30 Moscow Rd · Housatonic, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you're looking for space and potential, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on 2.8 acres may be the one. Located on a dead-end road and surrounded by state forest on two sides, the setting offers privacy and room to roam. The home features a 2-car garage and tons of interior space, but it does require significant renovation and is being sold as-is. Failed Title 5 inspection. Two more potential bedrooms upstairs currently with no heat source. The highway runs behind the property and can be heard. Due to the condition, traditional FHA financing is unlikely. A great opportunity for buyers ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Price increase reflects sellers completing a perc
Key facts
- State forest
- Privacy
- Potential bedrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garaged and off-street parking; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: 100 amp electrical service; Private sewer
- Home design: Fixer condition; Total building area approximately 1,552
- Exterior features: Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Living room listed among rooms (total 9 rooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating
- Interior features: Accessible bedroom; Accessible full bathroom; First-floor half bathroom; Outbuilding
- Laundry & utility: 100 amp electrical service; Private sewer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#236 in MA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Berkshire Hills (rural): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #197 of 302 in MA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.88%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $491,984
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Moscow Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,552 (0%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $187 | 97 |
| 20 State Line Rd | 0.35mi | 2/2.5 | 1,596 (+3%) | 18mo | $559,000 | $350 | 58 |
| 20 Moscow Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,677 (+8%) | 22mo | $300,000 | $179 | 56 |
| 3 & 5 Swamp Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,688 (+9%) | 7mo | $535,000 | $317 | 56 |
| 17 Stockbridge Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+3%) | 11mo | $465,000 | $291 | 51 |
| 19 Washington Sq | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,424 (-8%) | 6mo | $542,500 | $381 | 49 |
| 7 Stockbridge Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,772 (+14%) | 1mo | $660,000 | $372 | 41 |
| 27 Swamp Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-6%) | 18mo | $375,000 | $258 | 40 |
| 4 Swamp Rd | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-12%) | 20mo | $525,000 | $384 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $79,431
- Equity at exit
- $110,481
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $214,074
- Equity at exit
- $167,085
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01266
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,577/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$682
- Net cashflow
- $826
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $970 | -5% $898 | +0% $826 | +5% $754 | +10% $682 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $698 | +0% $826 | +5% $954 | +10% $1,083 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $954 | -0.5pp $891 | base $826 | +0.5pp $760 | +1.0pp $693 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Main St Unit N/A West Stockbridge, MA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $3,250 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-14price $255,000
-
2026-04-09$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,577 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,577 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$3,577
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,120
- − Management
- −$3,120
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable income
- $6,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkshire Hills
- NCES district ID
- 2502530
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,413
- Composite
- 35.69/100
- National rank
- #4868
- State rank
- #197 of 302 in MA
Livability — Housatonic
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #22509
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 919
Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,723 people
- By 2030
- 114,608 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 102,806 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 91,305 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 71,517 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 57,988 · -51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Current HPI
- 324.1646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+2.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — BCMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $255,000 BCMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $250,000 BCMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2023): $3,577 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…