Triplex
443 E 27 TH St · Erie, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Add this cash-flowing triplex to your portfolio today! This fully occupied 3-unit property offers immediate rental income with separate electric service, public water and sewer, gas forced-air heat, and low-maintenance ownership. Situated on a generous 60' x 135' lot, the property features approximately 2,292 square feet, balconies for tenants, and a convenient Erie location. Whether you're a first-time investor or looking to expand your portfolio, this turnkey property offers strong income potential and long-term value. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Gas forced-air heat
- 60 x 135 lot
- Cash-flowing triplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Actual rents reported: two 1-bed units at $650 each; one 2-bed unit at $900
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces (total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property (multifamily); R-3 zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Composition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: One-bedroom units (two units); Two-bedroom unit (one unit)
- Bathrooms: One bathroom in each unit
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Each unit includes a balcony or porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.3% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Erie City SD (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $135k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.99%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,724
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2404 Parade St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,296 (+0%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $28 | 77 |
| 737 E 28th St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,252 (-2%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 221 E 29th St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,276 (-1%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $55 | 69 |
| 506 E 25th St | 0.17mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,441 (+6%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $66 | 67 |
| 2714-16 Wayne St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,344 (+2%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $47 | 67 |
| 859 E 23rd St | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 2,234 (-2%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $16 | 66 |
| 731 E 28th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,232 (-3%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $63 | 64 |
| 310 E 23rd St | 0.35mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,224 (-3%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $25 | 64 |
| 329 E 27th St | 0.17mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,104 (-8%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $64 | 61 |
| 2206 Wallace St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,968 (-14%) | 1mo | $57,500 | $29 | 56 |
| 862 E 28th St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 2,162 (-6%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $44 | 55 |
| 330 E 22nd St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,948 (-15%) | 6mo | $66,000 | $34 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $42,344
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $119,757
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16504
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 13.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,767/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $1,007
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,083 | -5% $1,045 | +0% $1,007 | +5% $969 | +10% $931 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $807 | -5% $907 | +0% $1,007 | +5% $1,107 | +10% $1,207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,075 | -0.5pp $1,041 | base $1,007 | +0.5pp $972 | +1.0pp $936 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 3 | $2,532 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $844 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $844 |
| #3 | 3 | 3 | $844 |
| Total (3 units) | $2,533 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 W 32nd St Erie, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,050 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 126 W 38th St Erie, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $4,000 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 555-char remark
-
2026-06-13$134,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,767 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,767 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,767
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,432
- − Management
- −$2,432
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $10,610
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Erie City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209300
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,625
- Composite
- 12.59/100
- National rank
- #9617
- State rank
- #510 of 539 in PA
Livability — Erie
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Erie, PA
- City population
- 92,215
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,632
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Subsaharan African 2% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.54%
- Current HPI
- 260.1053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+274.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $134,900 GEBOR
- 2025-07-03 Listed $174,995 GEBOR
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $149,900 GEBOR
- 2025-04-23 Listed $154,900 GEBOR
- 2016-10-04 Listed $78,900 GEBOR
- 2014-02-25 Listed $69,000 GEBOR
- 1999-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 1977-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,767 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…