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443 E 27 TH St Triplex
C+ Composite 60.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

443 E 27 TH St · Erie, PA 16504
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,292 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1900 8,102 sqft lot Est $108k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Add this cash-flowing triplex to your portfolio today! This fully occupied 3-unit property offers immediate rental income with separate electric service, public water and sewer, gas forced-air heat, and low-maintenance ownership. Situated on a generous 60' x 135' lot, the property features approximately 2,292 square feet, balconies for tenants, and a convenient Erie location. Whether you're a first-time investor or looking to expand your portfolio, this turnkey property offers strong income potential and long-term value. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Gas forced-air heat
  • 60 x 135 lot
  • Cash-flowing triplex

Tags

CASH-FLOWING TRIPLEXIMMEDIATE RENTAL INCOMESEPARATE ELECTRIC SERVICEPUBLIC WATER AND SEWERGAS FORCED-AIR HEAT60 X 135 LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Actual rents reported: two 1-bed units at $650 each; one 2-bed unit at $900

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces (total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (multifamily); R-3 zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Composition roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One-bedroom units (two units); Two-bedroom unit (one unit)
  • Bathrooms: One bathroom in each unit
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Each unit includes a balcony or porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.3% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
  • Erie City SD (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $135k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.25%
Cash-on-cash
31.99%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,724
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2404 Parade St 0.22mi 4/2.0 2,296 (+0%) 10mo $65,000 $28 77
737 E 28th St 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,252 (-2%) 4mo $155,000 $69 72
221 E 29th St 0.35mi 4/2.0 2,276 (-1%) 11mo $125,000 $55 69
506 E 25th St 0.17mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,441 (+6%) 6mo $162,000 $66 67
2714-16 Wayne St 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,344 (+2%) 7mo $110,000 $47 67
859 E 23rd St 0.60mi 4/3.0 2,234 (-2%) 2mo $35,000 $16 66
731 E 28th St 0.37mi 4/2.0 2,232 (-3%) 12mo $140,000 $63 64
310 E 23rd St 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,224 (-3%) 7mo $55,000 $25 64
329 E 27th St 0.17mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,104 (-8%) 10mo $135,000 $64 61
2206 Wallace St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,968 (-14%) 1mo $57,500 $29 56
862 E 28th St 0.54mi 4/2.0 2,162 (-6%) 7mo $95,000 $44 55
330 E 22nd St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,948 (-15%) 6mo $66,000 $34 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$42,344
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$119,757
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16504

Home prices YoY
-17.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,533 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$231 /mo · $2,767/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$1,007

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,258
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,083 -5% $1,045 +0% $1,007 +5% $969 +10% $931
Rent -10% $807 -5% $907 +0% $1,007 +5% $1,107 +10% $1,207
Rate -1.0pp $1,075 -0.5pp $1,041 base $1,007 +0.5pp $972 +1.0pp $936

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $2,533

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 W 32nd St Erie, PA 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,050 $0.57 45d 1 0.76mi
126 W 38th St Erie, PA 4.0 2.0 1850 $4,000 $2.16 45d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 555-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $134,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,767 · $231/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,767 · $231/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,396
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,767
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,432
− Management
−$2,432
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$10,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,547
After-tax cash flow
$9,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Erie City SD
NCES district ID
4209300
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$33,625
Composite
12.59/100
National rank
#9617
State rank
#510 of 539 in PA

Livability — Erie

Score
83/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#840

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Erie, PA
City population
92,215
Population (ZIP)
15,632

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
272,159 people
By 2030
266,299 · -2.2%
By 2040
250,987 · -7.8%
By 2050
234,925 · -13.7%
By 2075
199,164 · -26.8%
By 2100
162,985 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Subsaharan African 2% American 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, India, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.54%
Current HPI
260.1053
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $134,900 GEBOR
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $174,995 GEBOR
  • 2025-05-05 Price Changed $149,900 GEBOR
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $154,900 GEBOR
  • 2016-10-04 Listed $78,900 GEBOR
  • 2014-02-25 Listed $69,000 GEBOR
  • 1999-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
  • 1977-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,767 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…