602 Herrington Rd · Elizabeth City, NC
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath fixer-upper is full of potential! With a solid foundation and great layout, it's the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a home. While the home needs some updates, the open concept gives you the freedom to reimagine the space to fit your style. With a little creativity, this home can be transformed into your dream space. Rest easy knowing that a brand-new water heater has been installed, ensuring reliable hot water supply throughout the home. New HVAC Unit also.
Key facts
- Recent upgrades
- Water heater
- Solid foundation
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Unpaved parking areas; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Built with a crawl space
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; No patio or porch; No fencing; Paved road frontage; Frontage on city street and state road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $905 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.2% vs local median 2.9% in Elizabeth City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#119 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, employment F.
- Elizabeth City-Pasquotank Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #152 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: J C Sawyer Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 368 students, 99% FRL); Elizabeth City Middle (math 16% / reading 31%, grade F, #402 of 475 statewide, top 85%, 515 students, 99% FRL); Northeastern High (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 701 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 56% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Pasquotank County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasquotank County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.50%
- DSCR
- 5.12
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $52,071
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 91.2%
- Equity multiple
- 11.06×
- Total profit
- $126,808
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27909
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $905
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 273 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $45,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 256 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-03-24status Active
-
2026-03-21historical Active Under Contract
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2025-09-19price $79,000
-
2025-09-18status Active
-
2025-07-22status Pending
-
2025-07-21$70,000 Active
-
2025-02-17soldstatus $70,000 Closed 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath fixer-upper is full of potential! With a solid foundation and great layout, it's the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a home. While the home needs some updates, the open concept gives you the freedom to reimagine the space to fit your style. With a little creativity, this home can be transformed into your dream space. Rest easy knowing that a brand-new water heater has been installed, ensuring reliable hot water supply throughout the home. New HVAC Unit also.
-
2025-02-11status Pending 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath fixer-upper is full of potential! With a solid foundation and great layout, it's the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a home. While the home needs some updates, the open concept gives you the freedom to reimagine the space to fit your style. With a little creativity, this home can be transformed into your dream space. Rest easy knowing that a brand-new water heater has been installed, ensuring reliable hot water supply throughout the home. New HVAC Unit also.
-
2025-01-23$115,000 Active 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath fixer-upper is full of potential! With a solid foundation and great layout, it's the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a home. While the home needs some updates, the open concept gives you the freedom to reimagine the space to fit your style. With a little creativity, this home can be transformed into your dream space. Rest easy knowing that a brand-new water heater has been installed, ensuring reliable hot water supply throughout the home. New HVAC Unit also.
-
2024-10-29historical
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2024-10-23historical
-
2024-07-31price $140,000
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2024-07-31price $140,000
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2024-07-31price $140,000
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2024-05-30$180,000 Active
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2024-05-28$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $10,828
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,599
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elizabeth City-Pasquotank Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703540
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,294
- Composite
- 23.63/100
- National rank
- #7847
- State rank
- #152 of 178 in NC
Livability — Elizabeth City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #7304
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elizabeth City, NC
- County
- Pasquotank County · 40,869 people
- City population
- 40,869
- Metro
- Elizabeth City, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,869
- Household income
- $66,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1160.0
Population outlook (Pasquotank County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,172 people
- By 2030
- 36,890 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 33,845 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 31,086 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 27,191 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 26,093 · -31.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasquotank
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.1% · R 52.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.7pp · 2024: -4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.3 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+15.9 2008: D+13.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.03%
- Current HPI
- 164.7511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.02%
- Metro
- Elizabeth City, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-56.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-21 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $79,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-18 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-07-22 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-07-21 Listed $70,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-02-17 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-02-11 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-01-23 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-29 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2024-10-23 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $140,000 REINMLS
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $140,000 OBMLS
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $140,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-05-30 Listed $180,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-05-28 Listed $180,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $592 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…