5383 L St NE · Magnolia, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sandy Valley Estates is a beautiful community located in Magnolia, OH and is owned and operated by UMH Properties, Inc. Our turnkey ready homes at Sandy Valley Estates are built to fit your lifestyle. Our floor plans include 2 to 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes with open concept designs. Our homes are equipped with large living areas, eat-in kitchens, and luxurious primary suites. Each home also has a front and back deck, a yard for those who love to BBQ or garden, and an 8 x 10 storage shed. Sandy Valley Estates is more than just a neighborhood--it is a community with high end amenities for our residents to use. Our community's amenities include a new community center, fitness center, basketba
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchens
- Turnkey ready homes
- Front and back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Spec inventory type
- Financial info: List price $110,000
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
- Home design: Single-family property (spec plan: Skyline Sugarcreek Sandy Valley Estates); Active listing
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,344 (living area provided)
- Exterior features: Shake roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air and ceiling fans
- Interior features: Central air and ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#401 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sandy Valley Local (rural): math 56% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #296 of 656 in OH (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.44%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $67,181
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.24×
- Total profit
- $192,165
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44643
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,062
- − Management
- −$1,062
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is ready for a new owner and would benefit from some exterior painting and gutter cleaning to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sandy Valley Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904994
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,859
- Composite
- 50.62/100
- National rank
- #1842
- State rank
- #296 of 656 in OH
Livability — Magnolia
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #6616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll · 27,595 people
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,666
- Household income
- $62,981
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 26.3
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,766 people
- By 2030
- 24,481 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 21,803 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 19,323 · -25.0%
- By 2075
- 15,205 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 12,287 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.8pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.78%
- Current HPI
- 256.734
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…