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8162 13th Hole Dr
C+ Composite 63.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

8162 13th Hole Dr · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,823 sqft · Manufactured public records · 117 Days on market
Built 2002 7,000 sqft lot Est $199k · 15% under $310/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for that perfect FL lifestyle? This is it!Better than new- bright & cheery, open plan, one year new home boasts panoramic golf & pond views from family room & screened patio. Drywall interior walls and many upgrades make this beautiful home a "must see"! Immaculate inside & out, defintely a pleasure to show. Amenities galore! "View" for pics.

Key facts

  • Eastern exposure
  • Golf course lot
  • Ss appliances

Tags

GOLF COURSE LOTEASTERN EXPOSUREVERANDA FAMILY ROOMALCOVE BAY OF WINDOWSTILED AND LAMINATE FLOORSSS APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located east of US-1; Directions: Savanna Club Blvd to L on Bromeliad to R on Five Iron to R on 13th Hole
  • Financial info: Pets allowed (restrictions and limits apply; breed and number limitations possible)
  • HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee; HOA fee $310 monthly; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, sauna, golf course, putting green, basketball and pickleball courts, bocce ball, billiard room, cafe/restaurant, community room, recreation facilities, and internet included; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Driveway with decorative finish; 2 open parking spaces
  • Security: Security patrol; Gated (no guard)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric service; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Resale property; Faces west
  • Construction: Modular construction; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Screened porch; Porch; Shed(s); Located on a golf course

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; French doors; Blinds and single-hung metal windows; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater (listed under appliances)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,790 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.46%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,707
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8112 Long Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,786 (-2%) 18mo $122,000 $68 73
2968 Eagles Nest Way 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,786 (-2%) 8mo $199,999 $112 64
7822 White Ibis Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-12%) 2mo $115,000 $71 61
3720 Pebble Bch 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,608 (-12%) 3mo $225,000 $140 59
7808 Horned Lark Cir 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+4%) 6mo $244,900 $129 59
2948 Eagles Nest Way 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,786 (-2%) 15mo $125,000 $70 56
7728 Mcclintock Ct 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,692 (-7%) 11mo $185,000 $109 50
172 W Carribean 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,650 (-10%) 8mo $9,500 $6 42
3815 Sandlace Ct 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,641 (-10%) 16mo $190,000 $116 40
8522 Leadtree Ct 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (-15%) 15mo $245,000 $158 38
2852 Eagles Nest Way 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (-5%) 22mo $165,000 $96 35
7707 Mcclintock Way 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,609 (-12%) 19mo $160,000 $99 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,757
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,332
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,086 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,045/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$310
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,714
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 23d 1 0.86mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 14d 1 1.16mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 23d 1 1.17mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 14d 1 1.17mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 14d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$310 · $3,720/yr

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $169,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,000 Active 180 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,000 Active 179 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,000 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,000 Active 177 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $174,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,000 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,000 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,000 Active 171 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,000 Active 170 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $174,000 Active 169 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    price $174,000
  18. 2026-04-13
    status Active
  19. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-03-25
    price $186,000
  21. 2026-03-21
    status Active
  22. 2026-02-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2025-12-10
    listed $195,000 Active
  24. 2003-08-06
    soldstatus $134,900
  25. 2003-08-04
    soldstatus $119,900 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    LOOKING FOR THAT PERFECT FLORIDA LIFESTYLE? THIS IS IT! BRIGHT & CHEERY OPEN PLAN, ONE YEAR NEW HOME BOASTS PANORAMIC GOLF & POND VIEWS. MANY UPGRADES MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL MANUFACTURED HOME A TRUE VALUE. PRISTINE

  26. 2003-08-04
    soldstatus $119,900 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    LOOKING FOR THAT PERFECT FLORIDA LIFESTYLE? THIS IS IT! BRIGHT & CHEERY OPEN PLAN, ONE YEAR NEW HOME BOASTS PANORAMIC GOLF & POND VIEWS. MANY UPGRADES MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL MANUFACTURED HOME A TRUE VALUE. PRISTINE

  27. 2003-06-29
    historical 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    LOOKING FOR THAT PERFECT FLORIDA LIFESTYLE? THIS IS IT! BRIGHT & CHEERY OPEN PLAN, ONE YEAR NEW HOME BOASTS PANORAMIC GOLF & POND VIEWS. MANY UPGRADES MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL MANUFACTURED HOME A TRUE VALUE. PRISTINE

  28. 2003-04-07
    listed $119,900 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    LOOKING FOR THAT PERFECT FLORIDA LIFESTYLE? THIS IS IT! BRIGHT & CHEERY OPEN PLAN, ONE YEAR NEW HOME BOASTS PANORAMIC GOLF & POND VIEWS. MANY UPGRADES MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL MANUFACTURED HOME A TRUE VALUE. PRISTINE

  29. 2003-04-07
    listed $119,900 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    LOOKING FOR THAT PERFECT FLORIDA LIFESTYLE? THIS IS IT! BRIGHT & CHEERY OPEN PLAN, ONE YEAR NEW HOME BOASTS PANORAMIC GOLF & POND VIEWS. MANY UPGRADES MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL MANUFACTURED HOME A TRUE VALUE. PRISTINE

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,045 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$358/yr (+$30/mo · 34.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,029
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,045
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− HOA
−$3,720
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$1,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$248
After-tax cash flow
$3,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $174,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $186,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-21 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $195,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
  • 2003-08-04 Sold (MLS) $119,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-08-04 Sold (MLS) $119,900 MCRTC
  • 2003-06-29 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2003-04-07 Listed $119,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-04-07 Listed $119,900 MCRTC

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,045 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…