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1404 S 17th St
C Composite 56.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1404 S 17th St · Fort Smith, AR 72901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,959 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
10,014 sqft lot Est $202k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on nearly a quarter of an acre, this home offers the perfect canvas for a homeowner with a vision. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence features both a formal living room—complete with a cozy fireplace for chilly evenings—and a spacious family room designed for easy gathering. The heart of the home is a functional galley kitchen that flows effortlessly into the rest of the living space. For those who love the outdoors, the property boasts a large sunroom and a covered front porch perfect for enjoying your morning coffee in peace. There is a large storage shed for all your tools and hobbies. Whether you're looking for room to grow or a creative project to call yo

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large sunroom
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

LARGE SUNROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCHFUNCTIONAL GALLEY KITCHENCOZY FIREPLACELARGE STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (1 space); Carport; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level / one story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house (single family residence)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Back yard fencing; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Blinds; Fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 50% / reading 38%, grade F, #164 of 454 statewide, top 37%, 458 students, 77% FRL); William O. Darby Jr. High Sch. (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #164 of 201 statewide, top 82%, 700 students, 87% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 64% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $145k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,308 (11.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.35%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,777
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1907 S R St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,991 (+2%) 6mo $136,000 $68 74
922 S 17th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,859 (-5%) 3mo $30,000 $16 74
722 S 23rd St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,966 (+0%) 0mo $224,000 $114 71
2206 S T St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,928 (-2%) 2mo $290,000 $150 69
2227 S Q St 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+2%) 8mo $190,000 $95 69
1501 S 12th St 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,088 (+7%) 1mo $196,000 $94 69
712 S 17th St 0.47mi 3/3.0 1,852 (-6%) 5mo $190,000 $103 61
2222 S Q St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,829 (-7%) 4mo $230,000 $126 60
622 S 18th St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,794 (-8%) 2mo $162,000 $90 55
2104 S S St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,694 (-14%) 2mo $210,000 $124 54
2018 S U St 0.55mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,848 (-6%) 5mo $184,200 $100 52
522 S 18th St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,752 (-11%) 1mo $185,000 $106 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-12,388
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,596
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72901

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $547/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,097
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $229 -5% $188 +0% $147 +5% $106 +10% $65
Rent -10% $46 -5% $97 +0% $147 +5% $198 +10% $249
Rate -1.0pp $220 -0.5pp $184 base $147 +0.5pp $110 +1.0pp $71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
800 S 19th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1286 $1,095 $0.85 5d 1 0.45mi
2307 S 23rd St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,595 $1.18 22d 1 0.75mi
704 S 26th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1892 $1,700 $0.90 22d 1 0.75mi
2800 Wharton Cir Unit 2323 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1240 $925 $0.75 15d 1 1.04mi
3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,650 $1.01 15d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    price $145,000
  19. 2026-04-28
    listed $160,000 Active
  20. 2001-04-09
    soldstatus $65,000
  21. 1983-08-18
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$547 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$928 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$381/yr (+$32/mo · 69.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,397
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$547
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$163
After-tax cash flow
$1,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$42,851
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.82%
Current HPI
172.3777
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1108.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $145,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $160,000 WRVBOR
  • 2001-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1983-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $547 · -16.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…