219 White Pne · Florence, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Champion Crown model is a double-width, 28x56', is a 1,493 sq. ft. manufactured home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This modern, multi-section home boasts an open-concept layout, a high-end kitchen with ample storage, and a spacious master suite, designed for family living. * Image is not the actual home, but a representation White Pine Pointe is a family-friendly community. Located in a premium spot just minutes from I-75/71 in Florence Kentucky, shopping, restaurants and a Kroger store is within walking distance. Florence Kentucky offers world-class services to premium recreational opportunities for residents of all ages. Amenities - playground, pickleball court, basketball c
Key facts
- Pickleball court
- Walking distance
- World-class services
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 219 White Pine, Florence KY 41042
- Financial info: List price $94,995
- HOA & community: Association fee approximately $615
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family home, active listing
- Construction: Built 2026 (new construction spec)
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,568
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec new construction (Crown plan - White Pine)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.4% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#82 in KY, #2,763 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+.
- Boone County (suburban): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #12 of 165 in KY (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,430 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (928 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.38%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,447
- Equity at exit
- $14,164
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $46,044
- Equity at exit
- $8,213
Cash invested: $26,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41042
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,097 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$615
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,749
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH07 Florence, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 71 Deer Haven Ct Unit RL10322 Florence, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $1,999 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH65 Florence, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 71 Deer Haven Ct Unit DH6 Florence, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,925 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 996 Trellises Dr Florence, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $1,891 | $2.06 | 1d | 27 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $615 · $7,380/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,995 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,995 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,995 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,995 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$94,995 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,013
- − Management
- −$2,013
- − HOA
- −$7,380
- − Depreciation
- −$2,763
- Taxable income
- $3,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$906
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boone County
- NCES district ID
- 2100510
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,096
- Composite
- 41.18/100
- National rank
- #3550
- State rank
- #12 of 165 in KY
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #2763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Boone County · 99,563 people
- City population
- 57,634
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,634
- Household income
- $79,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1397.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,066 people
- By 2030
- 152,005 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 166,776 · +15.8%
- By 2050
- 178,974 · +24.2%
- By 2075
- 204,515 · +42.0%
- By 2100
- 215,306 · +49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.2) · D 30.6% · R 67.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -37.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.2 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+34.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.07%
- Current HPI
- 206.3259
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…