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121 Orchard Ln
C+ Composite 63.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

121 Orchard Ln · Sulphur, LA 70665
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 2019 6,534 sqft lot Est $206k · 9% over $20/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Sizzling Summer Incentive - Package with Free side by side Refrigerator & Washer/Dryer! * (Restrictions Apply) DSLD HOMES' HUDSON III B offers a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom open and split floor plan! Special features include: Frigidaire appliance package, 3cm granite countertops in kitchen and baths, birch cabinets throughout, wood floors in living room, ceramic tile flooring in wet areas, Pfister Tuscan bronze bathroom fixtures, post tension slab, and more. Energy Efficient Features: Rheem tankless gas water heater, radiant barrier decking in attic, low E tilt-in windows, and more!

Key facts

  • Eat at island
  • Breakfast area
  • Large master bath

Tags

WATERFRONT ON THE PONDOPEN AND SPLIT FLOOR PLANBREAKFAST AREAEAT AT ISLANDLARGE MASTER BATHSHOWER AND SOAKER TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $240 (about $20/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One-story
  • Exterior features: Waterfront property; Rectangular lot (approximately 60 x 110 feet, 0.15 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: No fireplace; Central heating and central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $855 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 8.8% in Sulphur — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $225k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $225,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.29%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
148 Orchard Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,514 (-1%) 7mo $207,000 $137 88
337 Madison Xing 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-6%) 8mo $208,000 $143 80
235 Aston Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,563 (+2%) 10mo $214,000 $137 77
277 Paisley Pkwy 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+5%) 2mo $214,000 $132 75
305 Paisley Pkwy 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+5%) 4mo $217,000 $134 73
248 Long Hill Dr Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,698 (+10%) 7mo $205,000 $121 71
109 Briar Ct 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,642 (+7%) 7mo $212,500 $129 71
224 Pipers Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,641 (+7%) 12mo $233,900 $143 64
344 Madison Crossing Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,710 (+11%) 12mo $219,500 $128 64
216 Pipers Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,738 (+13%) 3mo $240,000 $138 62
308 Paisley Pkwy 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,755 (+14%) 3mo $233,000 $133 60
544 Patton St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-9%) 1mo $115,000 $82 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$17,986
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$85,731
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70665

Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,932 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$20
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$616
Net cashflow
$855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,849
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $982 -5% $919 +0% $855 +5% $791 +10% $728
Rent -10% $623 -5% $739 +0% $855 +5% $971 +10% $1,087
Rate -1.0pp $968 -0.5pp $912 base $855 +0.5pp $797 +1.0pp $737

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1000 E Carlyss Blvd Sulphur, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,296 $2.38 14d 10 0.23mi
293 Sawyer Dr Sulphur, LA 4.0 2.0 2079 $4,400 $2.12 44d 1 0.38mi
1141 Mosswood Dr Sulphur, LA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1332 $2,195 $1.65 44d 1 1.19mi
1917 Linda Ave Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,890 $1.47 44d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$20 · $240/yr
Likely covers
watergas

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 389-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,008 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,008 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,181
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,008
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,814
− Management
−$2,814
− HOA
−$240
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$7,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,687
After-tax cash flow
$8,573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sulphur

Score
71/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#7164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur, LA
City population
27,799
Population (ZIP)
12,891

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.65%
Current HPI
99.2379
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $225,000 SWLAR
  • 2023-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-09 Sold (MLS) SWLAR
  • 2019-02-19 Listed $190,895 SWLAR

Property tax history

+28.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,008 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…