5162 Boca Raton Ave · Sarasota, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Move-in Ready Home| NO Flood Zone | No lot rent | Financing Available| Enjoy the Sarasota lifestyle in this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath turnkey home located in Tri-Par Estates, known for its resort-style amenities and unbeatable location. This 55+ community is just minutes from downtown Sarasota, marinas, dining, museums, SRQ Airport, and the world-famous beaches of Siesta Key and Lido Key. Step inside to discover a bright, open layout, a new kitchen, and thoughtful finishes throughout. The home has been fully renovated, including energy-efficient mini-splits for year-round comfort. Tri-Par Estates delivers resort-style amenities: a large pool, a brand-new large spa (nearly finished), a tiki hut, pickleball, a fitness center, shuffleboard, mini-golf, horseshoes, and game rooms with ping-pong and billiards, plus arts & crafts and a lively clubhouse that hosts dinners, dances, meetings, and yes, bingo. Ownership here is simple: you own the land, and there’s no separate HOA payment; the annual $1,648 assessment is included in your property taxes. The community is golf-cart friendly, with optional RV/boat storage when space permits. Schedule your private showing today.
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- Large spa
- Large pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,172/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1306% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $109k implies a 474% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.90%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $22,961
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $56,379
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34234
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,783/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$132
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $735
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2800 Telluride Loop Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,270 | $2.14 | 2d | 20 | 1.09mi |
| 2351 University Pkwy Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $2,480 | $2.37 | 2d | 24 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $132 · $1,584/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $119,000 1256-char remark
Show marketing remark (1256 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Move-in Ready Home| NO Flood Zone | No lot rent | Financing Available| Enjoy the Sarasota lifestyle in this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath turnkey home located in Tri-Par Estates, known for its resort-style amenities and unbeatable location. This 55+ community is just minutes from downtown Sarasota, marinas, dining, museums, SRQ Airport, and the world-famous beaches of Siesta Key and Lido Key. Step inside to discover a bright, open layout, a new kitchen, and thoughtful finishes throughout. The home has been fully renovated, including energy-efficient mini-splits for year-round comfort. Tri-Par Estates delivers resort-style amenities: a large pool, a brand-new large spa (nearly finished), a tiki hut, pickleball, a fitness center, shuffleboard, mini-golf, horseshoes, and game rooms with ping-pong and billiards, plus arts & crafts and a lively clubhouse that hosts dinners, dances, meetings, and yes, bingo. Ownership here is simple: you own the land, and there’s no separate HOA payment; the annual $1,648 assessment is included in your property taxes. The community is golf-cart friendly, with optional RV/boat storage when space permits. Schedule your private showing today.
-
2026-01-14price $124,000 1256-char remark
Show marketing remark (1256 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Move-in Ready Home| NO Flood Zone | No lot rent | Financing Available| Enjoy the Sarasota lifestyle in this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath turnkey home located in Tri-Par Estates, known for its resort-style amenities and unbeatable location. This 55+ community is just minutes from downtown Sarasota, marinas, dining, museums, SRQ Airport, and the world-famous beaches of Siesta Key and Lido Key. Step inside to discover a bright, open layout, a new kitchen, and thoughtful finishes throughout. The home has been fully renovated, including energy-efficient mini-splits for year-round comfort. Tri-Par Estates delivers resort-style amenities: a large pool, a brand-new large spa (nearly finished), a tiki hut, pickleball, a fitness center, shuffleboard, mini-golf, horseshoes, and game rooms with ping-pong and billiards, plus arts & crafts and a lively clubhouse that hosts dinners, dances, meetings, and yes, bingo. Ownership here is simple: you own the land, and there’s no separate HOA payment; the annual $1,648 assessment is included in your property taxes. The community is golf-cart friendly, with optional RV/boat storage when space permits. Schedule your private showing today.
-
2025-11-22price $129,800 1256-char remark
Show marketing remark (1256 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Move-in Ready Home| NO Flood Zone | No lot rent | Financing Available| Enjoy the Sarasota lifestyle in this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath turnkey home located in Tri-Par Estates, known for its resort-style amenities and unbeatable location. This 55+ community is just minutes from downtown Sarasota, marinas, dining, museums, SRQ Airport, and the world-famous beaches of Siesta Key and Lido Key. Step inside to discover a bright, open layout, a new kitchen, and thoughtful finishes throughout. The home has been fully renovated, including energy-efficient mini-splits for year-round comfort. Tri-Par Estates delivers resort-style amenities: a large pool, a brand-new large spa (nearly finished), a tiki hut, pickleball, a fitness center, shuffleboard, mini-golf, horseshoes, and game rooms with ping-pong and billiards, plus arts & crafts and a lively clubhouse that hosts dinners, dances, meetings, and yes, bingo. Ownership here is simple: you own the land, and there’s no separate HOA payment; the annual $1,648 assessment is included in your property taxes. The community is golf-cart friendly, with optional RV/boat storage when space permits. Schedule your private showing today.
-
2025-10-27$139,800 Active 1256-char remark
Show marketing remark (1256 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Move-in Ready Home| NO Flood Zone | No lot rent | Financing Available| Enjoy the Sarasota lifestyle in this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath turnkey home located in Tri-Par Estates, known for its resort-style amenities and unbeatable location. This 55+ community is just minutes from downtown Sarasota, marinas, dining, museums, SRQ Airport, and the world-famous beaches of Siesta Key and Lido Key. Step inside to discover a bright, open layout, a new kitchen, and thoughtful finishes throughout. The home has been fully renovated, including energy-efficient mini-splits for year-round comfort. Tri-Par Estates delivers resort-style amenities: a large pool, a brand-new large spa (nearly finished), a tiki hut, pickleball, a fitness center, shuffleboard, mini-golf, horseshoes, and game rooms with ping-pong and billiards, plus arts & crafts and a lively clubhouse that hosts dinners, dances, meetings, and yes, bingo. Ownership here is simple: you own the land, and there’s no separate HOA payment; the annual $1,648 assessment is included in your property taxes. The community is golf-cart friendly, with optional RV/boat storage when space permits. Schedule your private showing today.
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1997-10-06soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,783 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,783 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,783
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,085
- − Management
- −$2,085
- − HOA
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $7,707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,850
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sarasota
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #1854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 261,896
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,986
- Household income
- $57,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -229.06%
- Current HPI
- 305.6629
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.15%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+526.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $124,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $129,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Listed $139,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,783 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…