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264 Brand St
B+ Composite 75.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

264 Brand St · Elmira, NY 14904
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,431 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 619 Days on market
Built 1900 2,347 sqft lot $28/sqft · 43% below area Est $70k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

Key facts

  • Blank slate ready
  • 2,347 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

BLANK SLATE READYCLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 619 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $40k implies a 830% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 619 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.51%
Cash-on-cash
75.78%
DSCR
4.37
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,898
List price
$40,000
Delta
-42.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Sly St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,359 (-5%) 6mo $75,000 $55 75
717 Spaulding St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-6%) 8mo $70,000 $52 69
708 Riverside Ave 0.34mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,484 (+4%) 6mo $83,000 $56 68
752 Robinson St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-6%) 8mo $32,000 $24 60
502 Luce St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-6%) 7mo $115,000 $86 59
309 Broadway St 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,468 (+3%) 3mo $78,000 $53 58
213 Juanita St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-8%) 6mo $21,000 $16 53
236 E Miller St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-13%) 7mo $120,840 $97 52
834 Maple Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-13%) 0mo $135,000 $108 49
421 Partridge St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,274 (-11%) 1mo $47,000 $37 46
506 Luce St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (-15%) 8mo $126,000 $103 35
750 S Main St 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,216 (-15%) 6mo $72,000 $59 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.7%
Equity multiple
4.45×
Total profit
$38,586
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
79.4%
Equity multiple
9.19×
Total profit
$91,685
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14904

Home prices YoY
-9.6%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$707

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
160 Boardman St Unit B Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 1727 $800 $0.46 43d 1 0.33mi
419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 43d 1 0.76mi
363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,250 $1.15 43d 1 0.81mi
106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 0.89mi
355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,400 $0.85 43d 1 1.14mi
357 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 2.0 1.5 1650 $1,500 $0.91 43d 1 1.15mi
454 W 2nd St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 43d 1 1.16mi
514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY 4.0 1.0 1416 $1,275 $0.90 43d 1 1.21mi
550 Spruce St Unit 303 Elmira, NY 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $40,000 Active 619 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 618 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 617 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 616 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 615 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $40,000 Active 613 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $40,000 Active 612 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 609 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 608 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 607 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $40,000 Active 604 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 603 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 602 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 601 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 600 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $40,000 Active 599 DOM
  17. 2026-03-28
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

  18. 2025-08-29
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

  19. 2025-02-12
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

  20. 2024-11-29
    price $40,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

  21. 2024-08-09
    listed $59,900 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors!! Prime opportunity to restore and revitalize a property on Elmira's south side. With the interior completely gutted, this home is a blank slate ready for your vision. Located close to all amenities, it's perfect for a rental property or a first-time home. Don't miss out on transforming this shell into a shining asset!

  22. 2022-06-01
    historical
  23. 2021-10-26
    listed $29,900
  24. 2019-04-01
    historical
  25. 2019-01-15
    listed $24,900
  26. 2018-08-03
    soldstatus $4,300
  27. 2018-01-13
    listed $12,100
  28. 2004-09-28
    soldstatus $25,000
  29. 2004-08-13
    soldstatus $25,000
  30. 2003-11-06
    listed $27,000
  31. 1999-12-07
    soldstatus $39,500
  32. 1992-08-05
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,943
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$8,348
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,003
After-tax cash flow
$6,484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
14,276

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.33%
Current HPI
220.688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Relisted NMPA
  • 2025-08-29 Relisted NMPA
  • 2025-02-12 Relisted NMPA
  • 2024-11-29 Price Changed $40,000 NMPA
  • 2024-08-09 Listed $59,900 NMPA
  • 2022-06-01 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2021-10-26 Listed $29,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-04-01 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2019-01-15 Listed $24,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-08-03 Sold (MLS) $4,300 UNYREIS
  • 2018-01-13 Listed $12,100 UNYREIS
  • 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-13 Sold (MLS) $25,000 UNYREIS
  • 2003-11-06 Listed $27,000 UNYREIS
  • 1999-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
  • 1992-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,366 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…