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45247 Cty Hwy 14-to BE Moved
B- Composite 69.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

45247 Cty Hwy 14-to BE Moved · Rush Lake, MN 56573
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 292 Days on market
Built 2005

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NO REAL ESTATE FOR SALE-HOUSE ONLY-TO BE MOVED. GARAGE IS NOT INCLUDED. Nicely kept manufactured home in good condition to be moved off site. Numerous possibilities for this structure, primary residence, cabin or hunting shack, guest cabin, etc.

Key facts

  • Built 2005
  • Listed 291 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Perham-Dent Public School District (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #110 of 301 in MN (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.91%
Cap rate
23.04%
Cash-on-cash
59.81%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$54,645
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
63.4%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$133,960
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56573

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,034/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$1,047

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 292 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 291 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 290 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 289 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 287 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 286 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 283 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 282 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 281 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 280 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 277 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 276 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 275 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 274 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 273 DOM
  16. 2025-08-30
    listed $75,000 Active 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    NO REAL ESTATE FOR SALE-HOUSE ONLY-TO BE MOVED. GARAGE IS NOT INCLUDED. Nicely kept manufactured home in good condition to be moved off site. Numerous possibilities for this structure, primary residence, cabin or hunting shack, guest cabin, etc.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,034 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,034 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,189
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$3,034
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,095
− Management
−$2,095
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$12,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,930
After-tax cash flow
$9,631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perham-Dent Public School District
NCES district ID
2728230
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,712
Composite
43.64/100
National rank
#2966
State rank
#110 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rush Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,868

Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,183 people
By 2030
58,267 · +0.1%
By 2040
57,999 · -0.3%
By 2050
57,183 · -1.7%
By 2075
57,638 · -0.9%
By 2100
54,697 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 18% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.48%
Current HPI
225.7071
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-30 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,034 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…