#12 of 165 in KY

Livability — Florence

Score
78/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#2763

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Boone County · 99,563 people
City population
57,634
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
57,634
Household income
$79,712
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1397.0

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,066 people
By 2030
152,005 · +5.5%
By 2040
166,776 · +15.8%
By 2050
178,974 · +24.2%
By 2075
204,515 · +42.0%
By 2100
215,306 · +49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.2) · D 30.6% · R 67.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -37.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.2 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.07%
Current HPI
206.3259
Rent YoY
▲ 3.42%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…