2119 W Danbury Rd · Phoenix, AZ 85023

$225,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1972 5,998 sqft lot $240/sqft · 40% below area Est $374k · 40% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +9.3/30.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.7/5.0
• 1% rule +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

Key facts

• No hoa
• 5,998 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• NO HOA
• NORTH SOUTH EXPOSURE LOT
• LARGE ATTACHED STORAGE ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Current financing: FHA
• HOA & community: No association fees; Near bus stop

Exterior

• Parking: 1 open parking space; 1 covered space; RV gate; 1 carport space
• Utilities: City water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
• Construction: Painted block construction; Block fencing; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Gravel/stone front yard; Grass in back yard; City-maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms possible
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (total)
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Dual-pane windows
• Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer/dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (13.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (33.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $149k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
• Deer Valley Unified District (4246) (urban): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #33 of 249 in AZ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Village Meadows Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #438 of 1,109 statewide, top 41%, 444 students, 75% FRL); Deer Valley Middle School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #105 of 218 statewide, top 49%, 537 students, 65% FRL); Barry Goldwater High School (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #147 of 381 statewide, top 38%, 1,641 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 21% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Deer Valley Unified District (4246) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $149,057 (33.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.66% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.41%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.16%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 12.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $374,172
• List price: $225,000
• Delta: -39.87%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -24.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-51,489
• Equity at exit: $33,548

10-year hold

• IRR: -29.8%
• Equity multiple: -0.20×
• Total profit: $-75,743
• Equity at exit: $19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85023

• Rents YoY: -3.4%
• Active inventory: 138
• Price-to-rent: 12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,491 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax from tax record: −$70 /mo · $835/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,700

Max offer price $195,729

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 28 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
17609 N 19th Ave Unit 204 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	935	$1,199	$1.28	43d	1	0.54mi
17609 N 19th Ave Apt 107 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	935	$1,325	$1.42	2d	1	0.56mi
17609 N 19th Ave Unit 209 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	935	$1,099	$1.18	24d	1	0.57mi
17239 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	801	$1,221	$1.52	1d	32	0.57mi
17425 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	776	$1,327	$1.71	2d	40	0.58mi
17228 N 16th Dr #4 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	980	$1,500	$1.53	20d	1	0.74mi
17840 N Black Canyon Hwy Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	880	$1,655	$1.88	2d	19	0.75mi
18250 N 25th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	992	$2,015	$2.03	2d	17	0.81mi
2554 W Kathleen Rd Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	882	$1,900	$2.15	1d	1	0.90mi
2039 W Union Hills Dr Unit 15-204 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,245	$1.25	15d	1	0.91mi
2039 W Union Hills Dr Unit 39-117 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,000	$1.00	7d	1	0.91mi
2039 W Union Hills Dr Unit 39-143 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,345	$1.22	7d	1	0.91mi
2039 W Union Hills Dr Unit 15-001 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,345	$1.22	15d	1	0.91mi
15449 N 25th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	791	$1,599	$2.02	1d	11	1.01mi
2020 W Union Hills Dr #254 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1049	$1,650	$1.57	43d	1	1.03mi
15620 N 25th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	732	$1,300	$1.78	1d	27	1.03mi
1118 W Helena Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0	1.0	960	$2,200	$2.29	43d	1	1.07mi
2506 W Caribbean Ln #10 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1055	$1,375	$1.30	14d	1	1.20mi
17031 N 11th Ave Phoenix, AZ	2.0	1.0–2.0	771	$1,437	$1.86	2d	25	1.21mi
18811 N 19th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	885	$1,525	$1.72	2d	2	1.25mi
3202 W Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	719	$1,299	$1.81	1d	34	1.27mi
3144 W Charleston Ave Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1085	$1,845	$1.70	16d	1	1.31mi
17216 N 33rd Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	741	$1,525	$2.06	2d	20	1.40mi
17211 N 35th Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	827	$1,500	$1.81	18d	2	1.44mi
2932 W Caribbean Ln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1035	$1,749	$1.69	16d	1	1.44mi
3420 W Danbury Dr Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	810	$1,485	$1.83	12d	2	1.48mi
3420 W Danbury Dr Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	810	$1,485	$1.83	24d	2	1.48mi
3434 W Danbury Dr Unit A114 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	896	$1,485	$1.66	24d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 29 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 737-char remark
2. 2026-05-05
   listed $225,000 Active 737-char remark
3. 2025-02-17
   historical
4. 2025-01-27
   listed $374,900 Active
5. 2022-10-04
   soldstatus $300,000 Closed

   Show marketing remark (303 chars)

   Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

6. 2022-10-04
   soldstatus $300,000

   Show marketing remark (303 chars)

   Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

7. 2022-10-01
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (303 chars)

   Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

8. 2022-10-01
   listed $314,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (303 chars)

   Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

9. 2022-09-28
   soldstatus $300,000 Closed

   Show marketing remark (303 chars)

   Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

10. 2022-09-06
    status Pending

    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

11. 2022-09-02
    price $314,000

    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

12. 2022-08-25
    status Active

    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

13. 2022-08-23
    status Pending

    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

14. 2022-08-17
    listed $315,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Come see this beautiful single family home that offers a covered patio and large backyard with massive trees. Move in ready home features a remodeled bathroom and an eat in kitchen. The home has large windows and a sliding door that lets in tons of natural light. Come and see this fantastic home today!

15. 2016-09-20
    soldstatus $143,500 Closed
16. 2016-09-20
    soldstatus $143,500
17. 2016-08-11
    status Pending
18. 2016-08-10
    listed $139,900 Active
19. 2009-01-12
    historical
20. 2008-12-08
    listed $125,000
21. 2008-09-22
    soldstatus $70,000
22. 2008-08-06
    historical
23. 2008-08-01
    listed $69,500
24. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $193,000
25. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $193,000
26. 2006-04-20
    historical
27. 2006-02-01
    listed $192,000
28. 1977-08-08
    soldstatus $23,900
29. 1973-04-25
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $835 · $70/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,485 · $124/mo
• Expected delta: +$650/yr (+$54/mo · 77.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,887
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$835
• − Insurance: −$1,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,431
• − Management: −$1,431
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable loss: −$6,084
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,460
• After-tax cash flow: $-528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Deer Valley Unified District (4246)
• NCES district ID: 0407750
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $72,516
• Composite: 47.0/100
• National rank: #2346
• State rank: #33 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Phoenix, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 1,500,198
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 35,034
• Household income: $77,369
• Rent vs Own: 40.4% rent · 59.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1539.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Black 7% Asian 6% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -348.79%
• Current HPI: 311.8587
• Rent YoY: ▼ -3.35%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+1150.0% since first listed

29 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — ARMLS
• 2026-05-05 Listed $225,000 ARMLS
• 2025-02-17 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2025-01-27 Listed $374,900 ARMLS
• 2022-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
• 2022-10-04 Sold (MLS) $300,000 ARMLS
• 2022-10-01 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-10-01 Listed $314,000 ARMLS
• 2022-09-28 Sold (MLS) $300,000 ARMLS
• 2022-09-06 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-09-02 Price Changed $314,000 ARMLS
• 2022-08-25 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2022-08-23 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-08-17 Listed $315,000 ARMLS
• 2016-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $143,500 Public Records
• 2016-09-20 Sold (MLS) $143,500 ARMLS
• 2016-08-11 Pending — ARMLS
• 2016-08-10 Listed $139,900 ARMLS
• 2009-01-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2008-12-08 Listed $125,000 ARMLS
• 2008-09-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 ARMLS
• 2008-08-06 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2008-08-01 Listed $69,500 ARMLS
• 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
• 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $193,000 ARMLS
• 2006-04-20 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2006-02-01 Listed $192,000 ARMLS
• 1977-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
• 1973-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $835 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.