801 Pine St · Galesburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$14,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1906
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $14k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 63.6% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
- Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $420 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 63.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 204.71%
- DSCR
- 10.11
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,353
- List price
- $14,000
- Delta
- -79.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 664 E 4th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 660 (0%) | 23mo | $56,000 | $85 | 62 |
| 1056 E Knox St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (+7%) | 23mo | $44,000 | $62 | 61 |
| 633 E 5th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 722 (+9%) | 6mo | $80,340 | $111 | 60 |
| 1431 S Seminary St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 7mo | $36,000 | $50 | 46 |
| 1459 S Seminary St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $97 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.29×
- Total profit
- $40,352
- Equity at exit
- $2,087
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.98×
- Total profit
- $90,101
- Equity at exit
- $1,210
Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61401
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$73
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $497/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $669
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,500
- Closing costs
- $420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $14,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $14,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $14,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $14,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $14,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $14,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $14,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $14,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $14,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $14,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $14,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $14,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $14,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $14,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $14,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-02-26price $14,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.
-
2026-01-25$16,000 Active 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $33,500
-
2016-08-30soldstatus $22,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Move right in to this 2-3 bedroom home with central air and recently updated carpet and paint. Home features main floor utility room with washer and dryer, eat-in kitchen, and room for two upstairs with large closet. Deck off of the kitchen overlooks the big backyard, perfect for outdoor summer fun. Potential 2nd bathroom in the basement.
-
2016-05-31$25,900 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Move right in to this 2-3 bedroom home with central air and recently updated carpet and paint. Home features main floor utility room with washer and dryer, eat-in kitchen, and room for two upstairs with large closet. Deck off of the kitchen overlooks the big backyard, perfect for outdoor summer fun. Potential 2nd bathroom in the basement.
-
2002-07-25soldstatus $21,000
-
2002-03-01$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$784
- − Property taxes
- −$497
- − Insurance
- −$70
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$959
- − Management
- −$959
- − Depreciation
- −$407
- Taxable income
- $8,314
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,995
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galesburg CUSD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1716080
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,901
- Composite
- 14.46/100
- National rank
- #9427
- State rank
- #488 of 620 in IL
Livability — Galesburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galesburg, IL
- City population
- 32,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,684
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.48%
- Current HPI
- 157.276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-30.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-25 Listed $16,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-30 Sold (MLS) $22,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-31 Listed $25,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-25 Sold (MLS) $21,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-03-01 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $497 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…