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3218 Lcr 252
C Composite 57.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$120,000

3218 Lcr 252 · Lake Colorado City, TX 79512
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 23 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for space, functionality and opportunity in West Texas? This one features a 1120 sqft 3 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home, industrial shop, commercial size carport, and TWO additional lots across the street complete with electricity, water well and water faucet heads already installed. Perfect for anyone needing workspace and additional land to work and grow. Properties with this much versatility don't come around too often-Come see for yourself! Shop gives 1,020 sqft of working or additional storage space. Carport 576 sqft of covered parking.

Key facts

  • Water well
  • Covered parking
  • Additional lots

Tags

COMMERCIAL SIZE CARPORTADDITIONAL LOTSWATER WELLWORKSPACEWORKING STORAGE SPACECOVERED PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Carport (1 car)
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-family subtype
  • Construction: Metal roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Accessible entrance; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pantry; Built-in bookcases

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#782 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Westbrook ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #429 of 1,141 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.51%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$31,451
Equity at exit
$63,468
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$90,354
Equity at exit
$105,958

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79512

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $168 +0% $126 +5% $85 +10% $43
Rent -10% $31 -5% $78 +0% $126 +5% $174 +10% $222
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $157 base $126 +0.5pp $95 +1.0pp $63

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,514
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,161
− Management
−$1,161
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$101
After-tax cash flow
$1,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, including painting, roof replacement, and landscaping. It has moderate potential for value increase with these improvements.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant weathering and rust
  • Major exterior siding — Worn and peeling
  • Major exterior fencing — Missing or damaged
  • Major exterior landscaping — No visible landscaping
  • Major flooring — Concrete slab with visible cracks

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Paint interior walls and trim — Improves interior appearance and value
  • Both Landscaping and shrubbery — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn carpet — Improves interior appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant weathering and rust Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Worn and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
exterior fencing · Missing or damaged Major $15,000–50,000
exterior landscaping · No visible landscaping Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Concrete slab with visible cracks Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Paint interior walls and trim — Improves interior appearance and value
  • Both Landscaping and shrubbery — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn carpet — Improves interior appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westbrook ISD
NCES district ID
4845210
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$51,806
Composite
43.02/100
National rank
#6658
State rank
#429 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Lake Colorado City

Score
64/100
State rank
#782
US rank
#14249

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Colorado City, TX
City population
7,672
Population (ZIP)
7,672

Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,476 people
By 2030
8,723 · +2.9%
By 2040
9,046 · +6.7%
By 2050
9,200 · +8.5%
By 2075
8,936 · +5.4%
By 2100
7,978 · -5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 20% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 14.0% · R 85.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.5pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.8 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+50.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.37%
Current HPI
99.8822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $120,000 PBBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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