CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
737 Jed Pl
D Composite 42.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,500

737 Jed Pl · Owensboro, KY 42301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1955 7,140 sqft lot $162/sqft · 6% below area Est $138k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Fenced backyard
  • Corner lot

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDCORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($20/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Owensboro Independent (urban): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #100 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cravens Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 370 students, 92% FRL); Owensboro Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 217 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Owensboro High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 1,334 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,499 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.06%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,477
List price
$129,500
Delta
-6.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
737 Jed Pl 0.00mi 3/1.0 800 (0%) 1mo $117,000 $146 100
736 Jed Pl 0.02mi 3/1.0 800 (0%) 13mo $127,900 $160 88
716 Dornell St 0.09mi 3/1.0 800 (0%) 11mo $141,000 $176 87
501 Jed Pl 0.19mi 3/1.0 864 (+8%) 0mo $147,000 $170 77
601 Jeff Pl 0.25mi 3/1.0 864 (+8%) 3mo $143,000 $166 72
2514 Cravens Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 756 (-6%) 6mo $120,000 $159 64
1151 Carter Rd 0.39mi 3/1.0 886 (+11%) 4mo $130,500 $147 61
2107 West 6th St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+5%) 2mo $81,000 $96 58
622 Ridgewood St 0.34mi 3/1.0 910 (+14%) 9mo $176,000 $193 54
1333 Carter Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 864 (+8%) 8mo $150,000 $174 53
3407 Hummingbird Loop South Loop 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 876 (+10%) 6mo $167,400 $191 44
2021 West 1st St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+5%) 14mo $78,000 $93 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-20,859
Equity at exit
$19,309
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-17,955
Equity at exit
$11,197

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42301

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Active inventory
301
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$679
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,133
Max offer price $129,500
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $46 +0% $2 +5% $-43 +10% $-88
Rent -10% $-88 -5% $-43 +0% $2 +5% $47 +10% $91
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $35 base $2 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,375
Closing costs
$3,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1202 Hutch Ln Unit A Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 989 $825 $0.83 15d 1 0.52mi
201 Heartwood Ct Unit B5 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 655 $945 $1.44 22d 1 0.95mi
225 Heartwood Ct Unit 11 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $945 $1.35 22d 1 0.97mi
225 Heartwood Ct Unit 3 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 22d 1 0.97mi
225 Heartwood Ct Apt 7 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 45d 1 0.97mi
200 Heartwood Ct Unit 8 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 22d 1 0.97mi
250 Heartwood Ct Unit 1 Owensboro, KY 2.0 1.0 690 $945 $1.37 15d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  2. 2026-05-08
    price $129,500 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  3. 2026-05-06
    status Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  4. 2026-04-13
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  5. 2026-03-24
    price $134,500 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  6. 2026-02-17
    status Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  7. 2026-02-09
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

  8. 2025-12-22
    listed $129,900 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    This newly remodeled home on Owensboro’s West Side sits on a desirable corner lot and includes all appliances. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a handy storage shed for extra space. New roof, new vinyl siding, new carpet. Move-in ready with fresh updates throughout. Vaulted ceiling. Call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,620
− Mortgage interest
−$7,254
− Property taxes
−$1,942
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$3,767
Taxable loss
−$2,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$521
After-tax cash flow
$541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Owensboro Independent
NCES district ID
2104590
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$33,020
Composite
25.79/100
National rank
#7364
State rank
#100 of 165 in KY

Livability — Owensboro

Score
71/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#7153

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Owensboro, KY
County
Daviess County · 87,564 people
City population
87,564
Metro
Owensboro, KY
Population (ZIP)
45,445
Household income
$66,885
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1228.0

Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,810 people
By 2030
105,722 · +1.8%
By 2040
108,731 · +4.7%
By 2050
110,295 · +6.2%
By 2075
113,056 · +8.9%
By 2100
106,257 · +2.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Daviess

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.96%
Current HPI
238.2395
Rent YoY
Metro
Owensboro, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending GORAMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $129,500 GORAMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted GORAMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Pending GORAMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $134,500 GORAMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted GORAMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Pending GORAMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $129,900 GORAMLS

Property tax history

-5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $183 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…