30 County Road 371b · Heidelberg, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 90.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 31 County Road 371B in Heidelberg, MS--an opportunity to own a property with space, privacy, and potential. Situated in a quiet rural setting, this home offers a peaceful environment while still being within reasonable distance of local conveniences. The property features a spacious lot with room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. With some updates and personal touches, this home could serve as a comfortable residence, rental investment, or renovation project. Ideal for buyers looking for value and the chance to customize a property to your needs.
Key facts
- Quiet rural setting
- Spacious lot
- 1 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size: 1 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available; Water source: Other; Sewer: Unknown
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch
Interior
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling (type listed as Other)
- Interior features: Tile and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#161 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- East Jasper Consolidated School District (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #83 of 130 in MS (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 90% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.81%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $19,893
- Equity at exit
- $40,743
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $59,280
- Equity at exit
- $60,002
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39439
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $99,000
-
2026-02-19$104,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 90% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,051
- − Management
- −$1,051
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $627
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$150
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Jasper Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801380
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,074
- Composite
- 20.25/100
- National rank
- #8620
- State rank
- #83 of 130 in MS
Livability — Heidelberg
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #15698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,497
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,383 people
- By 2030
- 14,629 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 13,119 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 11,742 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 9,102 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 7,062 · -54.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 25% Native American 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.0) · D 47.2% · R 52.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: D+0.5 2016: D+4.0 2012: D+9.7 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Current HPI
- 121.6906
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-19 Listed $104,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…