Multi-family
11144 LORNE St · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Development opportunity! Offering includes two parcels sold together as a single assemblage with multiple addresses: 11144 Lorne St. , 11146–11148 Lorne St. , and 8032 N Fair Ave, Sun Valley. Approved plans in process for 17 unit townhome style apartment units (26,740 sq. ft) with attached garages. 15 units with 3 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms. 1 unit with 2 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. 1 unit with 1 bedroom and 1.5 bathrooms. 33 private parking spaces. RTI anticipated in approximately 6–9 months. In the heart of Sun Valley just minutes from major freeways - I-5 and I-170, close to the Burbank airport, downtown LA and nearby major studios. This opportunity for redevelopment offers convenience and walkability to a nearby public park and new future 46-acre Rory M. Shaw Wetlands Park that will reinforce long-term neighborhood value and sustainability.
Key facts
- Nearby public park
- Two parcels
- Approved plans
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $2.15M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21k ($249k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($42k rent vs $2.15M).
- Recommended offer: $1.89M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $42,128/mo this rent would consume 646% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 2063% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $64k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $602k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.89M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $314k; list at $2.15M implies a 585% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.29%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $846,691
- Equity at exit
- $320,572
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $1,955,849
- Equity at exit
- $185,893
Cash invested: $602,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 91352
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 70.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $42,128 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11,275
- Tax from tax record
- −$396 /mo · $4,752/yr
- Insurance
- −$896
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$8,847
- Net cashflow
- $20,714
Break-even live
17-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15× units | 3 | 3.5 | $38,025 |
| #1 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #2 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #3 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #4 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #5 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #6 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #7 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #8 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #9 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #10 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #11 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #12 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #13 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #14 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| #15 | 3 | 3.5 | $2,535 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 2.5 | $2,160 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1.5 | $1,950 |
| Total (17 units) | $42,128 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $537,500
- Closing costs
- $64,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11038 Arminta St Sun Valley, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 2d | 3 | 0.28mi |
| 10817 White St Sun Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,895 | $2.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7847 Beck Ave North Hollywood, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,500 | $3.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7847 Beck Ave North Hollywood, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,500 | $3.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8206 Wheatland Ave Sun Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,800 | $3.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8747 Lehigh Ave Sun Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,200 | $3.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7425 Vineland Ave Unit 7425-04 Sun Valley, CA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,250 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7425 Vineland Ave Unit 7425-07 Sun Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,500 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7436 Cleon Ave Sun Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $2,350 | $3.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7742 Lankershim Blvd North Hollywood, CA | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,650 | $3.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10888 Dora St Sun Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,600 | $5.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7357 Cleon Ave Unit 1 Sun Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,000 | $5.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7245 Bakman Ave Unit 3 Sun Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7308 Farmdale Ave North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11722 Saticoy St Apt 17 North Hollywood, CA | — | 1.0 | 507 | $1,495 | $2.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8139 Radford Ave North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,000 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11752 Saticoy St North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,695 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8459 O'Melveny Ave Sun Valley, CA | — | 1.0 | 420 | $1,650 | $3.93 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11669 Valerio St North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,895 | $2.92 | 3d | 5 | 1.11mi |
| 11721 Runnymede St North Hollywood, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,250 | $2.36 | 15d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 7350 Lankershim Blvd North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,845 | $2.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7401 Lankershim Blvd North Hollywood, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,350 | $2.73 | 24d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 7729 Gentry Ave North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 600 | $2,400 | $4.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8372 Vine Valley Dr Sun Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $2,500 | $3.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 10152 Stagg St Sun Valley, CA | — | 1.0 | 470 | $1,700 | $3.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7755 Laurel Canyon Blvd Unit 24 North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7745 Laurel Canyon Blvd North Hollywood, CA | — | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7701 Laurel Canyon Blvd North Hollywood, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $1,975 | $3.17 | 43d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 8027 Bellingham Ave North Hollywood, CA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,850 | $3.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7572 Delia Ave Sun Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $2,300 | $3.77 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,150,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,150,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,150,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,150,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,150,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,150,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,150,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,150,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,150,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,150,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,150,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,150,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,150,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-02-04$2,150,000 Active 868-char remark
Show marketing remark (868 chars)
Development opportunity! Offering includes two parcels sold together as a single assemblage with multiple addresses: 11144 Lorne St. , 11146–11148 Lorne St. , and 8032 N Fair Ave, Sun Valley. Approved plans in process for 17 unit townhome style apartment units (26,740 sq. ft) with attached garages. 15 units with 3 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms. 1 unit with 2 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. 1 unit with 1 bedroom and 1.5 bathrooms. 33 private parking spaces. RTI anticipated in approximately 6–9 months. In the heart of Sun Valley just minutes from major freeways - I-5 and I-170, close to the Burbank airport, downtown LA and nearby major studios. This opportunity for redevelopment offers convenience and walkability to a nearby public park and new future 46-acre Rory M. Shaw Wetlands Park that will reinforce long-term neighborhood value and sustainability.
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2025-12-03$1,125,000 Active
-
2015-07-01soldstatus $314,000 Closed
-
2015-07-01soldstatus $314,000
-
2015-07-01soldstatus $618,000
-
2015-05-28status Pending
-
2015-04-14status Active
-
2015-03-14status Backup Offers Accepted
-
2015-03-13historical Hold
-
2015-03-01$314,000 Active
-
2015-03-01$314,000
-
2011-10-26historical
-
2011-04-26$334,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,752 · $396/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $16,340 · $1,362/mo
- Expected delta
- +$11,588/yr (+$966/mo · 243.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $505,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$120,433
- − Property taxes
- −$4,752
- − Insurance
- −$10,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$40,443
- − Management
- −$40,443
- − Depreciation
- −$62,545
- Taxable income
- $226,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $194,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,899
- Household income
- $78,239
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2063.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 30% White 23% Asian 5% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 20% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -927.76%
- Current HPI
- 470.8252
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.53%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+543.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Listed $2,150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $1,125,000 CRMLS
- 2015-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $618,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-01 Sold (MLS) $314,000 SDMLS
- 2015-07-01 Sold (MLS) $314,000 CRMLS
- 2015-05-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-04-14 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2015-03-14 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-03-13 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2015-03-01 Listed $314,000 CRMLS
- 2015-03-01 Listed $314,000 SDMLS
- 2011-10-26 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-04-26 Listed $334,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,752 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…