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2401 W Route 66 #2
B- Composite 65.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

2401 W Route 66 #2 · Flagstaff, AZ 86001
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 796 sqft · Manufactured · 39 Days on market
Built 1985 Fair condition 5,227 sqft lot $99/sqft · at area comps Est $75k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SELLER WILL PAY 6 MONTHS LOT LEASE!!! Nestled in the peaceful Wildwood Hills community of Flagstaff, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers an additional 15x12 studio that can be used as an office, living room or 2nd bedroom with own entrance & heat. Enjoy the comfort of newer double-pane windows and updated plumbing pipes. The property is beautifully landscaped and south-facing, the fenced backyard is landscaped and offers a great space to relax, garden, or entertain. Additional features include a carport, extra driveway parking, washer and dryer, and storage shed. The clubhouse with a pool, spa & pool table is just a short walk away. Land is leased for 1495/month which i

Key facts

  • Landscaped backyard
  • Carport
  • 15x12 studio

Tags

15X12 STUDIONEWER DOUBLE-PANE WINDOWSUPDATED PLUMBING PIPESFENCED BACKYARDLANDSCAPED BACKYARDCARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association with clubhouse; Community pool/spa available

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single wide home; One level
  • Construction: Stem wall foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Partial fencing; Shed(s); Landscaped lot; Sloped topography; Paved road; private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Hall laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $816 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 2.1% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D-.
  • Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 280 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
19.70%
Cash-on-cash
47.87%
DSCR
3.13
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,396
List price
$79,000
Delta
4.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2500 W Route 66 #21 0.22mi 2/1.0 (+1) 791 (-1%) 1mo $69,900 $88 83
2401 W Route 66 #104 0.06mi 2/1.0 (+1) 741 (-7%) 16mo $99,500 $134 67
2500 W Rte 66 #67 0.19mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-8%) 15mo $92,000 $126 60
2500 W Route 66 #1 0.16mi 2/2.0 (+1) 896 (+13%) 9mo $70,000 $78 55
2500 W Route 66 #65 0.16mi 2/2.0 (+1) 896 (+13%) 10mo $100,000 $112 54
2401 W Route 66 Dr #66 0.23mi 2/2.0 (+1) 868 (+9%) 22mo $161,500 $186 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$34,878
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
43.5%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$80,561
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86001

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
280
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$816

Break-even live

Break-even rent $775
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2701 S Woody Mountain Rd Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1078 $2,175 $2.02 43d 77 0.41mi
2292 S Alvan Clark Blvd Flagstaff, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 978 $1,473 $1.51 43d 12 0.58mi
1385 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 906 $1,725 $1.90 43d 3 0.82mi
1000 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 947 $1,925 $2.03 43d 1 0.94mi
927 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 958 $1,995 $2.08 43d 11 0.99mi
923 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $1,799 $2.05 43d 36 1.10mi
1580 S Plaza Way Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,899 $2.17 43d 12 1.12mi
800 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 847 $1,561 $1.84 43d 32 1.14mi
813 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 567 $1,642 $2.90 43d 1 1.18mi
1515 S Yale St Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,740 $2.02 43d 6 1.19mi
700 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 675 $1,590 $2.36 43d 1 1.20mi
600 W University Heights Dr N Flagstaff, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 766 $1,900 $2.48 43d 4 1.42mi
3200 S Litzler Dr Unit 9-236 Flagstaff, AZ 2.0 2.0 776 $1,800 $2.32 43d 1 1.44mi
1200 S Riordan Ranch St Flagstaff, AZ 1.0 1.0 528 $1,525 $2.89 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    remarks 691-char remark
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 20 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 19 DOM
  19. 2026-05-11
    listed $79,000 Active 792-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,695
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$1,192
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,736
− Management
−$1,736
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$9,123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,190
After-tax cash flow
$7,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 22 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The kitchen and bathroom need significant updates, and the interior walls and paint could use freshening up. The exterior and landscaping are in average condition and could be improved to enhance the overall appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom flooring — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate interior walls/paint — dated and in need of fresh paint

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value of the home
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops can significantly improve the functionality and value of the kitchen
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures and flooring — new fixtures and flooring can improve the functionality and value of the bathroom
  • Both replace kitchen flooring — new flooring can improve the functionality and value of the kitchen
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping can enhance the curb appeal and overall value of the home

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom flooring · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen flooring · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior walls/paint · dated and in need of fresh paint Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $18,000–90,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value of the home
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops can significantly improve the functionality and value of the kitchen
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures and flooring — new fixtures and flooring can improve the functionality and value of the bathroom
  • Both replace kitchen flooring — new flooring can improve the functionality and value of the kitchen
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping can enhance the curb appeal and overall value of the home

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
NCES district ID
0402860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,510
Composite
21.11/100
National rank
#8437
State rank
#158 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Flagstaff

Score
61/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#18308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety C+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flagstaff, AZ
County
Coconino County · 91,667 people
City population
91,667
Metro
Flagstaff, AZ
Population (ZIP)
37,312
Household income
$64,626
Rent vs Own
63.2% rent · 36.8% own
Severe rent burden
3117.0

Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
150,645 people
By 2030
156,857 · +4.1%
By 2040
168,714 · +12.0%
By 2050
181,082 · +20.2%
By 2075
218,399 · +45.0%
By 2100
238,853 · +58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coconino

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -488.37%
Current HPI
393.2551
Rent YoY
▲ 0.55%
Metro
Flagstaff, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $79,000 NAZMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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