11117 W Golden Willow Dr · Marana, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
Key facts
- Built in bbq
- Covered patio
- Split bedroom plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (13.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (25.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Marana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#67 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Marana Unified District (4404) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #83 of 249 in AZ (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.37%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $337,324
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- -14.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11380 W Burning Sage St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-9%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $221 | 63 |
| 11313 W Farm Village Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-14%) | 1mo | $274,900 | $207 | 62 |
| 10647 W Goulding Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (-5%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $212 | 60 |
| 10616 W Goulding Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (-5%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $225 | 57 |
| 12367 N Sutter Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (-5%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $232 | 56 |
| 11506 W Red Admiral St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (-6%) | 2mo | $353,940 | $244 | 56 |
| 11500 W Red Admiral St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,631 (+6%) | 0mo | $349,940 | $215 | 52 |
| 10720 W Ralston Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (-5%) | 4mo | $309,000 | $211 | 51 |
| 11521 W Red Admiral St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,631 (+6%) | 2mo | $364,590 | $224 | 50 |
| 11092 W Coppertail Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-14%) | 2mo | $312,034 | $235 | 46 |
| 10636 W Harrigan Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (+14%) | 2mo | $348,000 | $199 | 43 |
| 11617 W Tom Henry Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,714 (+11%) | 5mo | $360,000 | $210 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-60,545
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-67,516
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85653
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,171 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$83
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $-228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11071 W Willow Field Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $1,796 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 11320 W Cotton Bale Ln Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $2,480 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 11379 W Burning Sage St Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10800 W Embrey Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 12500 N Cottonseed Ln Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10703 W Embrey Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 12474 N Appling Ave Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2183 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 12742 N Gibbs Ave Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,075 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12232 N Sora Pl Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11629 W Despain Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10518 W Harrigan Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 12115 N Candywine Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1879 | $2,250 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12115 N Candywine Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1897 | $2,250 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11562 W Oilseed Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,941 | $1.23 | 11d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 10679 W Golson Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2220 | $2,350 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10713 W Dickerson Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,940 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10677 W Dickerson Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,920 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 12486 N Reeves Pl Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10667 W Filbert St Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,057 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11854 W Thomas Arron Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 10315 W Robertson St Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,145 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11868 W Charismatic Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10294 W Sumullen St Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 13146 N Grayson Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,205 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12611 N Hendricks Dr Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1884 | $2,379 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 12830 N Fox Hollow Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,745 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $2,299 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,959 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,959 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $83 · $996/yr
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $289,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 219 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $289,900 Active Contingent 215 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $289,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-03status Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-04-08historical Active Contingent 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-04-03status Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-03-24status Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-03-05status Pending 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-03-05historical 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-02-14historical Active Contingent 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-02-06price $289,900 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2026-01-02price $299,900 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2025-11-14status Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2025-09-19price $309,900 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2025-09-19historical 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2025-09-18price $280,000 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
-
2025-08-12$305,000 Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.
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2025-03-01historical
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2024-08-06$339,000 Active
-
2023-03-14soldstatus $300,000 Closed
-
2023-03-14soldstatus $300,000
-
2023-03-07status Pending
-
2023-02-03historical Active Contingent
-
2023-01-09price $300,000
-
2022-11-01$320,000 Active
-
2014-05-29historical
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2014-05-27soldstatus $157,500 Closed
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2014-05-27soldstatus $157,500
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2014-03-29historical Active Contingent
-
2014-03-22price $155,000
-
2014-03-02status Active
-
2014-03-01historical
-
2014-01-28price $155,500
-
2013-11-08$156,000 Active
-
2005-05-26soldstatus $159,725
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,625 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,625 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,051
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,084
- − Management
- −$2,084
- − HOA
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$7,860
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,886
- After-tax cash flow
- $-847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marana Unified District (4404)
- NCES district ID
- 0404630
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,282
- Composite
- 30.96/100
- National rank
- #6103
- State rank
- #83 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Marana
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marana, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 39,625
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,574
- Household income
- $86,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 181.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.29%
- Current HPI
- 249.3403
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.43%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+81.5% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-08 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-24 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-05 Pending — MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2026-02-14 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $289,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $299,900 MLSSAZ
- 2025-11-14 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2025-09-19 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $309,900 MLSSAZ
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $280,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-08-12 Listed $305,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-03-01 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2024-08-06 Listed $339,000 MLSSAZ
- 2023-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $300,000 MLSSAZ
- 2023-03-07 Pending — MLSSAZ
- 2023-02-03 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2023-01-09 Price Changed $300,000 MLSSAZ
- 2022-11-01 Listed $320,000 MLSSAZ
- 2014-05-29 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2014-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
- 2014-05-27 Sold (MLS) $157,500 MLSSAZ
- 2014-03-29 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2014-03-22 Price Changed $155,000 MLSSAZ
- 2014-03-02 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2014-03-01 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2014-01-28 Price Changed $155,500 MLSSAZ
- 2013-11-08 Listed $156,000 MLSSAZ
- 2005-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $159,725 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,625 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…