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10561 Aldora Dr
D- Composite 39.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,500

10561 Aldora Dr · Springboro, OH 45342
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 1986 $30/sqft · 26% above area Est $23k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric heat pump system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Home comes with a kitchen range, refrigerator, microwave, and washer and dryer. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty that covers heating, A/C, duct work, electric, plumbing and hot water heater. Must have park approval and pay a monthly lot rent fee of $720.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Kitchen range
  • Refrigerator

Tags

NORTHERN INSULATION PACKAGEINSIDE STORM WINDOWSCOVERED DECKCATHEDRAL CEILINGKITCHEN RANGEREFRIGERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 50.6% vs local median 3.0% in Springboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#93 in OH, #1,395 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Miamisburg City (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #338 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $27,730 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.55%
Cap rate
50.61%
Cash-on-cash
158.29%
DSCR
8.04
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$23,423
List price
$29,500
Delta
25.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.88×
Total profit
$65,118
Equity at exit
$4,399
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.93×
Total profit
$148,137
Equity at exit
$2,551

Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45342

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,637 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$155
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$1,090

Break-even live

Break-even rent $258
Max offer price $29,500
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,110 -5% $1,100 +0% $1,090 +5% $1,079 +10% $1,069
Rent -10% $960 -5% $1,025 +0% $1,090 +5% $1,154 +10% $1,219
Rate -1.0pp $1,104 -0.5pp $1,097 base $1,090 +0.5pp $1,082 +1.0pp $1,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,375
Closing costs
$885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2991 Austin Springs Blvd Miamisburg, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,945 $2.05 3d 20 1.14mi
9600 Summit Point Dr Miamisburg, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $2,020 $2.32 3d 14 1.38mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,500 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,500 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,500 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,500 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,500 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,500 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,500 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,500 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,500 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,500 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,500 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,500 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    listed $29,500 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric heat pump system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Home comes with a kitchen range, refrigerator, microwave, and washer and dryer. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty that covers heating, A/C, duct work, electric, plumbing and hot water heater. Must have park approval and pay a monthly lot rent fee of $720.

  16. 2025-08-26
    soldstatus $26,500 Closed 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.

  17. 2025-08-11
    status Active 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.

  18. 2025-07-14
    status Pending 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.

  19. 2025-06-12
    listed $26,500 Active 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Quality Built Windsor Home conveniently located close to Austin Landing shopping center and I75. Built with "Northern Insulation Package", and has a NEW energy efficient electric HVAC system; and inside storm windows. Covered deck and patio. Bright and open family room, kitchen/dinette with cathedral ceiling. Includes a one year American Home Shield Warranty. Private financing available.

  20. 2020-03-06
    soldstatus $16,900 Closed
  21. 2020-03-06
    soldstatus $16,900 Sold
  22. 2020-02-19
    status Pending
  23. 2020-01-02
    listed $16,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,647
− Mortgage interest
−$1,652
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$148
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,572
− Management
−$1,572
− Depreciation
−$858
Taxable income
$13,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,217
After-tax cash flow
$9,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miamisburg City
NCES district ID
3904439
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$53,394
Composite
48.47/100
National rank
#2128
State rank
#338 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#1395

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
27,545
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
36,152
Household income
$84,907
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
790.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -183.01%
Current HPI
227.3999
Rent YoY
▲ 3.29%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $29,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Sold (MLS) $26,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-11 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-06-12 Listed $26,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $16,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $16,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-02-19 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2020-01-02 Listed $16,900 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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