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1220 Newman Ave
D- Composite 37.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$237,500

1220 Newman Ave · Iowa Park, TX 76367
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 2011 Est $218k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless & black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard has a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence. Great Buy!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Concrete pad
  • Shed

Tags

BACKYARDSHEDCOVERED PORCHFIRE PIT SITTING AREACONCRETE PADNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as a single-family property
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fenced yard; Outbuilding; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Electric oven; Microwave
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $238k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (24.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (26.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iowa Park CISD (town): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #129 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Kidwell El (467 students, 48% FRL); Iowa Park Jjaep (1 students, 0% FRL); Iowa Park H S (math 72% / reading 67%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 544 students, 34% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 53% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Iowa Park CISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,581 (26.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.81%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,120
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1213 Newman 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,130 (-15%) 12mo $185,000 $164 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$108,894
Equity at exit
$213,959
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.07×
Total profit
$336,922
Equity at exit
$461,410

Cash invested: $66,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76367

Home prices YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,245
Tax from tax record
$349 /mo · $4,187/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $180,605
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-188 -5% $-255 +0% $-322 +5% $-389 +10% $-457
Rent -10% $-459 -5% $-391 +0% $-322 +5% $-254 +10% $-185
Rate -1.0pp $-202 -0.5pp $-262 base $-322 +0.5pp $-384 +1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,375
Closing costs
$7,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $237,500 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $237,500 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $237,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $237,500 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,500 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,500 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $237,500 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,500 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $237,500 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,500 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,500 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,500 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,500 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $237,500 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,500 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,500 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $237,500 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-05-28
    listed $237,500 Active
  19. 2019-07-16
    soldstatus 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless & black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard has a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence. Great Buy!

  20. 2019-07-16
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless & black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard has a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence. Great Buy!

  21. 2019-02-05
    listed $117,500 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless & black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard has a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence. Great Buy!

  22. 2015-08-03
    soldstatus
  23. 2015-07-31
    soldstatus 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless on black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard features a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence.

  24. 2015-07-01
    listed $114,900 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Remarkable 3/2/1 home that’s very energy efficient! Tiled entry w/ coat closet. Nice open living area w/ soaring ceilings, ceiling fan & neutral walls. Stunning kitchen w/ nice cabinets & counter tops, stainless on black appliances, bronze fixtures & a handy pantry. Dining area is situated between living & kitchen. Master bath provides 2 separate vanities w/ nice cabinets, shower/tub, commode area & walk-in closet. Handy utility room. Backyard features a covered patio, storage building & privacy fence.

  25. 2011-11-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,187 · $349/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,346 · $362/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 3.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,830
− Mortgage interest
−$13,304
− Property taxes
−$4,187
− Insurance
−$1,188
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,666
− Management
−$1,666
− Depreciation
−$6,909
Taxable loss
−$8,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,942
After-tax cash flow
$-1,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iowa Park CISD
NCES district ID
4824260
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,689
Composite
45.57/100
National rank
#2597
State rank
#129 of 826 in TX

Livability — Iowa Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#6350

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iowa Park, TX
City population
14,013
Population (ZIP)
14,013

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.29%
Current HPI
387.78
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $237,500 WFAOR
  • 2019-07-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-07-16 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2019-02-05 Listed $117,500 WFAOR
  • 2015-08-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2015-07-01 Listed $114,900 WFAOR
  • 2011-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,187 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…