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1704 Laura Ln
C Composite 56.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1704 Laura Ln · Clovis, NM 88101
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,300 sqft · Other · 51 Days on market
Built 1971 6,720 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300 sq. ft. four-bedroom, 1.5-bath home that offers all the amenities at a price that won't break the bank! You’ll find new low-maintenance laminate flooring and fresh interior paint that creates a bright, clean and cohesive feel throughout the home. Updated windows allow abundant natural light to pour into every room. The newly updated eat-in kitchen features classic oak cabinets, newer countertops and updated appliances plus a fabulous adjacent oversized laundry room. Both bathrooms are spacious and have been tastefully updated. The large fourth bedroom offers flexibility for a second living space, guests, or a home office. Step outside to a lar

Key facts

  • Updated windows
  • Large backyard
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

UPDATED WINDOWSEAT-IN KITCHENOVERSIZED LAUNDRY ROOMLARGE BACKYARDMATURE LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built on a foundation (standard)
  • Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Free-Standing Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Microwave; Free-Standing Range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.14%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,148
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$37,201
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,473 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $808/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,124
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1808 Debra St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,400 $0.99 44d 1 0.43mi
513 Tucker Ave Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,150 $0.98 44d 1 1.04mi
532 Circle Dr Clovis, NM 3.0 1.5 1114 $1,100 $0.99 44d 1 1.09mi
3205 N Main St Unit 301 Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $145,000
  3. 2026-03-11
    listed $150,000 Active
  4. 2022-02-11
    price $950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$808 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,160 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$352/yr (+$29/mo · 43.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,673
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$808
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,414
− Management
−$1,414
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$233
After-tax cash flow
$3,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $145,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $150,000 NMMLS
  • 2022-02-11 Price Changed $950 RENT.

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $808 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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