8257 Oak St · Taylor, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 bedroom home located in a quiet neighborhood. Updated kitchen with Granite counter tops with subway tile backsplash. New furnace and air conditioner in 2020. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. The City inspection is scheduled. "AS IS"
Key facts
- New furnace
- New air conditioner
- All appliances stay
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.28%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,688
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8303 Birch St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 754 (0%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $146 | 87 |
| 8034 Elm St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+2%) | 4mo | $87,000 | $113 | 87 |
| 8025 Oak St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-4%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $124 | 82 |
| 8094 Elm St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-4%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $215 | 76 |
| 8026 Robert St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+8%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 7921 Pine St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+10%) | 6mo | $143,264 | $172 | 61 |
| 24127 Wick Rd | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-3%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 7166 Pardee Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+13%) | 1mo | $73,000 | $86 | 54 |
| 7140 Elm St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 851 (+13%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 6864 Cornell St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+10%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $114 | 43 |
| 6849 Cornell St St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+15%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $174 | 33 |
| 6832 Cornell St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+15%) | 6mo | $114,000 | $132 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-290
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $33,574
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48180
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7873 Syracuse St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,400 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 24268 Haskell St Taylor, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,565 | $1.78 | 1d | 8 | 0.54mi |
| 9620 Elm St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,470 | $1.84 | 1d | 3 | 0.75mi |
| 6477 Westpoint St Taylor, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom home located in a quiet neighborhood. Updated kitchen with Granite counter tops with subway tile backsplash. New furnace and air conditioner in 2020. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. The City inspection is scheduled. "AS IS"
-
2026-04-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom home located in a quiet neighborhood. Updated kitchen with Granite counter tops with subway tile backsplash. New furnace and air conditioner in 2020. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. The City inspection is scheduled. "AS IS"
-
2026-04-14$125,000 Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom home located in a quiet neighborhood. Updated kitchen with Granite counter tops with subway tile backsplash. New furnace and air conditioner in 2020. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. The City inspection is scheduled. "AS IS"
-
2026-04-14$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom home located in a quiet neighborhood. Updated kitchen with Granite counter tops with subway tile backsplash. New furnace and air conditioner in 2020. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. The City inspection is scheduled. "AS IS"
-
2020-12-16soldstatus $70,000
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $70,000 Sold 55-char remark
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $70,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-18status Pending 55-char remark
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-13$69,000 Active 55-char remark
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-13$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (55 chars)
SOLD SOLD SOLD PREVIOUSLY LISTED UNDER PREVIOUS BROKER.
-
2020-11-11historical
-
2020-03-18status Pending
-
2020-03-18status Pending
-
2020-03-16historical
-
2020-03-12$69,000 Active
-
2020-03-12$69,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,513 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,719 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$206/yr (+$17/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,513
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,315
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$316
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylor School District
- NCES district ID
- 2633540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,062
- Composite
- 17.62/100
- National rank
- #9034
- State rank
- #462 of 540 in MI
Livability — Taylor
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #3684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylor, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 62,081
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,081
- Household income
- $61,081
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1957.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.33%
- Current HPI
- 228.921
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+81.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-11-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-11-13 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-13 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-11-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-12 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-12 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,513 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…