3 E Vandiver Blvd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
Key facts
- New roof
- Parking
- Built 1945
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 580% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.71%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,360
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 75.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Briarbrook Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+0%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $63 | 68 |
| 44 Michigan Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-14%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $23 | 45 |
| 38 Michigan Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,526 (-12%) | 21mo | $18,000 | $12 | 42 |
| 4030 Chelsea Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (-11%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $87 | 39 |
| 423 Brookview Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,890 (+9%) | 17mo | $95,000 | $50 | 38 |
| 10 Johnson Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-14%) | 4mo | $41,000 | $28 | 37 |
| 3430 Flintstone Ct | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-14%) | 10mo | $53,000 | $35 | 30 |
| 618 Johnson Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,911 (+10%) | 20mo | $65,000 | $34 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $7,310
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $33,449
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36110
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $494/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $331
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $355 | +0% $331 | +5% $307 | +10% $283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $246 | -5% $289 | +0% $331 | +5% $374 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $374 | -0.5pp $353 | base $331 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Rotary St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $925 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 204 W Park Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $850 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3613 Erwin Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1653 N Yarbrough Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 622 6th St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3070 Tremont St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3050 Willena Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $985 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3008 Cabot St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2056 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $985 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2076 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2019 Amos St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $985 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2001 Speigle St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,035 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $85,000 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
-
2026-02-03$90,000 Active 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
-
2019-07-10soldstatus $12,500 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
-
2019-03-29$15,900 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
-
2019-03-29$19,900
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. NEW ROOF HAS JUST BEEN ADDED.
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2005-08-29soldstatus $42,000
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2005-02-28$44,900
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1998-04-24$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $494 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $494 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$494
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,037
- − Management
- −$1,037
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,740
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$658
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,102
- Household income
- $47,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 753.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.37%
- Current HPI
- 66.3114
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+54.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $85,000 MAAR
- 2026-02-03 Listed $90,000 MAAR
- 2019-07-10 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MAAR
- 2019-03-29 Listed $19,900 MAAR
- 2019-03-29 Listed $15,900 MAAR
- 2005-08-29 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MAAR
- 2005-02-28 Listed $44,900 MAAR
- 1998-04-24 Listed $55,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $494 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…