Fourplex
2611 - 2631 Alhambra Blvd · Sacramento, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Welcome to a prime investment opportunity in North Oak Park, Sacramento featuring 9 BRs & 6 baths across varied units. This property includes updated 2BR units (750 sq ft) & 1BR units (600 sq ft), with four units refreshed in the last year. Enjoy the benefits of modern finishes with newer floors, counters, and updated baths. Situated steps away from major transportation routes and freeways, this location offers rapid access to Midtown and Downtown Sacramento, ensuring a seamless commute. The blend of steady rental income and convenient location provides an exceptional chance for investors to secure a promising asset.
Key facts
- Updated units
- Updated baths
- Modern finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/0.2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $182/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.10M (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
- Sacramento City Unified (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #804 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,007/mo this rent would consume 206% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1529% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $1.00M; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.61%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,760,215
- List price
- $1,199,000
- Delta
- -31.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-166,716
- Equity at exit
- $178,775
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-160,147
- Equity at exit
- $103,668
Cash invested: $335,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95817
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 36.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,007 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,288
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,179 /mo · $14,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,311
- Net cashflow
- $729
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 0.2 | $11,008 |
| #1 | 2 | 0.2 | $2,752 |
| #2 | 2 | 0.2 | $2,752 |
| #3 | 2 | 0.2 | $2,752 |
| #4 | 2 | 0.2 | $2,752 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,007 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,750
- Closing costs
- $35,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,199,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,199,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,199,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,199,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,199,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,199,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,199,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,199,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,199,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,199,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,199,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,199,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,199,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,199,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2025-08-28historical $1,500
-
2025-07-25$1,500
-
2017-05-19soldstatus $1,000,000
-
2016-11-10soldstatus $600,000
-
2016-06-22soldstatus $925,000
-
1998-02-17soldstatus $116,000
-
1985-07-16soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,149 · $1,179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,149 · $1,179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $132,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,163
- − Property taxes
- −$14,149
- − Insurance
- −$5,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,567
- − Management
- −$10,567
- − Depreciation
- −$34,880
- Taxable loss
- −$11,236
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,697
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sacramento City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633840
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,280
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #10000
- State rank
- #804 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Sacramento
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #6957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sacramento, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 761,410
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,219
- Household income
- $64,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1529.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 11% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -402.45%
- Current HPI
- 617.5913
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.27%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-98.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-28 Rental Removed $1,500 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-07-25 Listed for Rent $1,500 TENANTTURNER2
- 2017-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $1,000,000 Public Records
- 2016-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $925,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 1985-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $14,149 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…