CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
129 Oneck Ln
D Composite 44.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$2,600,000

129 Oneck Ln · Westhampton Beach, NY 11978
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1970 0.87 ac lot Est $2098k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Set on a just-shy acre in the coveted estate section of Westhampton Beach, 129 Oneck Lane presents an exceptional opportunity to own in one of the village's most desirable locations. Just minutes from Main Street and the ocean beaches, the property offers a bright and spacious four-bedroom, four-bath ranch with a 20' x 40' pool and generous deck surrounded by mature plantings and privacy. The existing home features an open and airy layout designed for easy living and entertaining, including an eat-in kitchen, dining area, wet bar, and expansive living room with multiple seating areas. A window-lined sunroom and sliding doors create a seamless connection to the outdoors, perfect for summer g

Key facts

  • Wet bar
  • Deck access
  • 20 x 40 pool

Tags

20 X 40 POOLOPEN AND AIRY LAYOUTEAT-IN KITCHENWET BARWINDOW-LINED SUNROOMDECK ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private in-ground outdoor pool with vinyl lining and pool cover

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Private oversized garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Water connected; Cesspool sewer; Private trash collection
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Shingle siding
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Deck; Back yard; Fenced yard (vinyl and wood)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with soaking tub and double vanity
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; Central vacuum; Crown molding; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom; Soaking tub; Walk-in closets; Wet bar; Wall of windows; Deck (patio/porch feature)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Oil water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $2.60M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.53M (2.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.21M (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $2.21M (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 9.3% in Westhampton Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $22,114/mo this rent would consume 212% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $278k of equity ($18k loan paydown + $260k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$447k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.29M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $199k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $1.30M; list at $2.60M implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,211,406 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,097,846
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
279 Mill Rd 0.30mi 4/3.5 2,948 (+3%) 7mo $3,250,000 $1,102 73
69 Oneck Rd 0.50mi 4/3.5 2,922 (+2%) 0mo $2,250,000 $770 71
8 Fiddler Crab Trl 0.72mi 4/3.0 2,826 (-1%) 2mo $1,575,000 $557 63
8 Baycrest Ave 0.52mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,864 (+0%) 9mo $2,250,000 $786 61
38A Baycrest Ave 0.31mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,645 (-8%) 12mo $2,300,000 $870 58
394 Mill Rd 0.53mi 4/3.5 2,700 (-6%) 9mo $1,700,000 $630 57
98 Beach Rd 0.75mi 4/3.0 3,000 (+5%) 8mo $2,200,000 $733 50
19 Maple St 0.43mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,552 (-11%) 8mo $1,745,000 $684 48
279 Sunset Ave 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,755 (-4%) 10mo $1,100,000 $399 46
46 Oak St 0.51mi 4/3.5 3,276 (+14%) 9mo $1,400,000 $427 43
5 Lake Way 0.64mi 4/3.0 2,500 (-13%) 18mo $1,595,000 $638 34
40 Brook Rd 0.65mi 5/5.5 (+1) 2,509 (-12%) 12mo $2,250,000 $897 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$1,384,650
Equity at exit
$2,342,286
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$4,103,169
Equity at exit
$5,051,228

Cash invested: $728,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11978

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$22,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$13,635
Tax est. 1.5%
$3,250 /mo · $39,000/yr
Insurance
$1,083
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,644
Net cashflow
$-498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $22,744
Max offer price $2,527,952
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$650,000
Closing costs
$78,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
31 Liberty St Westhampton Beach, NY 3.0 1.5 2000 $40,000 $20.00 43d 1 0.25mi
37 School St Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 4.0 3204 $50,000 $15.61 22d 1 0.29mi
38 Liberty St Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 2.5 2565 $35,000 $13.65 43d 1 0.31mi
69 Oneck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.5 2922 $10,000 $3.42 7d 1 0.46mi
250 Oneck Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 5.0 2.5 3113 $20,000 $6.42 19d 1 0.62mi
22 Meadow Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 4.0 2500 $70,000 $28.00 24d 1 0.68mi
99 Beach Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 2.5 2600 $20,000 $7.69 5d 1 0.70mi
15 Pin Oak Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 3.0 3.0 2900 $30,000 $10.34 43d 1 0.72mi
60 Aspatuck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 2150 $10,000 $4.65 43d 1 0.77mi
64 Aspatuck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 2157 $10,000 $4.64 43d 1 0.78mi
7 Sea Breeze Ave Westhampton, NY 5.0 3.5 2723 $28,000 $10.28 11d 1 0.82mi
38 Jessup Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.5 4000 $33,000 $8.25 43d 1 0.87mi
18 Lakeside Ln Westhampton, NY 4.0 2.5 2422 $25,000 $10.32 43d 1 1.10mi
70 Tanners Neck Ln Westhampton, NY 4.0 3.5 2100 $20,000 $9.52 43d 1 1.11mi
26 Lakeside Ln Westhampton, NY 5.0 4.5 2727 $30,000 $11.00 24d 1 1.12mi
8 Sweetgrass Rd Westhampton, NY 5.0 4.5 4050 $13,000 $3.21 1d 1 1.32mi
13 Buttercup Ln Westhampton, NY 3.0 4.5 3278 $25,000 $7.63 5d 1 1.40mi
25 N Quarter Rd Westhampton, NY 4.0 3.0 2000 $30,000 $15.00 16d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 185 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 184 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,600,000 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-05-24
    status Active
  15. 2026-03-06
    price $2,600,000
  16. 2025-11-10
    listed $2,799,000 Active
  17. 2025-09-03
    historical $35,000
  18. 2025-06-06
    price $35,000
  19. 2025-06-05
    listed $30,000
  20. 2014-05-08
    historical
  21. 2013-06-14
    listed $1,399,000
  22. 2013-04-29
    historical
  23. 2013-01-30
    listed $1,550,000
  24. 2008-01-04
    soldstatus $1,300,000
  25. 1997-12-30
    soldstatus $475,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$265,369
− Mortgage interest
−$145,640
− Property taxes
−$39,000
− Insurance
−$13,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$21,229
− Management
−$21,229
− Depreciation
−$75,636
Taxable loss
−$50,367
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$12,088
After-tax cash flow
$6,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3631020
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$88,137
Composite
65.91/100
National rank
#444
State rank
#81 of 590 in NY

Livability — Westhampton Beach

Score
64/100
State rank
#740
US rank
#14093

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westhampton Beach, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
4,376
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
4,705
Household income
$125,179
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
43.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.02%
Current HPI
460.3964
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+447.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $2,600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $2,799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Rental Removed $35,000 ONEKEY
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $35,000 ONEKEY
  • 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $30,000 ONEKEY
  • 2014-05-08 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-14 Listed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-29 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-30 Listed $1,550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $1,300,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $475,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,836 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…