10561 Aldora Dr · Springboro, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric heat pump system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Home comes with a kitchen range, refrigerator, microwave, and washer and dryer. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty that covers heating, A/C, duct work, electric, plumbing and hot water heater. Must have park approval and pay a monthly lot rent fee of $720.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Kitchen range
- Refrigerator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 50.6% vs local median 3.0% in Springboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#93 in OH, #1,395 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Miamisburg City (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #338 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 158.29%
- DSCR
- 8.04
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,423
- List price
- $29,500
- Delta
- 25.95%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.88×
- Total profit
- $65,118
- Equity at exit
- $4,399
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.93×
- Total profit
- $148,137
- Equity at exit
- $2,551
Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45342
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,637 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$155
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $442/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $1,090
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,110 | -5% $1,100 | +0% $1,090 | +5% $1,079 | +10% $1,069 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $960 | -5% $1,025 | +0% $1,090 | +5% $1,154 | +10% $1,219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,104 | -0.5pp $1,097 | base $1,090 | +0.5pp $1,082 | +1.0pp $1,074 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,375
- Closing costs
- $885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2991 Austin Springs Blvd Miamisburg, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $1,945 | $2.05 | 3d | 20 | 1.14mi |
| 9600 Summit Point Dr Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,020 | $2.32 | 3d | 14 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-21days on market $29,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,500 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,500 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $29,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $29,500 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $29,500 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $29,500 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,500 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $29,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $29,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $29,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $29,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-04-02$29,500 Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric heat pump system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Home comes with a kitchen range, refrigerator, microwave, and washer and dryer. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty that covers heating, A/C, duct work, electric, plumbing and hot water heater. Must have park approval and pay a monthly lot rent fee of $720.
-
2025-08-26soldstatus $26,500 Closed 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.
-
2025-08-11status Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.
-
2025-07-14status Pending 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.
-
2025-06-12$26,500 Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.
-
2020-03-06soldstatus $16,900 Closed
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2020-03-06soldstatus $16,900 Sold
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2020-02-19status Pending
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2020-01-02$16,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,652
- − Property taxes
- −$442
- − Insurance
- −$148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,572
- − Management
- −$1,572
- − Depreciation
- −$858
- Taxable income
- $13,403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,217
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miamisburg City
- NCES district ID
- 3904439
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,394
- Composite
- 48.47/100
- National rank
- #2128
- State rank
- #338 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #1395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 27,545
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,152
- Household income
- $84,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 790.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.01%
- Current HPI
- 227.3999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+74.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $29,500 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-26 Sold (MLS) $26,500 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-11 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-14 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2025-06-12 Listed $26,500 Dayton MLS
- 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $16,900 Dayton MLS
- 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $16,900 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-19 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2020-01-02 Listed $16,900 Dayton MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…