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817 Avenue D
B- Composite 67.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

817 Avenue D · Rochester, NY 14621
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1925 3,800 sqft lot $102/sqft · 55% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 817 Avenue D in Rochester, a beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering modern upgrades and move-in-ready convenience. This 1,368 sq ft home has been thoughtfully renovated with numerous mechanical and cosmetic improvements throughout.  Step inside to a bright living room featuring brand-new luxury waterproof vinyl plank flooring and recessed lighting, creating a warm and modern living space. The dining area flows seamlessly into the fully updated kitchen (2026), which showcases porcelain countertops, wood cabinetry, a stylish tile backsplash, and modern lighting. The first floor offers the convenience of laundry and a full bathroom combination, completed in 2026, f

Key facts

  • Tear off roof
  • Updated kitchen
  • Unfinished attic

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENDIRECT ACCESS TO PORCHUNFINISHED ATTICHIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACETEAR OFF ROOFGLASS BLOCK BASEMENT WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Construction: Blown-in insulation; Cedar and wood siding; PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Balcony; Enclosed porch; Porch; Patio; Partial fencing; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 95

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance noted)
  • Bedrooms: 9 total rooms (includes living and laundry areas)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Marble; Tile; Varied flooring types
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Thermal windows; Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen/family room combo; Living/dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,733/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $140k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.88%
Cash-on-cash
16.38%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,477
List price
$139,900
Delta
54.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57 Durnan St 0.21mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,374 (+0%) 2mo $85,000 $62 81
749 Avenue D 0.10mi 4/1.5 1,508 (+10%) 1mo $80,000 $53 78
1295 North Street St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,347 (-2%) 2mo $70,000 $52 76
1271 North St 0.29mi 4/1.5 1,276 (-7%) 2mo $128,900 $101 73
623 Avenue D 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,254 (-8%) 2mo $70,000 $56 64
207 Herald St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-6%) 1mo $60,000 $47 64
73 Kosciusko St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,470 (+8%) 2mo $55,000 $37 62
2 Bloomingdale St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,399 (+2%) 1mo $45,000 $32 61
2 Oscar St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,303 (-5%) 1mo $65,000 $50 55
455 Clifford Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (+5%) 2mo $40,000 $28 52
116 Barberry 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,220 (-11%) 2mo $175,000 $143 48
1358 N Clinton Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,567 (+14%) 2mo $12,000 $8 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$20,495
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$103,168
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,733 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $509/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$535

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 0.15mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 10d 1 0.35mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 43d 1 0.65mi
25 Trust St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,600 $1.60 3d 1 0.66mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 10d 1 0.80mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 10d 1 0.87mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 21d 1 1.09mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 21d 1 1.17mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 43d 1 1.23mi
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 1.28mi
83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1322 $2,250 $1.70 2d 1 1.36mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 2d 1 1.40mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 2d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1825-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $139,900 Active 1825-char remark
  3. 2013-06-26
    listed $35,900
  4. 2013-03-06
    listed $35,900
  5. 2011-02-16
    soldstatus $38,650
  6. 2010-01-28
    soldstatus $18,500
  7. 2009-11-08
    listed $22,900
  8. 2000-09-21
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$509 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,437 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$928/yr (+$77/mo · 182.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,797
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$509
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,664
− Management
−$1,664
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,045
After-tax cash flow
$5,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+976.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-06-26 Listed $35,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-03-06 Listed $35,900 UNYREIS
  • 2011-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $38,650 Public Records
  • 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $18,500 UNYREIS
  • 2009-11-08 Listed $22,900 UNYREIS
  • 2000-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $509 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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