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4 Slate Run
A- Composite 80.98
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

4 Slate Run · Portsmouth, NH 03862
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1983 Est $189k · 21% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy, coastal-inspired living in the highly desirable Granite Post Green community. Just minutes from the beaches, shopping, and everything that makes North Hampton one of the Seacoast’s most loved towns. Set on a quiet, paved street in a well-maintained neighborhood, this 2-bedroom home offers a simple, comfortable layout designed for low-maintenance living and everyday ease. With approximately 938 square feet of living space, the home features a bright main living area that flows into the kitchen, creating a functional space to relax, gather, or entertain. Recent updates add both value and peace of mind, including updated walkway and driveway pavement, updated flooring, r

Key facts

  • Quiet paved street
  • Updated flooring
  • Built 1983

Tags

GRANITE POST GREEN COMMUNITYQUIET PAVED STREETWELL MAINTAINED NEIGHBORHOODBRIGHT MAIN LIVING AREAUPDATED WALKWAY AND DRIVEWAYUPDATED FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Mobile make: Titan; Mobile serial number: 19-3-879654
  • HOA & community: Located in a mobile home park (Granite Post Green) — park approved

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Community sewer / Leach field / Septic; 100 Amp electrical service with circuit breakers; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Telephone available
  • Home design: Manufactured / Mobile home; Existing construction; Built in 1983
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Paved driveway; Located in a mobile home park (Granite Post Green) with park approval

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range - Gas; Exhaust hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heat
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 1.9% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#5 in NH, #354 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • North Hampton School District (rural): math 66% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #14 of 171 in NH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.50%
Cash-on-cash
43.59%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,476
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Granite Dr 0.13mi 2/1.0 924 (-2%) 17mo $150,000 $162 78
7 Granite Dr 0.13mi 2/1.5 1,019 (+9%) 2mo $177,000 $174 76
6 Granite Dr 0.20mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 12mo $289,000 $313 74
1 Apricot Way 0.41mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 6mo $135,000 $146 69
10 Black Forest Rd 0.38mi 2/2.0 920 (-2%) 8mo $295,000 $321 68
10 Lilac Way 0.33mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 13mo $205,000 $222 67
39 Granite Dr 0.07mi 2/2.0 896 (-4%) 23mo $144,900 $162 66
20 Black Forest Rd 0.38mi 2/2.0 906 (-3%) 18mo $170,000 $188 58
31 Hickory Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 19mo $269,000 $291 56
56 Oak Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (+13%) 11mo $219,000 $206 44
39 Hickory Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (+13%) 19mo $215,000 $202 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$72,392
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
46.8%
Equity multiple
5.49×
Total profit
$187,405
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03862

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,168 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,726/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$665
Net cashflow
$1,515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,250
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $149,000 Active
  3. 2025-09-15
    price $159,900
  4. 2025-07-04
    price $179,900
  5. 2023-08-25
    price $224,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,726 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,487 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$761/yr (+$63/mo · 44.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,015
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,726
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,041
− Management
−$3,041
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$16,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,027
After-tax cash flow
$14,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Hampton School District
NCES district ID
3305370
Math proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$83,171
Composite
66.85/100
National rank
#883
State rank
#14 of 171 in NH

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
86/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#354

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
23,484
Population (ZIP)
4,563

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
316,118 people
By 2030
320,929 · +1.5%
By 2040
323,358 · +2.3%
By 2050
314,977 · -0.4%
By 2075
297,686 · -5.8%
By 2100
256,363 · -18.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.37%
Current HPI
384.1561
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $149,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $159,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $179,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2023-08-25 Price Changed $224,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,726 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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