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14 Del Prado St
B Composite 70.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,500

14 Del Prado St · River Park, FL 34952
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,419 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market
Built 1971

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nicely maintained home in the much sort after Spanish Lakes Community. This home boasts a state of the art gourmet kitchen with granite counters and a center island. This is one of the largest manufactured homes in the community. Spanish Lakes is a 55+ community. Amenities include 2 pools, 9 hole golf course, tennis, pickelball, shuffleboard, bocce, horseshoes and a community room. Lot rent includes trash removal, sewer, lawn care and all amenities. Potential buyers must be approved by Spanish Lakes. Application is attached to the listing.

Key facts

  • Office
  • Separate dining room
  • Laundry room

Tags

SEPARATE DINING ROOMGRANITE COUNTERTOPSLARGE ISLANDALL APPLIANCES INCLUDEDOFFICELAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Association covers grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, and golf
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Community amenities include: clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, billiard room, game room, library, cafe/restaurant, manager on site, dog park, and community room

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached covered carport (2 spaces) and 1 open parking space
  • Security: Security patrol
  • Utilities: Three-phase electric; Water available
  • Home design: Mobile home (Modular); Single-story; Multi/split levels; Model: PKWY; Resale; Faces west; East of US-1 frontage
  • Construction: Manufactured roof; Aluminum skirting; Modular construction; Mobile dimensions approximately 53' x 23'
  • Exterior features: Patio; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; French doors; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside with washer and dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $64k).
  • Cap rate 29.8% vs local median 6.3% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.35%
Cap rate
29.80%
Cash-on-cash
83.96%
DSCR
4.74
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,738
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 S Alhambra Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-1%) 14mo $100,000 $71 80
38 Alta Loma 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,433 (+1%) 5mo $180,000 $126 71
8580 Mary Ann Ln 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,471 (+4%) 5mo $175,000 $119 59
8591 Mary Ann Ln 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,354 (-5%) 7mo $75,000 $55 54
5 Yolanda Ln 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-10%) 5mo $39,000 $30 49
8636 Florence Dr 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,266 (-11%) 2mo $130,000 $103 48
501 La Buona Vita Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,289 (-9%) 9mo $132,000 $102 46
560 Natalie Dr 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-12%) 18mo $162,800 $130 36
82 Spanish Way 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,245 (-12%) 22mo $18,000 $14 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.1%
Equity multiple
4.75×
Total profit
$67,733
Equity at exit
$9,617
10-year hold
IRR
86.1%
Equity multiple
9.49×
Total profit
$153,402
Equity at exit
$5,577

Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$338
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $968/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$1,264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $564
Max offer price $64,500
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,308 -5% $1,286 +0% $1,264 +5% $1,241 +10% $1,219
Rent -10% $1,093 -5% $1,178 +0% $1,264 +5% $1,349 +10% $1,435
Rate -1.0pp $1,296 -0.5pp $1,280 base $1,264 +0.5pp $1,247 +1.0pp $1,230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,125
Closing costs
$1,935
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 14d 15 0.56mi
7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $2,212 $2.16 14d 16 1.09mi
124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 1.0 964 $2,550 $2.65 14d 1 1.20mi
730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1386 $10,000 $7.22 24d 1 1.21mi
805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1732 $2,500 $1.44 24d 1 1.22mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 14d 7 1.32mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 24d 1 1.36mi
14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $2,200 $1.88 24d 1 1.36mi
11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 1.41mi
26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,500 $1.28 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,500 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,500 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,500 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $64,500 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2025-08-26
    listed $99,900 Active
  7. 2023-02-16
    soldstatus $84,900 Closed 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Nicely maintained home in the much sort after Spanish Lakes Community. This home boasts a state of the art gourmet kitchen with granite counters and a center island. This is one of the largest manufactured homes in the community. Spanish Lakes is a 55+ community. Amenities include 2 pools, 9 hole golf course, tennis, pickelball, shuffleboard, bocce, horseshoes and a community room. Lot rent includes trash removal, sewer, lawn care and all amenities. Potential buyers must be approved by Spanish Lakes. Application is attached to the listing.

  8. 2022-12-31
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Nicely maintained home in the much sort after Spanish Lakes Community. This home boasts a state of the art gourmet kitchen with granite counters and a center island. This is one of the largest manufactured homes in the community. Spanish Lakes is a 55+ community. Amenities include 2 pools, 9 hole golf course, tennis, pickelball, shuffleboard, bocce, horseshoes and a community room. Lot rent includes trash removal, sewer, lawn care and all amenities. Potential buyers must be approved by Spanish Lakes. Application is attached to the listing.

  9. 2022-12-14
    listed $84,900 Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Nicely maintained home in the much sort after Spanish Lakes Community. This home boasts a state of the art gourmet kitchen with granite counters and a center island. This is one of the largest manufactured homes in the community. Spanish Lakes is a 55+ community. Amenities include 2 pools, 9 hole golf course, tennis, pickelball, shuffleboard, bocce, horseshoes and a community room. Lot rent includes trash removal, sewer, lawn care and all amenities. Potential buyers must be approved by Spanish Lakes. Application is attached to the listing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,965
− Mortgage interest
−$3,613
− Property taxes
−$968
− Insurance
−$322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,077
− Management
−$2,077
− Depreciation
−$1,876
Taxable income
$15,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,607
After-tax cash flow
$11,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — River Park

Score
69/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#8159

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $99,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-02-16 Sold (MLS) $84,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2022-12-31 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2022-12-14 Listed $84,900 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…