843 Font Ln · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity to own an already leased investment property! Part of a potential package along with 1658 Kappel and 11948 Bridgevale, all 3 currently leased with tenants. This property can be sold separate or together with the other two. Find out more today, it will go quick!
Key facts
- 8,197 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1962
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.74%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,747
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 3.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1033 Bakewell Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+0%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $101 | 78 |
| 10307 Seaton Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 932 (-6%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $152 | 70 |
| 10130 Newbold Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-0%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $147 | 70 |
| 10066 Dorothy Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 916 (-7%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $109 | 66 |
| 10505 Druid Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+2%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $114 | 63 |
| 10519 Renfrew Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 982 (-1%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $97 | 61 |
| 1236 Bliss Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 944 (-4%) | 0mo | $118,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 10555 Gourock Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 918 (-7%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $131 | 55 |
| 10522 Byfield Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,038 (+5%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $96 | 54 |
| 1140 Nectar Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-8%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 10539 Renfrew Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 854 (-14%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $140 | 37 |
| 10301 Renfrew Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 844 (-15%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $130 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-606
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $39,489
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63137
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,938/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10203 Trio Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,435 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 815 Bella Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,275 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 10421 Gardo Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1009 Bliss Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10066 Dorothy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 743 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10401 Hobkirk Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10367 Coburg Lands Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,270 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10201 Gourock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1115 Bakewell Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,300 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10213 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,225 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 10508 Druid Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,475 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 10524 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10519 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 982 | $1,399 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1208 Rapid Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10327 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,199 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9943 Lilac Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1230 Roxton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 457 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 437 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9924 Gloucester Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,565 | $1.58 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10309 Galloway Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,295 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,295 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10518 Gretna Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 416 Crawford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,499 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10527 Prestwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 854 | $1,395 | $1.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,095 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 255 Chambers Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 312 Banff Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,195 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10063 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,540 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,425 | $1.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 305 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$120,000 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Excellent opportunity to own an already leased investment property! Part of a potential package along with 1658 Kappel and 11948 Bridgevale, all 3 currently leased with tenants. This property can be sold separate or together with the other two. Find out more today, it will go quick!
-
2022-08-09soldstatus $120,000
-
2022-07-21soldstatus Closed 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
FOR COMP PURPOSES ONLY
-
2022-05-11soldstatus $76,000
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $66,393
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $60,000
-
2004-03-01soldstatus $89,900
-
1996-04-02soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,938 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,938 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,938
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #20944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 19,684
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,684
- Household income
- $43,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1863.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.70%
- Current HPI
- 130.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+155.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-21 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $66,393 Public Records
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 1996-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2022): $1,938 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…