26 2nd St · Halifax, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$113,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
"The list price is not indicative of seller's final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event; call to place bids. Inspections of this property and contact with occupants are strictly prohibited. Property is sold "as is" and no for sale sign allowed. "
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces) with covered parking and garage door opener; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Municipal trash service
- Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
- Construction: Stone foundation; Asphalt roof; Replacement windows; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Deck(s); Play area; Sidewalks; Partially fenced yard with privacy fencing; Cleared, level lot; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen combined with dining area
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on the first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Electric and oil heating; Ductless / mini-split cooling; 60+ gallon hot water tank
- Interior features: Traditional floor plan; Combination kitchen and dining area; Dining area; Family room off the kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Basement with interior access and outside entrance
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#822 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Halifax Area SD (rural): math 28% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Halifax Area Hs (math 54%, 244 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $784 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 62% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.87%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,201
- List price
- $113,400
- Delta
- -47.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Chestnut Aly | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 2,232 (-1%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $110 | 85 |
| 217 Market St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 2,047 (-9%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $83 | 72 |
| 301 N 2nd St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 2,058 (-8%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $112 | 72 |
| 338 Locust St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,254 (+0%) | 6mo | $269,500 | $120 | 67 |
| 305 N 3rd St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 2,142 (-5%) | 19mo | $277,500 | $130 | 67 |
| 15 5th St N | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 2,016 (-10%) | 8mo | $257,000 | $127 | 63 |
| 118 Church Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 2,280 (+1%) | 16mo | $281,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 174 Highland Ln | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,321 (+3%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 432 N 5th St | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 2,124 (-6%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $177 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,049
- Equity at exit
- $16,908
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $12,959
- Equity at exit
- $9,805
Cash invested: $31,752 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17032
- Home prices YoY
- -8.3%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$595
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,682/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $272 | -5% $240 | +0% $208 | +5% $176 | +10% $144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $101 | -5% $154 | +0% $208 | +5% $262 | +10% $315 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $237 | base $208 | +0.5pp $179 | +1.0pp $149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,350
- Closing costs
- $3,402
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04$70,000 Active 295-char remark
-
2023-11-28historical
-
2023-11-16$179,900 Active
-
2019-12-16soldstatus $440,000
-
2006-04-07soldstatus $57,000
-
2006-04-07soldstatus $110,000
-
1989-09-12soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,682 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,682 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,352
- − Property taxes
- −$2,682
- − Insurance
- −$567
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,299
- Taxable income
- $798
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$192
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Halifax Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211310
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,462
- Composite
- 36.25/100
- National rank
- #4713
- State rank
- #310 of 539 in PA
Livability — Halifax
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #822
- US rank
- #8539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Halifax, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,630
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.19%
- Current HPI
- 276.6399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+228.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $113,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $113,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-16 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 1989-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,682 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…