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11828 Kentucky St
D- Composite 37.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$304,900

11828 Kentucky St · Crown Point, IN 46307
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,497 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2022 3,531 sqft lot Est $292k · at est. $150/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Why rent when you can own this beautiful 3 bedroom Townhouse located in Crown Point!!!! This Maintenance Free Townhome has it all - Location, Curb Appeal, Open Lay Out, Upgrades and so much more. The kitchen has soft close cabinets/drawers, granite counter tops and all the kitchen appliances to stay. Small touches like the custom blinds, newer light fixtures, upgraded toilets/vanities, storm doors and the fact that it FRESHLY PAINTED goes a long way in differentiating if from the competition. In Real Estate the Old adage is location, location, location and this has it. Located in Crown Point which is a Hub for DINING AND ENTERTAINMENT, easy access to I- 65 and not to mention the well respec

Key facts

  • Upgraded toilets
  • Soft close cabinets
  • Granite counter tops

Tags

MAINTENANCE FREE TOWNHOMESOFT CLOSE CABINETSGRANITE COUNTER TOPSCUSTOM BLINDSNEWER LIGHT FIXTURESUPGRADED TOILETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (Walkerton Park HOA managed by 1st American Management); HOA fee $150 monthly; HOA covers grounds maintenance and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage; Garage faces rear; Garage door opener; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (200+ amp service); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Attached property; Two stories; Built in 2022
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Above-grade finished living area 1,497
  • Exterior features: Patio; Back yard fencing; Neighborhood view; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Gas dryer hookup (main level); Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $253k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Crown Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Solon Robinson Elementary School (math 59% / reading 57%, grade C+, #160 of 994 statewide, top 17%, 528 students, 34% FRL); Robert Taft Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 1,091 students, 23% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 753 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $253,030 (17.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.74%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,915
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1062 E 115th Ct 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,616 (+8%) 3mo $314,000 $194 68
11584 Vermont St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (-4%) 12mo $281,000 $195 63
11695 Georgia St 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 17mo $309,000 $215 62
11681 Carolina St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,636 (+9%) 12mo $300,000 $183 54
1068 E 115th Ln 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,375 (-8%) 14mo $206,525 $150 53
515 E 117th Pl 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,701 (+14%) 2mo $341,000 $200 53
11763 Virginia Ct 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,653 (+10%) 15mo $330,000 $200 50
11724 Georgia St 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,718 (+15%) 10mo $315,000 $183 50
1064 E 115th Ct 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,708 (+14%) 18mo $305,000 $179 44
11678 Georgia St 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,718 (+15%) 17mo $349,900 $204 41
11742 Carolina St 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,710 (+14%) 20mo $334,900 $196 41
555 E 115th Pl 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+12%) 20mo $313,000 $186 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-58,419
Equity at exit
$45,462
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-65,650
Equity at exit
$26,362

Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46307

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
753
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,530 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,958/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$531
Net cashflow
$-124

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,687
Max offer price $283,076
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-37 +0% $-124 +5% $-210 +10% $-296
Rent -10% $-323 -5% $-223 +0% $-124 +5% $-24 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $30 -0.5pp $-46 base $-124 +0.5pp $-203 +1.0pp $-283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,225
Closing costs
$9,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
484 E 127th Ave Crown Point, IN 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1544 $3,250 $2.10 0d 20 1.15mi
396 Golden Oak Ct Crown Point, IN 3.0 2.0 1670 $2,300 $1.38 0d 1 1.20mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $304,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $304,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $304,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $304,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $304,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $304,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $304,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $304,900 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $304,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $304,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $304,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $304,900 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $304,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $304,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $304,900 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $304,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,958 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,958 · $247/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,364
− Mortgage interest
−$17,079
− Property taxes
−$2,958
− Insurance
−$1,524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,429
− Management
−$2,429
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$8,870
Taxable loss
−$6,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,614
After-tax cash flow
$132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crown Point Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1802490
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$69,148
Composite
49.55/100
National rank
#1990
State rank
#23 of 301 in IN

Livability — Crown Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#3244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crown Point, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
71,673
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
71,673
Household income
$107,800
Rent vs Own
12.0% rent · 88.0% own
Severe rent burden
705.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.91%
Current HPI
226.0335
Rent YoY
▲ 2.53%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $304,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2387.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,958 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…