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11117 W Golden Willow Dr
D Composite 40.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

11117 W Golden Willow Dr · Marana, AZ 85653
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,538 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 225 Days on market
Built 2005 6,273 sqft lot $188/sqft · 14% below area Est $337k · 14% under $83/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

Key facts

  • Built in bbq
  • Covered patio
  • Split bedroom plan

Tags

SOLAR INSTALLEDBUILT IN BBQCOVERED PATIOSPLIT BEDROOM PLANOPEN GREAT ROOM CONCEPT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Marana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#67 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marana Unified District (4404) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #83 of 249 in AZ (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,091 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$337,324
List price
$289,900
Delta
-14.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11380 W Burning Sage St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-9%) 4mo $310,000 $221 63
11313 W Farm Village Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-14%) 1mo $274,900 $207 62
10647 W Goulding Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,465 (-5%) 1mo $310,000 $212 60
10616 W Goulding Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,465 (-5%) 3mo $330,000 $225 57
12367 N Sutter Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,465 (-5%) 4mo $340,000 $232 56
11506 W Red Admiral St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-6%) 2mo $353,940 $244 56
11500 W Red Admiral St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,631 (+6%) 0mo $349,940 $215 52
10720 W Ralston Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,465 (-5%) 4mo $309,000 $211 51
11521 W Red Admiral St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,631 (+6%) 2mo $364,590 $224 50
11092 W Coppertail Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-14%) 2mo $312,034 $235 46
10636 W Harrigan Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,745 (+14%) 2mo $348,000 $199 43
11617 W Tom Henry Way 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,714 (+11%) 5mo $360,000 $210 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-60,545
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-67,516
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85653

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,171 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$83
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$456
Net cashflow
$-228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,459
Max offer price $249,661
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11071 W Willow Field Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 2.0 1789 $1,796 $1.00 11d 1 0.09mi
11320 W Cotton Bale Ln Marana, AZ 4.0 2.0 1727 $2,480 $1.44 1d 1 0.27mi
11379 W Burning Sage St Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,795 $1.42 23d 1 0.33mi
10800 W Embrey Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,300 $1.13 23d 1 0.37mi
12500 N Cottonseed Ln Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1589 $1,750 $1.10 43d 1 0.41mi
10703 W Embrey Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,300 $1.13 43d 1 0.48mi
12474 N Appling Ave Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 2183 $2,500 $1.15 3d 1 0.49mi
12742 N Gibbs Ave Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,075 $1.02 43d 1 0.51mi
12232 N Sora Pl Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1601 $1,750 $1.09 44d 1 0.66mi
11629 W Despain Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,850 $1.40 43d 1 0.71mi
10518 W Harrigan Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1262 $2,000 $1.58 14d 1 0.76mi
12115 N Candywine Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1879 $2,250 $1.20 15d 1 0.82mi
12115 N Candywine Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1897 $2,250 $1.19 3d 1 0.82mi
11562 W Oilseed Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1584 $1,941 $1.23 11d 1 0.83mi
10679 W Golson Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2220 $2,350 $1.06 14d 1 0.84mi
10713 W Dickerson Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1327 $1,940 $1.46 23d 1 0.86mi
10677 W Dickerson Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1327 $1,920 $1.45 3d 1 0.88mi
12486 N Reeves Pl Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,400 $1.18 16d 1 0.89mi
10667 W Filbert St Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,057 $1.01 43d 1 0.94mi
11854 W Thomas Arron Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 2.0 1890 $1,900 $1.01 16d 1 0.97mi
10315 W Robertson St Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,145 $1.06 43d 1 1.06mi
11868 W Charismatic Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 2.0 1562 $1,900 $1.22 23d 1 1.07mi
10294 W Sumullen St Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1303 $1,675 $1.29 43d 1 1.23mi
13146 N Grayson Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 2027 $2,205 $1.09 2d 1 1.32mi
12611 N Hendricks Dr Marana, AZ 4.0 3.0 1884 $2,379 $1.26 3d 1 1.34mi
12830 N Fox Hollow Dr Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,745 $1.39 43d 1 1.34mi
10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ 3.0 2.0 1678 $2,299 $1.37 23d 1 1.34mi
10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ 2.0 2.0 1488 $1,959 $1.32 1d 1 1.34mi
10300 W Tangerine Rd Marana, AZ 2.0 2.0 1488 $1,959 $1.32 44d 1 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$83 · $996/yr

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $289,900 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 220 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 217 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,900 Active Contingent 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $289,900 Active Contingent 215 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,900 Active 214 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $289,900 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,900 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 207 DOM
  16. 2026-05-03
    status Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  17. 2026-04-08
    historical Active Contingent 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  18. 2026-04-03
    status Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  19. 2026-03-24
    status Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  20. 2026-03-05
    status Pending 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  21. 2026-03-05
    historical 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  22. 2026-02-14
    historical Active Contingent 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  23. 2026-02-06
    price $289,900 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  24. 2026-01-02
    price $299,900 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  25. 2025-11-14
    status Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  26. 2025-09-19
    price $309,900 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  27. 2025-09-19
    historical 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  28. 2025-09-18
    price $280,000 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  29. 2025-08-12
    listed $305,000 Active 460-char remark
    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath plus den home with solar installed on the roof. Home has tile everywhere but the bedrooms which are carpet. Home features a split bedroom plan and an open great room concept. The backyard has a built in BBQ and a covered patio for entertaining. Home is available for quick move in! If Buyer escrows with Mortgage Connect, the solar lien will be insured over so the buyer has no solar payments as long as they own the home.

  30. 2025-03-01
    historical
  31. 2024-08-06
    listed $339,000 Active
  32. 2023-03-14
    soldstatus $300,000 Closed
  33. 2023-03-14
    soldstatus $300,000
  34. 2023-03-07
    status Pending
  35. 2023-02-03
    historical Active Contingent
  36. 2023-01-09
    price $300,000
  37. 2022-11-01
    listed $320,000 Active
  38. 2014-05-29
    historical
  39. 2014-05-27
    soldstatus $157,500 Closed
  40. 2014-05-27
    soldstatus $157,500
  41. 2014-03-29
    historical Active Contingent
  42. 2014-03-22
    price $155,000
  43. 2014-03-02
    status Active
  44. 2014-03-01
    historical
  45. 2014-01-28
    price $155,500
  46. 2013-11-08
    listed $156,000 Active
  47. 2005-05-26
    soldstatus $159,725

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,625 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,625 · $219/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,051
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,084
− Management
−$2,084
− HOA
−$996
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$7,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,886
After-tax cash flow
$-847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marana Unified District (4404)
NCES district ID
0404630
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,282
Composite
30.96/100
National rank
#6103
State rank
#83 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Marana

Score
67/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#11113

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marana, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
City population
39,625
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
23,574
Household income
$86,154
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
181.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.29%
Current HPI
249.3403
Rent YoY
▲ 3.43%
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.5% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-08 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2026-03-05 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2026-03-05 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2026-02-14 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $289,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $299,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-11-14 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2025-09-19 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $309,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $280,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $305,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-03-01 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2024-08-06 Listed $339,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $300,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-03-07 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2023-02-03 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2023-01-09 Price Changed $300,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2022-11-01 Listed $320,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-05-29 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2014-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
  • 2014-05-27 Sold (MLS) $157,500 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-03-29 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2014-03-22 Price Changed $155,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2014-03-02 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2014-03-01 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2014-01-28 Price Changed $155,500 MLSSAZ
  • 2013-11-08 Listed $156,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2005-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $159,725 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,625 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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