10434 Envoy St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The home is tenant occupied and perfect for an investor looking for tenant-occupied properties. A well-maintained home located in the growing northeast Houston area. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, making it ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. Conveniently situated with easy access to Downtown Houston, major highways including I-69 and Beltway 8, and just a short drive to George Bush Intercontinental Airport, this location supports an easy commute across the city. The surrounding area continues to see new development and revitalization, adding to the long-term potential of the property. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or an
Key facts
- 7,570 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 37 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (all main rooms listed on first floor); Slab foundation; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Built in 1955; Composition roof; Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (13 x 11); Three additional first-floor bedrooms (each 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features: 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shadydale El (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 631 students, 95% FRL); Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 376 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.51%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,704
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- 3.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10507 Royal Oaks Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,311 (-1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $164 | 90 |
| 10535 Hollyglen Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $93 | 79 |
| 10430 Royal Oaks Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,402 (+6%) | 6mo | $234,000 | $167 | 78 |
| 6015 Langley Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,245 (-6%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $76 | 69 |
| 5702 Yorkwood St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,312 (-1%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $126 | 69 |
| 10414 Onslow St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-8%) | 3mo | $199,500 | $165 | 66 |
| 10329 Wicklowe St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,194 (-10%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $125 | 61 |
| 7227 Colton St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (+14%) | 0mo | $214,000 | $142 | 57 |
| 7234 Boggess Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-7%) | 1mo | $168,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 7321 Wiley Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,262 (-5%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $143 | 53 |
| 10214 Bretton Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-15%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $111 | 50 |
| 7422 Wheatley Gardens Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,416 (+7%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $134 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $88,231
- Equity at exit
- $152,008
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.59×
- Total profit
- $242,853
- Equity at exit
- $310,139
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77016
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,336/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $164 | +0% $111 | +5% $57 | +10% $4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-35 | -5% $38 | +0% $111 | +5% $183 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $206 | -0.5pp $159 | base $111 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7314 Saunders Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $1,723 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7176 Parker Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7252 Parker Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10750 Nyla Spring St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7726 Spinet St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,375 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,865 | $2.58 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9410 Firnat St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10474 Red Orchid Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $1,875 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $1,875 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9314 Sundown Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,675 | $1.04 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9324 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6822 Leedale St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10708 Lavender Cotton Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,150 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6823 Hanley Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,610 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 8003 Alpine Bearberry Dr Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1696 | $2,520 | $1.49 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 11235 Lemond Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$195,000 Active 863-char remark
-
2026-05-14historical
-
2026-05-09price $195,000
-
2026-03-24$199,000 Active
-
2026-03-10historical
-
2025-11-20price $199,000
-
2025-06-09$205,000 Active
-
2022-09-21historical
-
2022-09-16status Active
-
2022-09-12status Option Pending
-
2022-09-06historical
-
2022-09-06$175,000 Active
-
2022-08-24$188,000 Active
-
2022-08-24historical
-
2022-08-16$205,000 Active
-
2020-05-21soldstatus
-
2018-09-24historical
-
2018-09-14status Active
-
2018-09-11status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2018-08-25$89,100 Active
-
1991-08-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,336 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,459 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$123/yr (+$10/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,336
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$1,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$422
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,841
- Household income
- $47,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Current HPI
- 315.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+112.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $189,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $195,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $195,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $199,000 HARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $205,000 HARMLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-09-16 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2022-09-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-08-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-08-24 Listed $188,000 HARMLS
- 2022-08-16 Listed $205,000 HARMLS
- 2020-05-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-09-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2018-09-14 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2018-09-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-08-25 Listed $89,100 HARMLS
- 1991-08-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,336 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…