1921 Victory Ave · Wichita Falls, TX 76301

$99,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1929 $49/sqft · 33% below area Est $149k · 33% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.2/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +6.6/10.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Brook Village is an investors dream. This home offers huge potential in a desirable neighborhood with mature shade trees and is ready for some TLC. Original hardwood floors, upstairs loft and nice sized backyard bring additional charm. It's being sold AS-IS at a price that's ready for a quick sale. Come see the it and get ready to visualize the tremendous potential this house has to offer.

Key facts

• Upstairs loft
• Nice sized backyard
• Built 1929

Tags

• ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS
• UPSTAIRS LOFT
• NICE SIZED BACKYARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
• Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.41%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $149,498
• List price: $99,900
• Delta: -33.18%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 15 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1643 Victory Ave	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,956 (-5%)	16mo	$209,900	$107	51
1663 Victory Ave	0.40mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,164 (+5%)	20mo	$246,500	$114	47
1616 Monroe St	0.71mi	3/3.0	1,837 (-11%)	1mo	$210,000	$114	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-5,377
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $17,601
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76301

• Home prices YoY: -34.1%
• Rents YoY: 5.3%
• Active inventory: 135
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,158 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$223 /mo · $2,681/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$243
• Net cashflow: $126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $183	-5% $154	+0% $126	+5% $98	+10% $69
Rent	-10% $35	-5% $80	+0% $126	+5% $172	+10% $218
Rate	-1.0pp $176	-0.5pp $151	base $126	+0.5pp $100	+1.0pp $74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX	3.0	1.0	1452	$850	$0.59	45d	1	1.25mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-02-26
   listed $99,900 Active 427-char remark

   Show marketing remark (427 chars)

   This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Brook Village is an investors dream. This home offers huge potential in a desirable neighborhood with mature shade trees and is ready for some TLC. Original hardwood floors, upstairs loft and nice sized backyard bring additional charm. It's being sold AS-IS at a price that's ready for a quick sale. Come see the it and get ready to visualize the tremendous potential this house has to offer.

2. 2015-03-16
   soldstatus
3. 2015-03-13
   soldstatus 121-char remark

   Show marketing remark (121 chars)

   LARGE TREE SHADED LOT WITH INVESTOR PRICED HOME $25000 UNDER TAX VALUE. "AS IS WHERE IS" SALE. HARDWOOD FLOORS.

4. 2014-09-01
   listed $55,000 121-char remark

   Show marketing remark (121 chars)

   LARGE TREE SHADED LOT WITH INVESTOR PRICED HOME $25000 UNDER TAX VALUE. "AS IS WHERE IS" SALE. HARDWOOD FLOORS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,681 · $223/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,681 · $223/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,899
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$2,681
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,112
• − Management: −$1,112
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable loss: −$8
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2
• After-tax cash flow: $1,514/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wichita Falls ISD
• NCES district ID: 4845780
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $41,604
• Composite: 27.06/100
• National rank: #7051
• State rank: #585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #437
• US rank: #8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wichita Falls, TX
• County: Wichita County · 95,694 people
• City population: 95,694
• Metro: Wichita Falls, TX
• Population (ZIP): 15,479
• Household income: $41,947
• Rent vs Own: 44.7% rent · 55.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 577.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 129,638 people
• By 2030: 128,366 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 124,466 · -4.0%
• By 2050: 120,499 · -7.0%
• By 2075: 113,884 · -12.2%
• By 2100: 101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 36%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 22%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -69.89%
• Current HPI: 135.1511
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.27%
• Metro: Wichita Falls, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+81.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-26 Listed $99,900 WFAOR
• 2015-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2015-03-13 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
• 2014-09-01 Listed $55,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,681 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.