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9160 Kinloch St
D- Composite 37.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

9160 Kinloch St · Dearborn Heights, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,055 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1954 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large kitchen
  • Finished basement

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE KITCHENNEW APPLIANCESFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Home warranty included

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Natural gas water heater; Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Built in 1954; Public water
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Bar fridge; Garbage disposal; Tile floor in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (hardwood floor); Bedroom 2 (hardwood floor); Bedroom 3 (hardwood floor)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors in living room and bedrooms; Tile floor in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (26.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $239k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $175,288 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.62%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9010 Leverne 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-3%) 2mo $220,000 $216 81
9130 Kinloch 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,144 (+8%) 3mo $123,000 $108 80
9636 Centralia 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,043 (-1%) 4mo $135,000 $129 77
9983 Hemingway 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,059 (+0%) 3mo $149,000 $141 71
9964 Norborne 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,033 (-2%) 5mo $125,900 $122 71
9624 Nathaline 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,019 (-3%) 3mo $209,000 $205 68
9560 Nathaline 0.47mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,125 (+7%) 1mo $142,500 $127 59
9656 Sioux 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (+6%) 2mo $147,500 $132 55
9960 Rockland 0.45mi 3/2.0 937 (-11%) 2mo $150,000 $160 55
26388 Ann Arbor Trl 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,194 (+13%) 1mo $270,000 $226 52
8627 Robindale Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 980 (-7%) 5mo $169,000 $172 50
8656 Nightingale Ave. St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-15%) 6mo $128,000 $142 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-40,619
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-36,874
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,753 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $800/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,797
Max offer price $232,851
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 4d 1 0.77mi
8402 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,600 $1.34 14d 1 0.82mi
27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 852 $1,499 $1.76 1d 22 0.87mi
12107 Centralia Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,800 $1.97 43d 1 1.02mi
8187 Lenore St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,550 $2.02 43d 1 1.20mi
11726 Deering St Livonia, MI 4.0 1.5 1248 $2,125 $1.70 1d 1 1.29mi
12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,200 $1.22 1d 1 1.31mi
79 3rd St Unit 79 Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,339 $1.59 24d 1 1.42mi
7014 Kinmore St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,900 $1.98 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  2. 2026-04-30
    status Pending 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  3. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  4. 2026-04-22
    listed $239,000 Active 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  5. 2026-04-22
    listed $239,000 Active 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  6. 2026-04-22
    listed $239,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.

  7. 2026-01-12
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed
  8. 2026-01-12
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed
  9. 2026-01-12
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold
  10. 2026-01-02
    status Pending
  11. 2026-01-02
    status Pending
  12. 2026-01-02
    status Pending
  13. 2025-12-05
    price $189,900
  14. 2025-12-04
    price $189,900
  15. 2025-12-04
    price $189,900
  16. 2025-10-04
    price $209,900
  17. 2025-10-04
    price $209,900
  18. 2025-10-04
    price $209,900
  19. 2025-09-26
    listed $229,900 Active
  20. 2025-09-25
    listed $229,900 Active
  21. 2025-09-25
    listed $229,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$800 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,240 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$1,440/yr (+$120/mo · 180.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,035
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$800
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,683
− Management
−$1,683
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$4,666
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,120
After-tax cash flow
$702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn Heights

Score
79/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1885

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
61,771
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-02 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $189,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $229,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $229,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $229,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $800 · -66.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…