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801 Pine St
D Composite 42.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,000

801 Pine St · Galesburg, IL 61401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1906 0.30 ac lot $21/sqft · 80% below area ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1906

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 63.6% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $420 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $12,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.14%
Cap rate
63.61%
Cash-on-cash
204.71%
DSCR
10.11
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,353
List price
$14,000
Delta
-79.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
664 E 4th St 0.35mi 2/1.5 660 (0%) 23mo $56,000 $85 62
1056 E Knox St 0.17mi 2/1.0 708 (+7%) 23mo $44,000 $62 61
633 E 5th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 722 (+9%) 6mo $80,340 $111 60
1431 S Seminary St 0.71mi 2/1.0 720 (+9%) 7mo $36,000 $50 46
1459 S Seminary St 0.73mi 2/1.0 720 (+9%) 21mo $70,000 $97 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.29×
Total profit
$40,352
Equity at exit
$2,087
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.98×
Total profit
$90,101
Equity at exit
$1,210

Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$73
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $497/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$669

Break-even live

Break-even rent $153
Max offer price $14,000
Occupancy floor 28%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,500
Closing costs
$420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $14,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $14,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $14,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,000 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $14,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $14,000 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $14,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $14,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $14,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $14,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,000 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-02-26
    price $14,000 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.

  17. 2026-01-25
    listed $16,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath. No guarantee on the working condition of an of the mechanicals. Room sizes are estimates. Sold as-is, seller will not be making any repairs, all inspections even lender required are for informational purposes only.

  18. 2022-12-09
    soldstatus $33,500
  19. 2016-08-30
    soldstatus $22,000 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Move right in to this 2-3 bedroom home with central air and recently updated carpet and paint. Home features main floor utility room with washer and dryer, eat-in kitchen, and room for two upstairs with large closet. Deck off of the kitchen overlooks the big backyard, perfect for outdoor summer fun. Potential 2nd bathroom in the basement.

  20. 2016-05-31
    listed $25,900 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Move right in to this 2-3 bedroom home with central air and recently updated carpet and paint. Home features main floor utility room with washer and dryer, eat-in kitchen, and room for two upstairs with large closet. Deck off of the kitchen overlooks the big backyard, perfect for outdoor summer fun. Potential 2nd bathroom in the basement.

  21. 2002-07-25
    soldstatus $21,000
  22. 2002-03-01
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$497 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$497 · $41/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,991
− Mortgage interest
−$784
− Property taxes
−$497
− Insurance
−$70
− Repairs & maintenance
−$959
− Management
−$959
− Depreciation
−$407
Taxable income
$8,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,995
After-tax cash flow
$6,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $16,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
  • 2016-08-30 Sold (MLS) $22,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-31 Listed $25,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-07-25 Sold (MLS) $21,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-03-01 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $497 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…