617 NE Geise Ave · Dawson, GA 39842

$100,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,175 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1986 0.26 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.8/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.8/10.0

Listing remarks

CUTE AND AFFORDABLE IN DAWSON, GA! 617 Geise Ave offers a cozy 1,175 sq ft of living space, 3 bedrooms along with 1 bath. Semi open floor plan! All new paint (2022). Spacious living room with LVP Flooring! Great kitchen that offers loads of counter and cabinet space! Large laundry room and great storage throughout. New laminate wood floors. NEW ROOF (2018). Termite bonded. Nice, huge backyard space. All brick exterior. ONLY $100,000!

Key facts

• Great kitchen
• Great storage
• Semi open floor plan

Tags

• SEMI OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• NEW PAINT
• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• GREAT KITCHEN
• LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM
• GREAT STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces
• Utilities: Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-family residence (detached); 1 story
• Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
• Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Ceiling fan cooling
• Interior features: Pantry; Covered patio/porch
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#508 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Terrell County (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #167 of 174 in GA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Terrell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
• Terrell County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $84k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.46% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.79%
• DSCR: 2.01
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.38×
• Total profit: $38,505
• Equity at exit: $37,108

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.55×
• Total profit: $99,349
• Equity at exit: $51,697

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39842

• Home prices YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 35
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,459 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$55 /mo · $660/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1239 Askew Dr NE Dawson, GA	3.0	2.0	1204	$1,500	$1.25	21d	1	0.26mi
1404 Georgia Ave SE Dawson, GA	3.0	2.0	1310	$1,235	$0.94	44d	1	1.29mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 441-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $660 · $55/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $920 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: +$260/yr (+$22/mo · 39.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,511
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$660
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,401
• − Management: −$1,401
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $5,038
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,209
• After-tax cash flow: $5,171/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Terrell County
• NCES district ID: 1304860
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 13% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $31,887
• Composite: 7.87/100
• National rank: #9928
• State rank: #167 of 174 in GA

Livability — Dawson

• Score: 55/100
• State rank: #508
• US rank: #23135

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dawson, GA
• Population (ZIP): 7,780

Population outlook (Terrell County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 8,041 people
• By 2030: 7,444 · -7.4%
• By 2040: 6,339 · -21.2%
• By 2050: 5,415 · -32.7%
• By 2075: 4,220 · -47.5%
• By 2100: 3,750 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 64% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Terrell

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.7pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 4.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.1 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+9.4 2012: D+16.1 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.56%
• Current HPI: 190.252
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+19.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $100,000 SWGABOR
• 2022-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $660 · -23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.