2226 Jeannie St · Navarre, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home boasts over 2,000 square feet of living space! Features include split bedroom floor plan, laminate flooring in the living area, dining room, kitchen, bathrooms and laundry room. A spacious living/dining room as well as a large den. Ample kitchen with cabinets galore. And, a huge master bedroom with a large walk in closet and a sitting area. Complete with Mudroom from the side entrance!
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Ample kitchen
- Large den
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition: Construction complete; Total building area reported as 2052 (source: county records)
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; Zoned for mobile home, single-family and multi-family
- Construction: Built in 1999; Trim vinyl and other exterior materials
- Exterior features: Interior lot; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 136
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric stove/oven
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating provided; Cooling provided
- Interior features: One-story layout; Smoke detector
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.2% in Navarre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#435 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Holley-Navarre Primary (771 students, 41% FRL); Holley-Navarre Middle School (math 71% / reading 63%, grade A-, #80 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 830 students, 42% FRL); Navarre High School (math 49% / reading 58%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 2,406 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 768 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $89k; list at $180k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.10%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $15,917
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $70,114
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32566
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 768
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,371 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $718
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2281 Tom St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,295 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2170 Tom St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2244 Hadleigh Hills Ct Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1664 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2127 Tom St Unit 2127 Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2123 Tom St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2107 Nina St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2109 Bellemeade Cir Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2109 Bellemeade Cir Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 9523 Parker Place Dr Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2212 Peachwood Ct Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2164 Wind Trace Rd N Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,040 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2164 Wind Trace Rd N Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,040 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9946 Mariposa St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,770 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 9946 Mariposa St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,770 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2225 Prytania Cir Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,150 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2225 Prytania Cir Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,150 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10008 Calle de Palencia Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2159 | $2,900 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9332 Vandivere Dr Navarre, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2567 | $2,750 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $179,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-02$184,900 Active
-
2025-01-17historical $1,595
-
2024-12-31$1,595
-
2004-12-30soldstatus $89,000
-
2001-06-19soldstatus $45,000
-
1998-08-27soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,643 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,643 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,643
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,276
- − Management
- −$2,276
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $6,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Navarre
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #435
- US rank
- #7790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Navarre, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 43,883
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,883
- Household income
- $105,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.87%
- Current HPI
- 298.6821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+927.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Listed $184,900 NAMLS
- 2025-01-17 Rental Removed $1,595 NAMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listed for Rent $1,595 NAMLS
- 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1998-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,643 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…