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3500 Us 49
B Composite 70.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

3500 Us 49 · Florence, MS 39073
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,502 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR SPECIAL! Bring your vision and creativity to 3500 US Highway 49, Florence, MS! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,500 square feet of living space and sits on approximately 1 acre of land with endless possibilities. Whether you're looking to renovate, flip, add to your rental portfolio, or create your dream country retreat, this fixer-upper is packed with potential. Conveniently located along Highway 49, the property is just minutes from Florence schools, local shopping, restaurants, antique and vendor malls, and provides easy access to Jackson and surrounding communities. Nearby amenities include Florence High School, Florence Middle School, Steen's Creek Elementary School,

Key facts

  • Specialty markets
  • Dining options
  • 1 acre of land

Tags

1 ACRE OF LANDEASY ACCESS TO JACKSONMINUTES FROM FLORENCE SCHOOLSLOCAL SHOPPINGDINING OPTIONSSPECIALTY MARKETS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Storage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Propane available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum roof; 1-acre lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 2.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#8 in MS, #2,850 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Florence Elementary School (math 71% / reading 63%, grade B+, #11 of 375 statewide, top 3%, 542 students, 99% FRL); Florence Middle School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C+, #22 of 179 statewide, top 13%, 601 students, 100% FRL); Florence High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #80 of 197 statewide, top 42%, 719 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.70%
Cash-on-cash
22.87%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$12,442
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$41,479
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39073

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,079 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $607
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $413 -5% $393 +0% $373 +5% $353 +10% $333
Rent -10% $288 -5% $330 +0% $373 +5% $416 +10% $458
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $391 base $373 +0.5pp $355 +1.0pp $336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,005 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,005 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,948
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,005
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,036
− Management
−$1,036
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,573
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$857
After-tax cash flow
$3,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rankin County School District
NCES district ID
2803830
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$61,867
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2587
State rank
#6 of 130 in MS

Livability — Florence

Score
77/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2850

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, MS
Population (ZIP)
21,626

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,317 people
By 2030
171,013 · +4.1%
By 2040
182,723 · +11.2%
By 2050
192,376 · +17.1%
By 2075
209,535 · +27.5%
By 2100
209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.07%
Current HPI
188.3466
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $69,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,005 · -38.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…