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30 Moscow Rd
B+ Composite 78.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$255,000

30 Moscow Rd · Housatonic, MA 01266
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1870 2.83 ac lot Est $492k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you're looking for space and potential, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on 2.8 acres may be the one. Located on a dead-end road and surrounded by state forest on two sides, the setting offers privacy and room to roam. The home features a 2-car garage and tons of interior space, but it does require significant renovation and is being sold as-is. Failed Title 5 inspection. Two more potential bedrooms upstairs currently with no heat source. The highway runs behind the property and can be heard. Due to the condition, traditional FHA financing is unlikely. A great opportunity for buyers ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Price increase reflects sellers completing a perc

Key facts

  • State forest
  • Privacy
  • Potential bedrooms

Tags

DEAD-END ROADSTATE FORESTPRIVACYROOM TO ROAMPOTENTIAL BEDROOMSSIGNIFICANT RENOVATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garaged and off-street parking; Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: 100 amp electrical service; Private sewer
  • Home design: Fixer condition; Total building area approximately 1,552
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Living room listed among rooms (total 9 rooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Accessible bedroom; Accessible full bathroom; First-floor half bathroom; Outbuilding
  • Laundry & utility: 100 amp electrical service; Private sewer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#236 in MA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Berkshire Hills (rural): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #197 of 302 in MA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $255,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.18%
Cash-on-cash
13.88%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$491,984
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 Moscow Rd 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,552 (0%) 1mo $290,000 $187 97
20 State Line Rd 0.35mi 2/2.5 1,596 (+3%) 18mo $559,000 $350 58
20 Moscow Rd 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,677 (+8%) 22mo $300,000 $179 56
3 & 5 Swamp Rd 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,688 (+9%) 7mo $535,000 $317 56
17 Stockbridge Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,600 (+3%) 11mo $465,000 $291 51
19 Washington Sq 0.45mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,424 (-8%) 6mo $542,500 $381 49
7 Stockbridge Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,772 (+14%) 1mo $660,000 $372 41
27 Swamp Rd 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,452 (-6%) 18mo $375,000 $258 40
4 Swamp Rd 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-12%) 20mo $525,000 $384 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$79,431
Equity at exit
$110,481
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$214,074
Equity at exit
$167,085

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01266

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,577/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$682
Net cashflow
$826

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,205
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $970 -5% $898 +0% $826 +5% $754 +10% $682
Rent -10% $569 -5% $698 +0% $826 +5% $954 +10% $1,083
Rate -1.0pp $954 -0.5pp $891 base $826 +0.5pp $760 +1.0pp $693

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Main St Unit N/A West Stockbridge, MA 2.0 2.0 2000 $3,250 $1.62 44d 1 0.45mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    price $255,000
  3. 2026-04-09
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,577 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,577 · $298/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,000
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$3,577
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,120
− Management
−$3,120
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable income
$6,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,489
After-tax cash flow
$8,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berkshire Hills
NCES district ID
2502530
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$54,413
Composite
35.69/100
National rank
#4868
State rank
#197 of 302 in MA

Livability — Housatonic

Score
56/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#22509

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime C+ Employment C Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
919

Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,723 people
By 2030
114,608 · -4.3%
By 2040
102,806 · -14.1%
By 2050
91,305 · -23.7%
By 2075
71,517 · -40.3%
By 2100
57,988 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.71%
Current HPI
324.1646
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending BCMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $255,000 BCMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $250,000 BCMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,577 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…