7 East St · Clark Mills, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Reduced ! Looking for a fixer upper? Look no further. Two story home with private yard and corner lot. Large kitchen and good size living room. Full bath and 4 bedrooms upstairs with a common area. Being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Kitchen improvements
- Bathroom upgrades
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story property; Existing/resale condition
- Construction: Composite siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Irregular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 75
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#383 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Westmoreland Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #173 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $150k implies a 468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.53%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,464
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 White St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,656 (+2%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 7826 Clark Mills Rd | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,838 (+13%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 43 White St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 | 1,766 (+8%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $57 | 54 |
| 7674 E Main St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,576 (-3%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $102 | 53 |
| 11 White St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-9%) | 17mo | $92,000 | $62 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,879
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $44,047
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13492
- Home prices YoY
- -12.3%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,910 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 504-char remark
-
2026-06-07$149,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,834
- − Management
- −$1,834
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $3,501
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement and exterior repairs, to become move-in ready. Significant value can be added through these improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage to roof structure
- Major exterior siding — Severe peeling and damage
- Major exterior paint — Visible peeling and damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both roof replacement — Critical to safety and structural integrity
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both exterior paint — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant damage to roof structure | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Severe peeling and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · Visible peeling and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both roof replacement — Critical to safety and structural integrity ↑
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both exterior paint — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westmoreland Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631050
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,671
- Composite
- 56.19/100
- National rank
- #1176
- State rank
- #173 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clark Mills
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #6606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clark Mills, NY
- City population
- 815
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,233
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.24%
- Current HPI
- 314.4606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+173.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2020-10-20 Sold (MLS) $26,400 CNYIS
- 2020-07-15 Listed $28,520 CNYIS
- 2012-03-26 Sold (MLS) $43,900 CNYIS
- 2011-08-26 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…