9160 Kinloch St · Dearborn Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large kitchen
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Home warranty included
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Natural gas water heater; Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Built in 1954; Public water
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Bar fridge; Garbage disposal; Tile floor in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (hardwood floor); Bedroom 2 (hardwood floor); Bedroom 3 (hardwood floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors in living room and bedrooms; Tile floor in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $239k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.62%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9010 Leverne | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-3%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $216 | 81 |
| 9130 Kinloch | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (+8%) | 3mo | $123,000 | $108 | 80 |
| 9636 Centralia | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (-1%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $129 | 77 |
| 9983 Hemingway | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (+0%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $141 | 71 |
| 9964 Norborne | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,033 (-2%) | 5mo | $125,900 | $122 | 71 |
| 9624 Nathaline | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,019 (-3%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $205 | 68 |
| 9560 Nathaline | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,125 (+7%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $127 | 59 |
| 9656 Sioux | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+6%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $132 | 55 |
| 9960 Rockland | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 937 (-11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $160 | 55 |
| 26388 Ann Arbor Trl | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,194 (+13%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $226 | 52 |
| 8627 Robindale Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-7%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $172 | 50 |
| 8656 Nightingale Ave. St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-15%) | 6mo | $128,000 | $142 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-40,619
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-36,874
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,753 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $800/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $-35
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8402 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,499 | $1.76 | 1d | 22 | 0.87mi |
| 12107 Centralia Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8187 Lenore St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,550 | $2.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11726 Deering St Livonia, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,125 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 79 3rd St Unit 79 Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,339 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7014 Kinmore St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,900 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-04-30status Pending 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-04-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-04-22$239,000 Active 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-04-22$239,000 Active 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-04-22$239,000 Active
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Welcome home to this charming ranch in Redford, ideally located just a short distance from Dearborn Heights! This inviting property includes a 1-year home warranty for added peace of mind. Step inside to an open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living room that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen with New Appliances--perfect for anyone who loves to cook and entertain. From there, step out onto the white deck overlooking the backyard, complete with a gas grill for easy outdoor gatherings. The home offers 3 comfortable bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a generously sized finished basement--ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or creating additional living space. This home is a great fit for families looking for comfort, space, and functionality.
-
2026-01-12soldstatus $150,000 Closed
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2026-01-12soldstatus $150,000 Closed
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2026-01-12soldstatus $150,000 Sold
-
2026-01-02status Pending
-
2026-01-02status Pending
-
2026-01-02status Pending
-
2025-12-05price $189,900
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2025-12-04price $189,900
-
2025-12-04price $189,900
-
2025-10-04price $209,900
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2025-10-04price $209,900
-
2025-10-04price $209,900
-
2025-09-26$229,900 Active
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2025-09-25$229,900 Active
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2025-09-25$229,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $800 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,240 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,440/yr (+$120/mo · 180.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$800
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,683
- − Management
- −$1,683
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$4,666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Redford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632280
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,775
- Composite
- 18.1/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #455 of 540 in MI
Livability — Dearborn Heights
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 61,771
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+4.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $239,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-02 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $189,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $209,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $229,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-25 Listed $229,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $229,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $800 · -66.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…