Triplex
8611 Elm St · Florence-Graham, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$625,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 unit building with long term tenants. Recent upgrades to plumbing and electrical. Priced to sell! Two 2 bedroom/1 bathrooms and one 1 bedroom/1 bathroom unit. Close to freeways and shopping centers. Great for owner user or first time investor, very easy to manage. Owner only pays water and garbage. Carefully maintained.
Key facts
- Close to freeways
- Carefully maintained
- 6,701 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $625k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $237/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $625k).
- Recommended offer: $569k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.4% in Florence-Graham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,463/mo this rent would consume 131% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 2997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($569k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $105k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $697,783
- List price
- $625,000
- Delta
- -10.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2452 Cole Pl | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 1,988 (+5%) | 13mo | $829,000 | $417 | 51 |
| 8625 Ivy St | 0.26mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-8%) | 22mo | $870,000 | $497 | 48 |
| 8230 Compton | 0.58mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 2,160 (+14%) | 3mo | $1,040,000 | $481 | 34 |
| 1346 E 83rd St | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,135 (+13%) | 10mo | $889,000 | $416 | 32 |
| 9305 Maie Ave | 0.62mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,152 (+14%) | 21mo | $770,000 | $358 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-55,891
- Equity at exit
- $93,190
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $10,173
- Equity at exit
- $54,039
Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90002
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 23.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,463 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,278
- Tax from tax record
- −$857 /mo · $10,289/yr
- Insurance
- −$260
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,357
- Net cashflow
- $710
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,064 | -5% $887 | +0% $710 | +5% $533 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $200 | -5% $455 | +0% $710 | +5% $966 | +10% $1,221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,025 | -0.5pp $869 | base $710 | +0.5pp $548 | +1.0pp $384 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $4,390 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,195 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,195 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $2,073 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,463 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $156,250
- Closing costs
- $18,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8624 Graham Ave Unit B Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $4,500 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8624 Graham Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $4,500 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1631 E 85th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $3,800 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1633 E 85th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $3,700 | $2.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1536 E 87th St Unit 87(1536B) Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $4,000 | $2.22 | 11d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1536 E 87th Pl Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $4,000 | $2.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2118 E 92nd St Unit 2118 Watts, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1490 | $4,067 | $2.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2118 E 92nd St Unit 2120 Watts, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $3,668 | $2.82 | 19d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2118 E 92nd St Unit 2120 Watts, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $3,150 | $2.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2118 E 92nd St Unit 2118 Watts, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1620 | $3,450 | $2.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7674 Whitsett Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7674 Whitsett Ave Unit NA Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,585 | $2.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2023 E 77th St Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,498 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8416 Hooper Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $3,350 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9310 Pace Ave Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $3,200 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9312 Pace Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $4,000 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1159 E 78th St Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,950 | $3.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1000 E 84th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1772 | $4,200 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 909 E 83rd St Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,888 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 915 E 91st St Unit 915 Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 829 E 84th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1854 | $3,900 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 831 E 83rd St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1604 | $4,960 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8464 1/2 McKinley Ave Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1900 | $4,125 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 801 E 84th Pl Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2056 | $4,125 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8414 McKinley Ave Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1900 | $4,125 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 833 E 80th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1850 | $3,700 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10376 Wilmington Ave Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,990 | $2.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10422 1/2 Graham Ave Unit Graham(10422 1/2) Watts, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1250 | $3,100 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1012 E 73rd St Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1257 | $3,400 | $2.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 650 E 81st St Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1944 | $3,500 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 755 E 76th Pl Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1753 | $3,800 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 616 E 84th Pl Unit 616 Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6375 Converse Ave Unit A Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1500 | $3,800 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $625,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $625,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $625,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $625,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $625,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $625,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $625,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $625,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $625,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $625,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $625,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $625,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Nice 3 unit building with long term tenants. Recent upgrades to plumbing and electrical. Priced to sell! Two 2 bedroom/1 bathrooms and one 1 bedroom/1 bathroom unit. Close to freeways and shopping centers. Great for owner user or first time investor, very easy to manage. Owner only pays water and garbage. Carefully maintained.
-
2026-03-19price $650,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Nice 3 unit building with long term tenants. Recent upgrades to plumbing and electrical. Priced to sell! Two 2 bedroom/1 bathrooms and one 1 bedroom/1 bathroom unit. Close to freeways and shopping centers. Great for owner user or first time investor, very easy to manage. Owner only pays water and garbage. Carefully maintained.
-
2026-02-28$730,000 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Nice 3 unit building with long term tenants. Recent upgrades to plumbing and electrical. Priced to sell! Two 2 bedroom/1 bathrooms and one 1 bedroom/1 bathroom unit. Close to freeways and shopping centers. Great for owner user or first time investor, very easy to manage. Owner only pays water and garbage. Carefully maintained.
-
2022-09-29soldstatus $680,000 Closed Sale 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Income Property. Close to Schools, Public Transportation, All Kinds of Shopping Centers and Much More. Each Unit has own Washer/Dryer Hookups and assigned parking.
-
2022-09-29soldstatus $680,000
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Income Property. Close to Schools, Public Transportation, All Kinds of Shopping Centers and Much More. Each Unit has own Washer/Dryer Hookups and assigned parking.
-
2022-08-16status Pending Sale 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Income Property. Close to Schools, Public Transportation, All Kinds of Shopping Centers and Much More. Each Unit has own Washer/Dryer Hookups and assigned parking.
-
2022-07-16status Active 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Income Property. Close to Schools, Public Transportation, All Kinds of Shopping Centers and Much More. Each Unit has own Washer/Dryer Hookups and assigned parking.
-
2022-06-08$700,000 Active 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Income Property. Close to Schools, Public Transportation, All Kinds of Shopping Centers and Much More. Each Unit has own Washer/Dryer Hookups and assigned parking.
-
2016-07-12soldstatus $365,000
-
2016-07-12soldstatus $365,000 Closed Sale
-
2016-07-12soldstatus $365,000
-
2016-02-09status Pending Sale
-
2016-02-02$379,900 Active
-
2016-01-29$379,900
-
2008-02-24historical
-
2007-11-23$590,000
-
2002-04-09soldstatus $180,000
-
2001-01-28historical
-
2000-07-28$185,000
-
1990-02-06soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,289 · $857/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,289 · $857/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,556
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,010
- − Property taxes
- −$10,289
- − Insurance
- −$3,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,204
- − Management
- −$6,204
- − Depreciation
- −$18,182
- Taxable loss
- −$1,459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Florence-Graham
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence-Graham, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 56,189
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,122
- Household income
- $59,021
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2997.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 23% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Spanish 74%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -698.86%
- Current HPI
- 478.4773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+316.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $625,000 TheMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $650,000 TheMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $730,000 TheMLS
- 2022-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $680,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-29 Sold (MLS) $680,000 CRMLS
- 2022-08-16 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-07-16 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2022-06-08 Listed $700,000 CRMLS
- 2016-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-12 Sold (MLS) $365,000 CRMLS
- 2016-07-12 Sold (MLS) $365,000 SDMLS
- 2016-02-09 Pending — CRMLS
- 2016-02-02 Listed $379,900 CRMLS
- 2016-01-29 Listed $379,900 SDMLS
- 2008-02-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-11-23 Listed $590,000 CRMLS
- 2002-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2000-07-28 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
- 1990-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $10,289 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…